Stock Analysis on Net

Mosaic Co. (NYSE:MOS)

$22.49

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since August 2, 2022.

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Mosaic Co., economic profit calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2021 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Mosaic Co., NOPAT calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Net earnings (loss) attributable to Mosaic
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts2
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents3
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability4
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense5
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes6
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income7
Investment income, after taxes8
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings (loss) attributable to Mosaic.

4 2021 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

5 2021 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings (loss) attributable to Mosaic.

7 2021 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

8 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


The financial performance displayed over the reported periods reveals significant volatility in key profitability measures.

Net Earnings (Loss) Attributable to Mosaic
The net earnings figures exhibit substantial fluctuations across the five-year span. In 2017, the company recorded a net loss of approximately $107.2 million. This shifted positively in 2018, showing a net profit of $470 million. However, this trend reversed sharply in 2019, with net losses deepening to roughly $1.067 billion. The year 2020 marked a recovery with net earnings rising to $666.1 million, followed by further strong gains in 2021, reaching about $1.63 billion. This pattern indicates a high degree of instability in profitability, with pronounced losses in 2017 and 2019 contrasted by substantial profits in 2018, 2020, and 2021.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT values similarly demonstrate marked variability. In 2017, NOPAT was approximately $610.5 million, followed by a decline to $515.1 million in 2018. The most notable change occurred in 2019, with NOPAT plunging to a negative $1.198 billion, signaling operational challenges. In 2020, NOPAT rebounded to $136.4 million, and then grew significantly to about $1.88 billion in 2021. The results suggest a recovery in operational efficiency beginning in 2020 after a considerable downturn in 2019, with 2021 marking the highest operational profitability within the period.

Overall, the data demonstrates a pattern of extreme fluctuations in both net earnings and operating profitability. The year 2019 represents a significant downturn in both measures, followed by a phased recovery in the subsequent years. The company’s financial results reflect considerable volatility possibly driven by external market conditions or internal operational factors that affected profitability during the reviewed timeframe.


Cash Operating Taxes

Mosaic Co., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Provision for (benefit from) income taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).


Provision for (benefit from) income taxes
The provision for income taxes exhibited considerable volatility over the five-year period. In 2017, the provision was a positive amount close to $495 million, indicating a tax expense. This sharply declined in 2018 to approximately $77 million, followed by a notable shift into a tax benefit in 2019 and 2020, with negative amounts of roughly $225 million and $579 million respectively. However, in 2021, the provision reverted to a tax expense of around $598 million. This fluctuation suggests significant changes in taxable income or tax-related adjustments during these years.
Cash operating taxes
Cash operating taxes demonstrated an increasing trend with some fluctuations. In 2017, a negative value near -$69 million indicates a tax benefit or refund during that year. From 2018 onwards, cash operating taxes were positive and generally growing, rising from about $211 million in 2018 to over $526 million in 2021. This progressive increase in cash taxes paid corresponds with a return to a positive tax provision in 2021, reflecting higher tax payments aligning with increased taxable earnings or changes in tax liabilities.

Invested Capital

Mosaic Co., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Short-term debt
Current maturities of long-term debt
Structured accounts payable arrangements
Long-term debt, less current maturities
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Total Mosaic stockholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowance for doubtful accounts3
Equity equivalents4
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax5
Non-controlling interests
Adjusted total Mosaic stockholders’ equity
Construction in-progress6
Marketable securities held in trust7
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of equity equivalents to total Mosaic stockholders’ equity.

5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

6 Subtraction of construction in-progress.

7 Subtraction of marketable securities held in trust.


Total reported debt & leases
The total reported debt and leases exhibit a general declining trend over the period analyzed. Starting at approximately 5.88 billion USD at the end of 2017, the liabilities decreased to about 5.15 billion USD by the end of 2021. This represents a consistent reduction in debt levels during the timeframe, with the most notable year-on-year decrease occurring between 2019 and 2021, indicating potential efforts to deleverage or optimize debt management.
Total Mosaic stockholders’ equity
Stockholders’ equity showed fluctuations but overall an increasing trend. It grew from roughly 9.62 billion USD at the end of 2017 to about 10.60 billion USD by the end of 2021. After peaking above 10.39 billion USD in 2018, equity declined somewhat in 2019 but rebounded in the following years, suggesting periods of both capital accretion and consolidation. The equity levels at the end of the period are the highest reported and indicate strengthening shareholders' financial interest in the company.
Invested capital
Invested capital remained relatively stable with minor fluctuations, beginning at approximately 15.02 billion USD in 2017 and ending at about 15.84 billion USD in 2021. The values show a slight increase overall but include periods of decline, notably between 2018 and 2020. The general stability of invested capital indicates consistent asset or business investments relative to the company's size, without extreme expansions or contractions.
Summary of trends and insights
The data reflect a company progressively reducing its total debt and lease obligations over the five-year span, positively impacting financial leverage and possibly credit risk. Concurrently, the rise in stockholders’ equity suggests that the company has successfully maintained or increased its capital base, which may result from retained earnings or additional equity infusion. The sturdiness of invested capital further reinforces a stable investment footing. Taken together, these patterns imply a strategic emphasis on strengthening the balance sheet and maintaining capital adequacy while potentially streamlining debt exposure.

Cost of Capital

Mosaic Co., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Total debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Total debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Total debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Total debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Total debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Total debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Total debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Total debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Total debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Total debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Mosaic Co., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Linde plc
Sherwin-Williams Co.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2021 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit Margin

Mosaic Co., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1
Net sales
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Linde plc
Sherwin-Williams Co.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2021 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net sales
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.