Stock Analysis on Net

Eaton Corp. plc (NYSE:ETN)

Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)

Microsoft Excel

Rates of Return

Eaton Corp. plc, monthly rates of return

Microsoft Excel
Eaton Corp. plc (ETN) Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500)
t Date PriceETN,t1 DividendETN,t1 RETN,t2 PriceS&P 500,t RS&P 500,t3
Jan 31, 2020 $94.47 3,225.52
1. Feb 29, 2020 $90.72 -3.97% 2,954.22 -8.41%
2. Mar 31, 2020 $77.69 $0.73 -13.56% 2,584.59 -12.51%
3. Apr 30, 2020 $83.50 7.48% 2,912.43 12.68%
. . . . . . .
. . . . . . .
. . . . . . .
58. Nov 30, 2024 $375.42 $0.94 13.51% 6,032.38 5.73%
59. Dec 31, 2024 $331.87 -11.60% 5,881.63 -2.50%
Average (R): 2.60% 1.16%
Standard deviation: 7.46% 5.28%
Eaton Corp. plc (ETN) Standard & Poor’s 500 (S&P 500)
t Date PriceETN,t1 DividendETN,t1 RETN,t2 PriceS&P 500,t RS&P 500,t3
Jan 31, 2020 $94.47 3,225.52
1. Feb 29, 2020 $90.72 -3.97% 2,954.22 -8.41%
2. Mar 31, 2020 $77.69 $0.73 -13.56% 2,584.59 -12.51%
3. Apr 30, 2020 $83.50 7.48% 2,912.43 12.68%
4. May 31, 2020 $84.90 $0.73 2.55% 3,044.31 4.53%
5. Jun 30, 2020 $87.48 3.04% 3,100.29 1.84%
6. Jul 31, 2020 $93.13 6.46% 3,271.12 5.51%
7. Aug 31, 2020 $102.10 $0.73 10.42% 3,500.31 7.01%
8. Sep 30, 2020 $102.03 -0.07% 3,363.00 -3.92%
9. Oct 31, 2020 $103.79 1.72% 3,269.96 -2.77%
10. Nov 30, 2020 $121.11 $0.73 17.39% 3,621.63 10.75%
11. Dec 31, 2020 $120.14 -0.80% 3,756.07 3.71%
12. Jan 31, 2021 $117.70 -2.03% 3,714.24 -1.11%
13. Feb 28, 2021 $130.19 10.61% 3,811.15 2.61%
14. Mar 31, 2021 $138.28 $0.76 6.80% 3,972.89 4.24%
15. Apr 30, 2021 $142.93 3.36% 4,181.17 5.24%
16. May 31, 2021 $145.25 $0.76 2.15% 4,204.11 0.55%
17. Jun 30, 2021 $148.18 2.02% 4,297.50 2.22%
18. Jul 31, 2021 $158.05 6.66% 4,395.26 2.27%
19. Aug 31, 2021 $168.36 $0.76 7.00% 4,522.68 2.90%
20. Sep 30, 2021 $149.31 -11.32% 4,307.54 -4.76%
21. Oct 31, 2021 $164.76 10.35% 4,605.38 6.91%
22. Nov 30, 2021 $162.06 $0.76 -1.18% 4,567.00 -0.83%
23. Dec 31, 2021 $172.82 6.64% 4,766.18 4.36%
24. Jan 31, 2022 $158.43 -8.33% 4,515.55 -5.26%
25. Feb 28, 2022 $154.29 -2.61% 4,373.94 -3.14%
26. Mar 31, 2022 $151.76 $0.81 -1.11% 4,530.41 3.58%
27. Apr 30, 2022 $145.02 -4.44% 4,131.93 -8.80%
28. May 31, 2022 $138.60 $0.81 -3.87% 4,132.15 0.01%
29. Jun 30, 2022 $125.99 -9.10% 3,785.38 -8.39%
30. Jul 31, 2022 $148.39 17.78% 4,130.29 9.11%
31. Aug 31, 2022 $136.64 $0.81 -7.37% 3,955.00 -4.24%
32. Sep 30, 2022 $133.36 -2.40% 3,585.62 -9.34%
33. Oct 31, 2022 $150.07 12.53% 3,871.98 7.99%
34. Nov 30, 2022 $163.45 $0.81 9.46% 4,080.11 5.38%
35. Dec 31, 2022 $156.95 -3.98% 3,839.50 -5.90%
36. Jan 31, 2023 $162.21 3.35% 4,076.60 6.18%
37. Feb 28, 2023 $174.93 7.84% 3,970.15 -2.61%
38. Mar 31, 2023 $171.34 $0.86 -1.56% 4,109.31 3.51%
39. Apr 30, 2023 $167.12 -2.46% 4,169.48 1.46%
40. May 31, 2023 $175.90 $0.86 5.77% 4,179.83 0.25%
41. Jun 30, 2023 $201.10 14.33% 4,376.86 4.71%
42. Jul 31, 2023 $205.32 2.10% 4,588.96 4.85%
43. Aug 31, 2023 $230.37 $0.86 12.62% 4,507.66 -1.77%
44. Sep 30, 2023 $213.28 -7.42% 4,288.05 -4.87%
45. Oct 31, 2023 $207.91 -2.52% 4,193.80 -2.20%
46. Nov 30, 2023 $227.69 $0.86 9.93% 4,567.80 8.92%
47. Dec 31, 2023 $240.82 5.77% 4,769.83 4.42%
48. Jan 31, 2024 $246.08 2.18% 4,845.65 1.59%
49. Feb 29, 2024 $289.00 17.44% 5,096.27 5.17%
50. Mar 31, 2024 $312.68 $0.94 8.52% 5,254.35 3.10%
51. Apr 30, 2024 $318.26 1.78% 5,035.69 -4.16%
52. May 31, 2024 $332.85 $0.94 4.88% 5,277.51 4.80%
53. Jun 30, 2024 $313.55 -5.80% 5,460.48 3.47%
54. Jul 31, 2024 $304.79 -2.79% 5,522.30 1.13%
55. Aug 31, 2024 $306.93 $0.94 1.01% 5,648.40 2.28%
56. Sep 30, 2024 $331.44 7.99% 5,762.48 2.02%
57. Oct 31, 2024 $331.58 0.04% 5,705.45 -0.99%
58. Nov 30, 2024 $375.42 $0.94 13.51% 6,032.38 5.73%
59. Dec 31, 2024 $331.87 -11.60% 5,881.63 -2.50%
Average (R): 2.60% 1.16%
Standard deviation: 7.46% 5.28%

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1 Data in US$ per share of common stock, adjusted for splits and stock dividends.

2 Rate of return on common stock of ETN during period t

3 Rate of return on S&P 500 (the market portfolio proxy) during period t


Variance and Covariance

Eaton Corp. plc, calculation of variance and covariance of returns

Microsoft Excel
t Date RETN,t RS&P 500,t (RETN,tRETN)2 (RS&P 500,tRS&P 500)2 (RETN,tRETN)×(RS&P 500,tRS&P 500)
1. Feb 29, 2020 -3.97% -8.41% 43.11 91.63 62.85
2. Mar 31, 2020 -13.56% -12.51% 260.97 186.96 220.88
3. Apr 30, 2020 7.48% 12.68% 23.83 132.78 56.26
. . . . . . .
. . . . . . .
. . . . . . .
58. Nov 30, 2024 13.51% 5.73% 119.00 20.87 49.84
59. Dec 31, 2024 -11.60% -2.50% 201.55 13.40 51.96
Total (Σ): 3,228.34 1,618.62 1,692.80
t Date RETN,t RS&P 500,t (RETN,tRETN)2 (RS&P 500,tRS&P 500)2 (RETN,tRETN)×(RS&P 500,tRS&P 500)
1. Feb 29, 2020 -3.97% -8.41% 43.11 91.63 62.85
2. Mar 31, 2020 -13.56% -12.51% 260.97 186.96 220.88
3. Apr 30, 2020 7.48% 12.68% 23.83 132.78 56.26
4. May 31, 2020 2.55% 4.53% 0.00 11.34 -0.15
5. Jun 30, 2020 3.04% 1.84% 0.20 0.46 0.30
6. Jul 31, 2020 6.46% 5.51% 14.92 18.91 16.80
7. Aug 31, 2020 10.42% 7.01% 61.14 34.17 45.70
8. Sep 30, 2020 -0.07% -3.92% 7.10 25.85 13.55
9. Oct 31, 2020 1.72% -2.77% 0.76 15.43 3.42
10. Nov 30, 2020 17.39% 10.75% 218.88 92.03 141.93
11. Dec 31, 2020 -0.80% 3.71% 11.54 6.51 -8.67
12. Jan 31, 2021 -2.03% -1.11% 21.41 5.18 10.53
13. Feb 28, 2021 10.61% 2.61% 64.25 2.10 11.61
14. Mar 31, 2021 6.80% 4.24% 17.65 9.50 12.95
15. Apr 30, 2021 3.36% 5.24% 0.59 16.66 3.13
16. May 31, 2021 2.15% 0.55% 0.19 0.38 0.27
17. Jun 30, 2021 2.02% 2.22% 0.34 1.12 -0.61
18. Jul 31, 2021 6.66% 2.27% 16.52 1.24 4.53
19. Aug 31, 2021 7.00% 2.90% 19.43 3.02 7.66
20. Sep 30, 2021 -11.32% -4.76% 193.53 35.02 82.33
21. Oct 31, 2021 10.35% 6.91% 60.08 33.10 44.59
22. Nov 30, 2021 -1.18% -0.83% 14.24 3.98 7.53
23. Dec 31, 2021 6.64% 4.36% 16.35 10.24 12.94
24. Jan 31, 2022 -8.33% -5.26% 119.31 41.21 70.12
25. Feb 28, 2022 -2.61% -3.14% 27.14 18.47 22.39
26. Mar 31, 2022 -1.11% 3.58% 13.77 5.84 -8.97
27. Apr 30, 2022 -4.44% -8.80% 49.53 99.14 70.07
28. May 31, 2022 -3.87% 0.01% 41.79 1.34 7.47
29. Jun 30, 2022 -9.10% -8.39% 136.76 91.26 111.72
30. Jul 31, 2022 17.78% 9.11% 230.52 63.21 120.71
31. Aug 31, 2022 -7.37% -4.24% 99.38 29.22 53.88
32. Sep 30, 2022 -2.40% -9.34% 24.97 110.27 52.47
33. Oct 31, 2022 12.53% 7.99% 98.68 46.58 67.80
34. Nov 30, 2022 9.46% 5.38% 47.05 17.76 28.90
35. Dec 31, 2022 -3.98% -5.90% 43.21 49.82 46.40
36. Jan 31, 2023 3.35% 6.18% 0.57 25.14 3.79
37. Feb 28, 2023 7.84% -2.61% 27.51 14.23 -19.79
38. Mar 31, 2023 -1.56% 3.51% 17.28 5.49 -9.74
39. Apr 30, 2023 -2.46% 1.46% 25.60 0.09 -1.53
40. May 31, 2023 5.77% 0.25% 10.06 0.83 -2.90
41. Jun 30, 2023 14.33% 4.71% 137.59 12.62 41.67
42. Jul 31, 2023 2.10% 4.85% 0.25 13.58 -1.83
43. Aug 31, 2023 12.62% -1.77% 100.46 8.60 -29.40
44. Sep 30, 2023 -7.42% -4.87% 100.30 36.40 60.42
45. Oct 31, 2023 -2.52% -2.20% 26.15 11.28 17.18
46. Nov 30, 2023 9.93% 8.92% 53.74 60.17 56.86
47. Dec 31, 2023 5.77% 4.42% 10.05 10.64 10.34
48. Jan 31, 2024 2.18% 1.59% 0.17 0.18 -0.18
49. Feb 29, 2024 17.44% 5.17% 220.38 16.09 59.54
50. Mar 31, 2024 8.52% 3.10% 35.08 3.77 11.49
51. Apr 30, 2024 1.78% -4.16% 0.66 28.33 4.32
52. May 31, 2024 4.88% 4.80% 5.21 13.26 8.31
53. Jun 30, 2024 -5.80% 3.47% 70.47 5.32 -19.36
54. Jul 31, 2024 -2.79% 1.13% 29.05 0.00 0.16
55. Aug 31, 2024 1.01% 2.28% 2.51 1.26 -1.78
56. Sep 30, 2024 7.99% 2.02% 29.04 0.74 4.63
57. Oct 31, 2024 0.04% -0.99% 6.52 4.63 5.49
58. Nov 30, 2024 13.51% 5.73% 119.00 20.87 49.84
59. Dec 31, 2024 -11.60% -2.50% 201.55 13.40 51.96
Total (Σ): 3,228.34 1,618.62 1,692.80

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VarianceETN = Σ(RETN,tRETN)2 ÷ (59 – 1)
= 3,228.34 ÷ (59 – 1)
= 55.66

VarianceS&P 500 = Σ(RS&P 500,tRS&P 500)2 ÷ (59 – 1)
= 1,618.62 ÷ (59 – 1)
= 27.91

CovarianceETN, S&P 500 = Σ(RETN,tRETN)×(RS&P 500,tRS&P 500) ÷ (59 – 1)
= 1,692.80 ÷ (59 – 1)
= 29.19


Systematic Risk (β) Estimation

Microsoft Excel
VarianceETN 55.66
VarianceS&P 500 27.91
CovarianceETN, S&P 500 29.19
Correlation coefficientETN, S&P 5001 0.74
βETN2 1.05
αETN3 1.38%

Calculations

1 Correlation coefficientETN, S&P 500
= CovarianceETN, S&P 500 ÷ (Standard deviationETN × Standard deviationS&P 500)
= 29.19 ÷ (7.46% × 5.28%)
= 0.74

2 βETN
= CovarianceETN, S&P 500 ÷ VarianceS&P 500
= 29.19 ÷ 27.91
= 1.05

3 αETN
= AverageETN – βETN × AverageS&P 500
= 2.60%1.05 × 1.16%
= 1.38%


Expected Rate of Return

Microsoft Excel
Assumptions
Rate of return on LT Treasury Composite1 RF 4.94%
Expected rate of return on market portfolio2 E(RM) 14.84%
Systematic risk (β) of Eaton Corp. plc common stock βETN 1.05
 
Expected rate of return on Eaton Corp. plc common stock3 E(RETN) 15.29%

1 Unweighted average of bid yields on all outstanding fixed-coupon U.S. Treasury bonds neither due or callable in less than 10 years (risk-free rate of return proxy).

2 See details »

3 E(RETN) = RF + βETN [E(RM) – RF]
= 4.94% + 1.05 [14.84%4.94%]
= 15.29%