Stock Analysis on Net

Carrier Global Corp. (NYSE:CARR)

$22.49

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since April 26, 2023.

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

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Economic Profit

Carrier Global Corp., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2022 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


The period under review demonstrates significant fluctuations in economic profit. Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) and invested capital experienced changes, alongside a consistently increasing cost of capital. These factors combined to produce varying economic profit results over the three years.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT decreased from US$2,367 million in 2020 to US$1,932 million in 2021, representing a decline. However, a substantial increase was observed in 2022, with NOPAT reaching US$3,800 million. This indicates a strong recovery and improved operational performance in the most recent year.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital exhibited a steady upward trend throughout the period. It rose from 14.76% in 2020 to 15.71% in 2021, and further increased to 16.35% in 2022. This suggests increasing risks or changing market conditions impacting the company’s funding costs.
Invested Capital
Invested capital showed a slight decrease between 2020 and 2021, moving from US$19,032 million to US$18,835 million. A subsequent increase was noted in 2022, with invested capital reaching US$19,880 million. This suggests potential investment activity or changes in working capital requirements.
Economic Profit
Economic profit was negative in both 2020 and 2021, at -US$443 million and -US$1,028 million respectively. This indicates that the company’s NOPAT was insufficient to cover its cost of capital during those years. However, economic profit turned positive in 2022, reaching US$550 million. This positive result suggests that the company generated returns exceeding its cost of capital in the latest period, driven by the substantial increase in NOPAT.

The shift from negative to positive economic profit in 2022 is a notable development. The increase in NOPAT appears to have outweighed the rising cost of capital, resulting in value creation for the company. Continued monitoring of these trends will be crucial to assess the sustainability of this improved performance.


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Carrier Global Corp., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net income attributable to common shareowners
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowance for expected credit losses2
Increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve3
Increase (decrease) in product warranty provisions4
Increase (decrease) in restructuring reserve5
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents6
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability7
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense8
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes9
Interest income
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for expected credit losses.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve. See details »

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in product warranty provisions.

5 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring reserve.

6 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income attributable to common shareowners.

7 2022 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

8 2022 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

9 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income attributable to common shareowners.


The analysis of the financial data over the three reported years reveals notable fluctuations in key profitability metrics, specifically net income attributable to common shareowners and net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT).

Net income attributable to common shareowners
This measure shows a decrease from 1982 million US dollars in 2020 to 1664 million US dollars in 2021, indicating a reduction of approximately 16%. However, in 2022, there is a significant recovery and growth, with net income rising sharply to 3534 million US dollars. This represents more than a doubling from the prior year and an overall increase compared to 2020. The pattern suggests that while 2021 experienced a dip in profitability, 2022 saw a robust improvement and strong earnings performance.
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)
Like net income, NOPAT declined from 2367 million US dollars in 2020 to 1932 million US dollars in 2021, reflecting a decrease of approximately 18%. In 2022, NOPAT rebounded substantially to 3800 million US dollars, surpassing both previous years. This improvement in NOPAT illustrates enhanced operational efficiency and a stronger bottom-line operating profit after accounting for taxes during the most recent year.

Overall, the data presents a trend of initial earnings contraction in 2021, potentially due to external or internal challenges affecting profitability, followed by a marked recovery and growth in 2022. The increase in both net income and NOPAT in 2022 underscores a positive shift in financial performance and operational results. This recovery phase suggests successful strategic or operational adjustments leading to substantial value creation for shareholders.


Cash Operating Taxes

Carrier Global Corp., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Income tax expense
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).


The financial data for the periods ending December 31, 2020, 2021, and 2022 reveal the following trends in tax-related expenses.

Income Tax Expense
The income tax expense shows a decline from US$ 849 million in 2020 to US$ 699 million in 2021, representing a significant decrease. However, in 2022, income tax expense exhibited a slight increase to US$ 708 million. Overall, the expense decreased year-over-year from 2020 to 2022, but the change from 2021 to 2022 indicates a modest upward adjustment.
Cash Operating Taxes
The cash operating taxes consistently increased over the three years. Starting from US$ 820 million in 2020, it rose to US$ 844 million in 2021, and further increased to US$ 900 million in 2022. This steady upward trend may indicate higher cash tax obligations or changes in operating taxable income over the observed period.

In summary, while reported income tax expenses decreased initially and then slightly increased, cash taxes paid showed a consistent rise. This divergence may suggest timing differences between recognized tax expense and actual cash tax payments, or changes in tax planning, credits, or provisions affecting the income tax expense recognition.


Invested Capital

Carrier Global Corp., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Current portion of long-term debt
Long-term debt, net of current portion
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Equity attributable to common shareowners
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowance for expected credit losses3
LIFO reserve4
Product warranty provisions5
Restructuring reserve6
Equity equivalents7
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax8
Non-controlling interest
Adjusted equity attributable to common shareowners
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of LIFO reserve. See details »

5 Addition of product warranty provisions.

6 Addition of restructuring reserve.

7 Addition of equity equivalents to equity attributable to common shareowners.

8 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.


Total reported debt & leases
There is a clear downward trend in total reported debt and leases over the three-year period. The value decreased from $11,030 million at the end of 2020 to $10,353 million in 2021, and further declined to $9,503 million by the end of 2022. This indicates a consistent reduction in the company's leverage or obligations related to debt and leases.
Equity attributable to common shareowners
Equity attributable to common shareowners shows a steady increase each year. Starting at $6,252 million in 2020, it rose to $6,767 million in 2021 and further increased to $7,758 million in 2022. This growth suggests improvements in the company's net worth and possibly retained earnings or capital infusion over the period.
Invested capital
Invested capital remained relatively stable in 2020 and 2021, with a slight decrease from $19,032 million to $18,835 million. However, there was a notable increase to $19,880 million in 2022. This indicates a modest growth in the total capital deployed in the company’s operations by the end of the third year.

Cost of Capital

Carrier Global Corp., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Carrier Global Corp., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Boeing Co.
Caterpillar Inc.
Eaton Corp. plc
GE Aerospace
Honeywell International Inc.
Lockheed Martin Corp.
RTX Corp.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2022 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The economic performance of the entity, as measured by economic value added (EVA) metrics, exhibited significant fluctuations between 2020 and 2022. Initially, the entity experienced negative economic profit, which transitioned to positive economic profit by the end of 2022. This shift is reflected in the economic spread ratio, which demonstrates a clear progression from negative to positive territory over the observed period.

Economic Profit
Economic profit decreased from a loss of US$443 million in 2020 to a larger loss of US$1,028 million in 2021. However, a substantial turnaround occurred in 2022, with economic profit reaching a gain of US$550 million. This indicates a considerable improvement in the entity’s ability to generate returns exceeding its cost of capital.
Invested Capital
Invested capital experienced a slight decrease from US$19,032 million in 2020 to US$18,835 million in 2021. A subsequent increase was observed in 2022, with invested capital rising to US$19,880 million. This suggests a moderate expansion in the capital base during the period.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio was negative in both 2020 and 2021, registering at -2.33% and -5.46% respectively. This signifies that the entity’s returns on invested capital were below its weighted average cost of capital during these years. However, the ratio turned positive in 2022, reaching 2.77%. This indicates that the entity generated returns exceeding its cost of capital in that year, demonstrating improved capital allocation efficiency.

The substantial improvement in the economic spread ratio in 2022, driven by the positive economic profit, suggests a successful implementation of strategies to enhance profitability and/or optimize capital utilization. The trend warrants further investigation to determine the sustainability of this positive performance.


Economic Profit Margin

Carrier Global Corp., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Net sales
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Boeing Co.
Caterpillar Inc.
Eaton Corp. plc
GE Aerospace
Honeywell International Inc.
Lockheed Martin Corp.
RTX Corp.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2022 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net sales
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The economic profit margin exhibited significant fluctuation over the observed period. Initially negative, it transitioned to a positive value by the final year. This shift is directly linked to changes in economic profit and net sales.

Economic Profit Margin
In 2020, the economic profit margin stood at -2.54%. This indicates that the company’s economic profit was 2.54% below the cost of capital applied to its net sales. A substantial decline was observed in 2021, with the margin falling to -4.99%. This suggests a worsening in the company’s ability to generate returns exceeding its cost of capital. However, a marked improvement occurred in 2022, as the economic profit margin rose to 2.69%. This signifies that the company generated economic profit equivalent to 2.69% of net sales, exceeding the cost of capital.

The economic profit margin’s movement closely mirrors that of economic profit itself. The negative margins in 2020 and 2021 correspond with negative economic profit values, while the positive margin in 2022 aligns with positive economic profit. Net sales increased from 2020 to 2021, but the economic profit declined more significantly, resulting in a larger negative margin. Although net sales decreased slightly from 2021 to 2022, the substantial increase in economic profit drove the margin into positive territory.

Key Observations
The company demonstrated an improved ability to generate returns above its cost of capital in 2022 compared to the prior two years. The change in economic profit margin suggests a potential shift in operational efficiency, capital allocation, or a combination of both. Further investigation into the drivers of economic profit is warranted to understand the sustainability of this improvement.