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Stock Analysis on Net

Mosaic Co. (NYSE:MOS)

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since August 2, 2022.

Enterprise Value to FCFF (EV/FCFF)

Microsoft Excel

Free Cash Flow to The Firm (FCFF)

Mosaic Co., FCFF calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Net earnings (loss) attributable to Mosaic 1,630,600 666,100 (1,067,400) 470,000 (107,200)
Net (earnings) loss attributable to noncontrolling interests 4,300 (500) (23,400) (100) 3,000
Net noncash charges 1,181,800 390,100 2,255,400 1,105,100 1,356,600
Changes in assets and liabilities (629,700) 526,900 (69,200) (165,200) (316,900)
Net cash provided by operating activities 2,187,000 1,582,600 1,095,400 1,409,800 935,500
Cash paid during the period for interest, less amount capitalized, net of tax1 138,817 157,605 166,499 149,554 100,750
Capitalized interest on major construction projects, net of tax2 22,003 26,307 23,399 19,006 15,535
Capital expenditures (1,288,600) (1,170,600) (1,272,200) (954,500) (820,100)
Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) 1,059,220 595,912 13,097 623,860 231,685

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).


Between 2017 and 2021, a general upward trajectory in cash generation is observed, although the conversion of operating cash into free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) exhibited significant volatility. While operating cash flows grew steadily over the five-year period, FCFF experienced a severe contraction in 2019 before recovering strongly to reach its peak in 2021.

Operating Cash Flow Performance
Net cash provided by operating activities increased from 935,500 thousand US$ in 2017 to 2,187,000 thousand US$ in 2021. This represents a substantial growth in the core ability to generate cash, with a temporary decline occurring in 2019 before a sharp acceleration through 2020 and 2021.
FCFF Volatility and Trends
Free cash flow to the firm demonstrated high variance. After rising from 231,685 thousand US$ in 2017 to 623,860 thousand US$ in 2018, FCFF plummeted to 13,097 thousand US$ in 2019. A robust recovery followed, with figures rising to 595,912 thousand US$ in 2020 and peaking at 1,059,220 thousand US$ in 2021.
Cash Flow Conversion Analysis
A critical divergence is noted in 2019, where despite operating cash flows remaining strong at 1,095,400 thousand US$, the FCFF dropped to nearly zero. This suggests a significant increase in capital expenditures or other firm-level investments during that specific period. By 2021, the efficiency of converting operating cash to FCFF improved significantly, with FCFF representing approximately 48% of operating cash flow.

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Interest Paid, Net of Tax

Mosaic Co., interest paid, net of tax calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Effective Income Tax Rate (EITR)
EITR1 26.90% 21.00% 17.90% 14.00% 35.00%
Interest Paid, Net of Tax
Cash paid during the period for interest, less amount capitalized, before tax 189,900 199,500 202,800 173,900 155,000
Less: Cash paid during the period for interest, less amount capitalized, tax2 51,083 41,895 36,301 24,346 54,250
Cash paid during the period for interest, less amount capitalized, net of tax 138,817 157,605 166,499 149,554 100,750
Interest Costs Capitalized, Net of Tax
Capitalized interest on major construction projects, before tax 30,100 33,300 28,500 22,100 23,900
Less: Capitalized interest on major construction projects, tax3 8,097 6,993 5,102 3,094 8,365
Capitalized interest on major construction projects, net of tax 22,003 26,307 23,399 19,006 15,535

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

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2 2021 Calculation
Cash paid during the period for interest, less amount capitalized, tax = Cash paid during the period for interest, less amount capitalized × EITR
= 189,900 × 26.90% = 51,083

3 2021 Calculation
Capitalized interest on major construction projects, tax = Capitalized interest on major construction projects × EITR
= 30,100 × 26.90% = 8,097


An examination of interest-related expenditures between 2017 and 2021 reveals a period of expansion in interest obligations followed by a moderate contraction. The overall trend reflects fluctuations in both the volume of debt servicing and the tax environments affecting net payments.

Cash Interest Expenditures
Cash paid for interest, net of tax, exhibited a strong upward trajectory from December 31, 2017, to December 31, 2019, rising from $100.75 million to a peak of $166.50 million. This growth was followed by a period of reduction, with the figure decreasing to $138.82 million by December 31, 2021.
Capitalized Interest Trends
Net capitalized interest on major construction projects showed a consistent increase from 2017 through 2020, peaking at $26.31 million. This suggests a sustained period of capital investment in long-term assets, though a decline to $22.00 million in 2021 indicates a potential slowdown or completion of certain projects.
Effective Income Tax Rate Volatility
The effective income tax rate underwent significant variance, dropping sharply from 35.00% in 2017 to 14.00% in 2018. From 2018 onwards, the rate trended steadily upward, reaching 26.90% by the end of 2021, which directly influences the net-of-tax valuation of interest payments.

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Enterprise Value to FCFF Ratio, Current

Mosaic Co., current EV/FCFF calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Enterprise value (EV) 22,430,053
Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) 1,059,220
Valuation Ratio
EV/FCFF 21.18
Benchmarks
EV/FCFF, Competitors1
Linde plc 46.46
Sherwin-Williams Co. 30.94
EV/FCFF, Sector
Chemicals 38.00
EV/FCFF, Industry
Materials 28.99

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 Click competitor name to see calculations.

If the company EV/FCFF is lower then the EV/FCFF of benchmark then company is relatively undervalued.
Otherwise, if the company EV/FCFF is higher then the EV/FCFF of benchmark then company is relatively overvalued.


Enterprise Value to FCFF Ratio, Historical

Mosaic Co., historical EV/FCFF calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Enterprise value (EV)1 21,047,779 16,076,972 12,013,679 15,543,777 14,060,312
Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF)2 1,059,220 595,912 13,097 623,860 231,685
Valuation Ratio
EV/FCFF3 19.87 26.98 917.26 24.92 60.69
Benchmarks
EV/FCFF, Competitors4
Linde plc 23.60 — — — —
Sherwin-Williams Co. 36.70 — — — —
EV/FCFF, Sector
Chemicals 26.76 — — — —
EV/FCFF, Industry
Materials 20.85 — — — —

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 See details »

2 See details »

3 2021 Calculation
EV/FCFF = EV ÷ FCFF
= 21,047,779 ÷ 1,059,220 = 19.87

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial trajectory between 2017 and 2021 is characterized by significant volatility in cash flow generation and a corresponding fluctuation in the enterprise value to free cash flow to the firm (EV/FCFF) ratio. While the enterprise value generally trended upward, the ratio experienced an extreme peak in 2019 before stabilizing at its lowest level by the end of the period.

Enterprise Value (EV) Trends
The enterprise value exhibited a general growth pattern, rising from 14.06 billion USD in 2017 to 21.05 billion USD in 2021. A temporary contraction occurred in 2019, where the value dipped to 12.01 billion USD, followed by a robust recovery and accelerated growth over the subsequent two years.
Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF) Performance
Cash flow generation showed extreme variance throughout the analyzed period. FCFF grew from 231.7 million USD in 2017 to 623.9 million USD in 2018, before plummeting to a marginal 13.1 million USD in 2019. A strong recovery followed, with FCFF reaching a period high of 1.06 billion USD in 2021, indicating a substantial increase in the firm's ability to generate cash available to all capital providers.
EV/FCFF Ratio Interpretation
The EV/FCFF ratio serves as a primary indicator of valuation relative to cash generation. The ratio decreased from 60.69 in 2017 to 24.92 in 2018, reflecting improved efficiency. In 2019, the ratio spiked to an anomalous 917.26, a direct result of the sharp decline in FCFF. However, this was corrected by 2020 and 2021, with the ratio falling to 26.98 and 19.87 respectively. The 2021 figure represents the most favorable valuation efficiency in the five-year sequence, as the growth in cash flow outpaced the increase in enterprise value.

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