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Stock Analysis on Net

Mosaic Co. (NYSE:MOS)

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since August 2, 2022.

Price to Book Value (P/BV)
since 2005

Microsoft Excel

Calculation

Mosaic Co., P/BV, long-term trends, calculation

Microsoft Excel

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2012-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2011-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2010-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2009-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2008-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2007-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2006-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2005-05-31).

1 US$

2 Data adjusted for splits and stock dividends.

3 Closing price as at the filing date of Mosaic Co. Annual Report.


The analysis of the price-to-book value (P/BV) ratio reveals a significant transition from high market premiums to a period of valuation compression, followed by a recent recovery. The ratio exhibited extreme volatility in the first decade of the period, eventually stabilizing at lower levels before trending upward in the final two years.

Valuation Peaks and Volatility (2005–2008)
A period of rapid valuation expansion occurred between 2005 and 2008. The P/BV ratio rose from 2.08 to a peak of 8.07 in July 2008. This spike was primarily driven by a surge in the share price, which reached $122.36, far outpacing the growth of the book value per share during that specific timeframe.
Long-term Valuation Compression (2009–2020)
Following the 2008 peak, a sustained downward trend in the P/BV ratio is observed. From 2009 to 2020, the ratio declined from 2.80 to a low of 0.76. This contraction indicates that the market's valuation of the company shifted from a significant premium over book value to a discount. Notably, the ratio dropped below 1.0 in 2016 and again in 2020, suggesting periods where the company traded below its accounting net asset value.
Book Value per Share Progression
While the P/BV ratio declined over the long term, the book value per share (BVPS) demonstrated general growth. BVPS increased from $8.32 in 2005 to a peak of $31.53 in 2013. Although this growth plateaued and experienced slight fluctuations between 2014 and 2021, the ending BVPS of $28.79 in 2022 represents a substantial increase over the initial 2005 levels, highlighting a strengthening of the underlying asset base despite share price volatility.
Recent Market Revaluation (2021–2022)
A reversal of the downward trend is evident starting in 2021. The P/BV ratio climbed from 0.76 in 2020 to 1.18 in 2021, and further to 1.57 by February 2022. This recovery was driven by a rise in the share price to $45.20, indicating a return to a positive market premium over the company's book value.

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Comparison to Competitors

Mosaic Co., P/BV, long-term trends, comparison to competitors

Microsoft Excel

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2012-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2011-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2010-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2009-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2008-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2007-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2006-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2005-05-31).


Comparison to Sector (Chemicals)

Mosaic Co., P/BV, long-term trends, comparison to sector (chemicals)

Microsoft Excel

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2012-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2011-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2010-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2009-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2008-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2007-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2006-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2005-05-31).


Comparison to Industry (Materials)

Mosaic Co., P/BV, long-term trends, comparison to industry (materials)

Microsoft Excel

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2012-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2011-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2010-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2009-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2008-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2007-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2006-05-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2005-05-31).