Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-02-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-02-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-02-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-02-28).
An analysis of the financial performance from February 2017 to February 2022 reveals a significant divergence between the steady growth of operating cash flows and the high volatility of free cash flow to equity (FCFE).
- Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities
- A consistent upward trajectory is observed between 2017 and 2021, with annual cash flows increasing from 1.696 billion US$ to 2.807 billion US$. A marginal contraction occurred in 2022, with the figure settling at 2.705 billion US$, suggesting a stable and growing capacity to generate cash from core business operations.
- Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE) Volatility
- FCFE exhibited extreme fluctuations over the analyzed period. A substantial peak occurred in February 2019, reaching 4.966 billion US$, which significantly exceeded the operating cash flow for that year. This was followed by a precipitous decline in 2020 and 2021, with values dropping to 359.8 million US$ and 154.1 million US$, respectively. A recovery was evident in February 2022, as FCFE rose to 1.597 billion US$.
- Analysis of Cash Flow Divergence
- The marked difference between operating cash flows and FCFE indicates significant fluctuations in capital expenditures or net borrowing. The 2019 spike suggests a period of substantial financing inflows or divestitures. In contrast, the sharp decline in FCFE during 2020 and 2021, despite increasing operating cash flows, points toward a period of intensive capital investment or aggressive debt repayment, which restricted the cash available to equity shareholders.
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Price to FCFE Ratio, Current
| No. shares of common stock outstanding | 184,550,904 |
| Selected Financial Data (US$) | |
| Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) (in thousands) | 1,597,300) |
| FCFE per share | 8.66 |
| Current share price (P) | 208.68 |
| Valuation Ratio | |
| P/FCFE | 24.11 |
| Benchmarks | |
| P/FCFE, Competitors1 | |
| Coca-Cola Co. | 77.38 |
| Mondelēz International Inc. | 15.78 |
| PepsiCo Inc. | 16.28 |
| Philip Morris International Inc. | 25.39 |
| P/FCFE, Sector | |
| Food, Beverage & Tobacco | 22.85 |
| P/FCFE, Industry | |
| Consumer Staples | 41.33 |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-02-28).
1 Click competitor name to see calculations.
If the company P/FCFE is lower then the P/FCFE of benchmark then company is relatively undervalued.
Otherwise, if the company P/FCFE is higher then the P/FCFE of benchmark then company is relatively overvalued.
Price to FCFE Ratio, Historical
| Feb 28, 2022 | Feb 28, 2021 | Feb 29, 2020 | Feb 28, 2019 | Feb 28, 2018 | Feb 28, 2017 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. shares of common stock outstanding1 | 188,217,466 | 194,027,715 | 192,840,856 | 191,349,811 | 191,391,478 | 194,800,645 | |
| Selected Financial Data (US$) | |||||||
| Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) (in thousands)2 | 1,597,300) | 154,100) | 359,800) | 4,965,700) | 1,693,500) | 1,965,400) | |
| FCFE per share3 | 8.49 | 0.79 | 1.87 | 25.95 | 8.85 | 10.09 | |
| Share price1, 4 | 254.21 | 238.31 | 153.02 | 207.48 | 228.26 | 171.06 | |
| Valuation Ratio | |||||||
| P/FCFE5 | 29.95 | 300.06 | 82.01 | 8.00 | 25.80 | 16.95 | |
| Benchmarks | |||||||
| P/FCFE, Competitors6 | |||||||
| Coca-Cola Co. | 29.91 | 23.29 | — | — | — | — | |
| Mondelēz International Inc. | 14.10 | 30.57 | — | — | — | — | |
| PepsiCo Inc. | 47.17 | 77.00 | — | — | — | — | |
| Philip Morris International Inc. | 6.64 | 20.46 | — | — | — | — | |
| P/FCFE, Sector | |||||||
| Food, Beverage & Tobacco | 16.95 | 29.54 | — | — | — | — | |
| P/FCFE, Industry | |||||||
| Consumer Staples | 25.27 | 24.83 | — | — | — | — | |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-02-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-02-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-02-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-02-28).
1 Data adjusted for splits and stock dividends.
3 2022 Calculation
FCFE per share = FCFE ÷ No. shares of common stock outstanding
= 1,597,300,000 ÷ 188,217,466 = 8.49
4 Closing price as at the filing date of Constellation Brands Inc. Annual Report.
5 2022 Calculation
P/FCFE = Share price ÷ FCFE per share
= 254.21 ÷ 8.49 = 29.95
6 Click competitor name to see calculations.
The financial performance from February 2017 to February 2022 is characterized by significant volatility in cash flow generation and a subsequent extreme impact on valuation multiples. While the share price followed a general upward trajectory over the six-year period, the Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE) per share experienced dramatic fluctuations, leading to inconsistent P/FCFE ratios.
- Share Price Evolution
- The share price grew from 171.06 US$ in 2017 to 254.21 US$ in 2022. A notable contraction occurred in February 2020, with the price dropping to 153.02 US$, followed by a strong recovery in 2021 and 2022, where prices reached 238.31 US$ and 254.21 US$, respectively.
- FCFE per Share Trends
- FCFE per share demonstrated extreme instability. A significant peak occurred in February 2019 at 25.95 US$. This was followed by a severe decline, plummeting to 1.87 US$ in 2020 and reaching a period low of 0.79 US$ in 2021. A recovery was observed by February 2022, with the value rising to 8.49 US$.
- P/FCFE Ratio Analysis
- The P/FCFE ratio mirrored the instability of the cash flow metrics. In February 2019, the ratio reached a period low of 8.00, indicating a valuation highly supported by strong cash flow. In contrast, the ratio spiked to 82.01 in 2020 and reached an extreme peak of 300.06 in 2021. This surge highlights a period where the market valuation remained high despite a near-total collapse in FCFE per share. By February 2022, the ratio corrected to 29.95 as cash flow generation improved.
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