Stock Analysis on Net

Mosaic Co. (NYSE:MOS)

$22.49

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since August 2, 2022.

Price to FCFE (P/FCFE)

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Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)

Mosaic Co., FCFE calculation

US$ in thousands

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12 months ended: Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Net earnings (loss) attributable to Mosaic
Net (earnings) loss attributable to noncontrolling interests
Net noncash charges
Changes in assets and liabilities
Net cash provided by operating activities
Capital expenditures
Payments of short-term debt
Proceeds from issuance of short-term debt
Payments of structured accounts payable arrangements
Proceeds from structured accounts payable arrangements
Payments of long-term debt
Proceeds from issuance of long-term debt
Payment of financing costs
Free cash flow to equity (FCFE)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).


Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities
The net cash provided by operating activities shows a generally increasing trend over the period from 2017 to 2021. Starting at $935,500 thousand in 2017, the cash flow increased to $1,409,800 thousand in 2018, representing significant growth. Although there was a decline to $1,095,400 thousand in 2019, the operating cash flow increased again in the following years, reaching $1,582,600 thousand in 2020 and further rising to $2,187,000 thousand in 2021. Overall, this suggests improving operational efficiency and stronger cash generation capacity in the latter years.
Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)
Free cash flow to equity exhibits higher volatility compared to operating cash flow. It begins with a strong positive figure of $1,527,500 thousand in 2017. However, this is followed by a sharp deterioration into negative territory in 2018 and 2019, with values of -$225,600 thousand and -$41,200 thousand respectively. The metric returns to positive values in 2020, with $209,600 thousand, and improves further to $687,100 thousand in 2021. These fluctuations suggest challenges in capital expenditures or financing activities affecting equity holders, particularly in 2018 and 2019, before a recovery phase in subsequent years.
Overall Analysis
The data indicates consistent improvement in core business cash generation, as evidenced by the upward trajectory of operating cash flow from 2019 onwards. Conversely, free cash flow to equity is more erratic, with significant negative values in the middle of the period before rebounding. This suggests that while operational performance strengthened, the company's cash available to equity shareholders was influenced by other factors such as investments or financing decisions, causing temporary constraints followed by recovery.

Price to FCFE Ratio, Current

Mosaic Co., current P/FCFE calculation, comparison to benchmarks

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No. shares of common stock outstanding
Selected Financial Data (US$)
Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) (in thousands)
FCFE per share
Current share price (P)
Valuation Ratio
P/FCFE
Benchmarks
P/FCFE, Competitors1
Linde plc
Sherwin-Williams Co.
P/FCFE, Sector
Chemicals
P/FCFE, Industry
Materials

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Click competitor name to see calculations.

If the company P/FCFE is lower then the P/FCFE of benchmark then company is relatively undervalued.
Otherwise, if the company P/FCFE is higher then the P/FCFE of benchmark then company is relatively overvalued.


Price to FCFE Ratio, Historical

Mosaic Co., historical P/FCFE calculation, comparison to benchmarks

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Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
No. shares of common stock outstanding1
Selected Financial Data (US$)
Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) (in thousands)2
FCFE per share3
Share price1, 4
Valuation Ratio
P/FCFE5
Benchmarks
P/FCFE, Competitors6
Linde plc
Sherwin-Williams Co.
P/FCFE, Sector
Chemicals
P/FCFE, Industry
Materials

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Data adjusted for splits and stock dividends.

2 See details »

3 2021 Calculation
FCFE per share = FCFE ÷ No. shares of common stock outstanding
= ÷ =

4 Closing price as at the filing date of Mosaic Co. Annual Report.

5 2021 Calculation
P/FCFE = Share price ÷ FCFE per share
= ÷ =

6 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Share Price Trend
The share price exhibited fluctuations over the five-year period. Initially, it increased moderately from $27.46 at the end of 2017 to $28.75 in 2018. However, in 2019, the share price declined significantly to $18.47, representing a notable drop. This was followed by a recovery phase where the share price rose sharply to $29.70 in 2020 and continued its upward trajectory, reaching $45.20 by the end of 2021. Overall, despite the downturn in 2019, the share price demonstrated a strong recovery and growth by 2021.
FCFE per Share Analysis
Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE) per share showed considerable volatility. Starting at $3.97 in 2017, it dropped sharply to -$0.59 in 2018, indicating negative cash flow available to equity holders that year. In 2019, the value improved somewhat but remained negative at -$0.11. From 2020 onwards, FCFE per share returned to positive territory, increasing to $0.55 and further to $1.87 in 2021. This indicates a recovery in the company’s cash-generating ability available to equity shareholders after two years of negative results.
P/FCFE Ratio Insights
The price-to-free cash flow to equity (P/FCFE) ratio data is incomplete, but observable points provide useful insights. The ratio was 6.93 in 2017, suggesting the stock was relatively undervalued or the company was generating strong cash flow relative to its share price. The ratio is missing for 2018 and 2019, likely due to negative FCFE values which render the ratio less meaningful or undefined. In 2020, the P/FCFE ratio surged significantly to 53.72, possibly reflecting investor optimism despite relatively low positive FCFE per share. By 2021, the ratio decreased to 24.23, indicating a partial correction or improved cash flow per share relative to the share price increase.
Overall Financial Trends and Implications
The company faced a challenging period from 2018 to 2019, with negative FCFE per share and a declining share price in 2019. The subsequent recovery in both share price and FCFE per share from 2020 onwards reflects an improvement in financial health and market sentiment. The P/FCFE ratio's volatility emphasizes caution in valuation interpretation during periods of negative or rapidly changing free cash flow. The sustained increase in share price through 2021 suggests positive investor confidence correlating with improving financial performance.