Economic Value Added (EVA)
EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.
Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.
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Carrier Global Corp. pages available for free this week:
- Income Statement
- Balance Sheet: Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity
- Common-Size Balance Sheet: Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity
- Analysis of Profitability Ratios
- Analysis of Liquidity Ratios
- Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
- Debt to Equity since 2020
- Price to Operating Profit (P/OP) since 2020
- Price to Book Value (P/BV) since 2020
- Aggregate Accruals
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Economic Profit
Carrier Global Corp., economic profit calculation
US$ in millions
| 12 months ended: | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 | ||||
| Cost of capital2 | ||||
| Invested capital3 | ||||
| Economic profit4 | ||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 NOPAT. See details »
2 Cost of capital. See details »
3 Invested capital. See details »
4 2022 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= – × =
A significant transition in value creation is observed over the three-year period ending December 31, 2022. The organization shifted from a state of economic value destruction in 2020 and 2021 to a state of positive economic profit by 2022, indicating that operating returns finally exceeded the cost of the capital employed.
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- NOPAT exhibited volatility, decreasing from US$ 2,367 million in 2020 to US$ 1,932 million in 2021, before experiencing a substantial increase to US$ 3,800 million in 2022. This sharp rise in the final year serves as the primary driver for the reversal in economic profit.
- Cost of Capital
- The cost of capital followed a consistent upward trajectory, rising from 14.71% in 2020 to 15.66% in 2021, and reaching 16.29% by 2022. This increasing trend indicates a rising hurdle rate, meaning the company required higher operating returns each year to achieve positive economic value added.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital remained relatively stable, with a slight dip to US$ 18,835 million in 2021 from US$ 19,032 million in 2020, followed by an increase to US$ 19,880 million in 2022. The relative stability of the capital base suggests that the growth in economic profit was driven by operational efficiency and profitability rather than significant changes in the capital structure.
- Economic Profit Performance
- Economic profit remained negative for the first two years, with a notable decline in 2021 to negative US$ 1,017 million, reflecting a failure to cover the cost of capital. However, a decisive turnaround occurred in 2022, with economic profit shifting to positive US$ 561 million. This indicates that despite the rising cost of capital, the growth in NOPAT was sufficient to generate a surplus over the required return on invested capital.
Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)
Carrier Global Corp., NOPAT calculation
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »
2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for expected credit losses.
3 Addition of increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve. See details »
4 Addition of increase (decrease) in product warranty provisions.
5 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring reserve.
6 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income attributable to common shareowners.
7 2022 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =
8 2022 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
9 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income attributable to common shareowners.
The analysis of the financial data over the three reported years reveals notable fluctuations in key profitability metrics, specifically net income attributable to common shareowners and net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT).
- Net income attributable to common shareowners
- This measure shows a decrease from 1982 million US dollars in 2020 to 1664 million US dollars in 2021, indicating a reduction of approximately 16%. However, in 2022, there is a significant recovery and growth, with net income rising sharply to 3534 million US dollars. This represents more than a doubling from the prior year and an overall increase compared to 2020. The pattern suggests that while 2021 experienced a dip in profitability, 2022 saw a robust improvement and strong earnings performance.
- Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)
- Like net income, NOPAT declined from 2367 million US dollars in 2020 to 1932 million US dollars in 2021, reflecting a decrease of approximately 18%. In 2022, NOPAT rebounded substantially to 3800 million US dollars, surpassing both previous years. This improvement in NOPAT illustrates enhanced operational efficiency and a stronger bottom-line operating profit after accounting for taxes during the most recent year.
Overall, the data presents a trend of initial earnings contraction in 2021, potentially due to external or internal challenges affecting profitability, followed by a marked recovery and growth in 2022. The increase in both net income and NOPAT in 2022 underscores a positive shift in financial performance and operational results. This recovery phase suggests successful strategic or operational adjustments leading to substantial value creation for shareholders.
Cash Operating Taxes
Carrier Global Corp., cash operating taxes calculation
US$ in millions
| 12 months ended: | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income tax expense | ||||
| Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) | ||||
| Add: Tax savings from interest expense | ||||
| Cash operating taxes |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
The financial data for the periods ending December 31, 2020, 2021, and 2022 reveal the following trends in tax-related expenses.
- Income Tax Expense
- The income tax expense shows a decline from US$ 849 million in 2020 to US$ 699 million in 2021, representing a significant decrease. However, in 2022, income tax expense exhibited a slight increase to US$ 708 million. Overall, the expense decreased year-over-year from 2020 to 2022, but the change from 2021 to 2022 indicates a modest upward adjustment.
- Cash Operating Taxes
- The cash operating taxes consistently increased over the three years. Starting from US$ 820 million in 2020, it rose to US$ 844 million in 2021, and further increased to US$ 900 million in 2022. This steady upward trend may indicate higher cash tax obligations or changes in operating taxable income over the observed period.
In summary, while reported income tax expenses decreased initially and then slightly increased, cash taxes paid showed a consistent rise. This divergence may suggest timing differences between recognized tax expense and actual cash tax payments, or changes in tax planning, credits, or provisions affecting the income tax expense recognition.
Invested Capital
Carrier Global Corp., invested capital calculation (financing approach)
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.
2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »
3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.
4 Addition of LIFO reserve. See details »
5 Addition of product warranty provisions.
6 Addition of restructuring reserve.
7 Addition of equity equivalents to equity attributable to common shareowners.
8 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.
- Total reported debt & leases
- There is a clear downward trend in total reported debt and leases over the three-year period. The value decreased from $11,030 million at the end of 2020 to $10,353 million in 2021, and further declined to $9,503 million by the end of 2022. This indicates a consistent reduction in the company's leverage or obligations related to debt and leases.
- Equity attributable to common shareowners
- Equity attributable to common shareowners shows a steady increase each year. Starting at $6,252 million in 2020, it rose to $6,767 million in 2021 and further increased to $7,758 million in 2022. This growth suggests improvements in the company's net worth and possibly retained earnings or capital infusion over the period.
- Invested capital
- Invested capital remained relatively stable in 2020 and 2021, with a slight decrease from $19,032 million to $18,835 million. However, there was a notable increase to $19,880 million in 2022. This indicates a modest growth in the total capital deployed in the company’s operations by the end of the third year.
Cost of Capital
Carrier Global Corp., cost of capital calculations
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Long-term debt, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Long-term debt, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Long-term debt, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Economic Spread Ratio
Carrier Global Corp., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks
| Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||
| Invested capital2 | ||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||
| Economic spread ratio3 | ||||
| Benchmarks | ||||
| Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4 | ||||
| Boeing Co. | ||||
| Caterpillar Inc. | ||||
| Eaton Corp. plc | ||||
| GE Aerospace | ||||
| Honeywell International Inc. | ||||
| Lockheed Martin Corp. | ||||
| RTX Corp. | ||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 Invested capital. See details »
3 2022 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =
4 Click competitor name to see calculations.
The analysis of economic value creation reveals a significant turnaround in financial performance between 2020 and 2022. After experiencing a decline in value generation during the first two years, the company transitioned to a positive economic contribution by the end of the period.
- Economic Profit Trends
- Economic profit exhibited substantial volatility, starting at a deficit of 433 million USD in 2020 and widening to a deficit of 1,017 million USD in 2021. However, a sharp reversal occurred in 2022, with economic profit shifting to a positive 561 million USD, indicating that the company began generating returns in excess of its cost of capital.
- Invested Capital Stability
- Invested capital remained relatively stable throughout the three-year period, fluctuating slightly around the 19 billion USD mark. A minor decrease was noted in 2021 to 18,835 million USD, followed by an increase to 19,880 million USD in 2022. This stability suggests that the changes in economic profit were driven by operational performance and cost of capital dynamics rather than significant changes in the capital base.
- Economic Spread Ratio Analysis
- The economic spread ratio mirrored the trajectory of economic profit, reflecting the efficiency of capital utilization. The ratio deteriorated from -2.27% in 2020 to -5.40% in 2021, marking a period of value destruction. In 2022, the ratio rebounded to 2.82%, confirming a shift toward positive economic value added and indicating that the return on invested capital surpassed the weighted average cost of capital.
Economic Profit Margin
Carrier Global Corp., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks
| Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||
| Net sales | ||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||
| Economic profit margin2 | ||||
| Benchmarks | ||||
| Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3 | ||||
| Boeing Co. | ||||
| Caterpillar Inc. | ||||
| Eaton Corp. plc | ||||
| GE Aerospace | ||||
| Honeywell International Inc. | ||||
| Lockheed Martin Corp. | ||||
| RTX Corp. | ||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 2022 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net sales
= 100 × ÷ =
3 Click competitor name to see calculations.
A significant turnaround in economic value creation was observed between 2020 and 2022. After two consecutive years of negative economic profit, the transition to a positive value in 2022 indicates that the returns generated began to exceed the company's cost of capital.
- Economic Profit Volatility
- Economic profit experienced a notable decline from 2020 to 2021, falling from -433 million US$ to -1,017 million US$. This downward trend was reversed in 2022, when economic profit shifted to a positive 561 million US$, representing a substantial recovery in value creation.
- Net Sales Correlation
- Net sales grew from 17,456 million US$ in 2020 to 20,613 million US$ in 2021, before remaining relatively stable at 20,421 million US$ in 2022. The data indicates a divergence in 2021, where an increase in sales coincided with a deepening economic loss, suggesting that revenue growth during that period did not translate into efficient capital utilization.
- Economic Profit Margin Evolution
- The economic profit margin mirrored the volatility of the absolute economic profit figures. The margin deteriorated from -2.48% in 2020 to -4.94% in 2021, marking the lowest point of efficiency in the period. A strong recovery followed in 2022, with the margin climbing to 2.75%, confirming an improvement in the ability to generate surplus value relative to total sales.