Stock Analysis on Net

Altria Group Inc. (NYSE:MO)

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since October 31, 2024.

Economic Value Added (EVA)

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EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.


Economic Profit

Altria Group Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 8,681 5,753 2,233 5,245 (482)
Cost of capital2 10.64% 10.95% 10.65% 10.15% 10.35%
Invested capital3 28,647 28,802 33,524 41,498 42,624
 
Economic profit4 5,634 2,600 (1,339) 1,031 (4,894)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2023 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 8,68110.64% × 28,647 = 5,634


The financial trajectory between 2019 and 2023 reflects a significant turnaround in economic value creation, shifting from substantial value destruction to consistent economic profit generation. This transition is characterized by a simultaneous increase in operating profitability and a strategic reduction in the capital base.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
A volatile but overall upward trajectory is observed. Following a negative result in 2019, NOPAT experienced a sharp recovery in 2020, a temporary decline in 2021, and a subsequent sustained increase, reaching a period high of US$ 8,681 million in 2023.
Invested Capital
A consistent downward trend is evident, with invested capital decreasing from US$ 42,624 million in 2019 to US$ 28,647 million in 2023. This reduction of approximately 33% suggests a strategic optimization of the asset base or a series of divestments that reduced the capital required to generate profits.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital remained relatively stable throughout the analyzed period, fluctuating within a narrow range between 10.15% and 10.95%. The stability of this metric indicates that the improvements in economic profit were driven by operational efficiency and capital reduction rather than a decrease in the cost of funding.
Economic Profit
Economic profit shifted from a deficit of US$ -4,894 million in 2019 to a surplus of US$ 5,634 million by 2023. While the period between 2020 and 2021 was marked by instability, the subsequent years show an accelerating growth pattern, confirming that the return on invested capital has risen significantly above the cost of capital.

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Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Altria Group Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Net earnings (losses) attributable to Altria 8,130 5,764 2,475 4,467 (1,293)
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 (230) (947) (1,160) (164) (95)
Increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve2 100 (100)
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents3 (230) (847) (1,160) (164) (195)
Interest expense 1,149 1,128 1,188 1,223 1,322
Adjusted interest expense 1,149 1,128 1,188 1,223 1,322
Tax benefit of interest expense4 (241) (237) (249) (257) (278)
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes5 908 891 939 966 1,044
Interest income (160) (70) (26) (14) (42)
Investment income, before taxes (160) (70) (26) (14) (42)
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income6 34 15 5 3 9
Investment income, after taxes7 (126) (55) (21) (11) (33)
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest (13) (5)
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 8,681 5,753 2,233 5,245 (482)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve. See details »

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings (losses) attributable to Altria.

4 2023 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= 1,149 × 21.00% = 241

5 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings (losses) attributable to Altria.

6 2023 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= 160 × 21.00% = 34

7 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


Net earnings (losses) attributable to Altria
The net earnings attributable to the company demonstrated significant volatility over the analyzed period. In 2019, the company reported a net loss of $1,293 million. However, a substantial recovery occurred in 2020, with net earnings increasing sharply to $4,467 million. This positive trend continued, albeit with fluctuations, as earnings decreased to $2,475 million in 2021 before rising again to $5,764 million in 2022 and further to $8,130 million in 2023. Overall, the data indicates a strong recovery and growth in earnings after the initial loss in 2019.
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT mirrored the pattern observed in net earnings, starting with a negative value of $482 million in 2019. This figure increased significantly to $5,245 million in 2020, reflecting improved operational profitability. After a decline to $2,233 million in 2021, NOPAT rebounded to $5,753 million in 2022 and further increased to $8,681 million in 2023. These trends signify a recovery in operating performance, with NOPAT surpassing net earnings figures consistently from 2020 onward, indicating effective operational management and tax impact considerations.

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Cash Operating Taxes

Altria Group Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Provision (benefit) for income taxes 2,798 1,625 1,349 2,436 2,064
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) (230) (947) (1,160) (164) (95)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense 241 237 249 257 278
Less: Tax imposed on investment income 34 15 5 3 9
Cash operating taxes 3,236 2,794 2,753 2,854 2,428

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).


Provision (benefit) for income taxes
The provision for income taxes experienced fluctuations over the five-year period. Starting at 2,064 million USD in 2019, it rose substantially to 2,436 million USD in 2020. A marked decline occurred in 2021, with the provision dropping to 1,349 million USD, followed by a moderate increase to 1,625 million USD in 2022. In 2023, the provision escalated sharply to 2,798 million USD, reaching its highest level in the observed period.
Cash operating taxes
Cash operating taxes showed a consistent upward trend across the years. The amount increased from 2,428 million USD in 2019 to 2,854 million USD in 2020. Although there was a minor decrease in 2021 to 2,753 million USD, the overall trajectory remained positive, with values climbing to 2,794 million USD in 2022 and further rising to 3,236 million USD in 2023. This indicates a steady growth in cash outflows related to operating taxes over the period.
Comparative Insights
While cash operating taxes demonstrated a relatively stable and progressive increase, the provision for income taxes displayed more volatility, with notable decreases and increases. The divergence between provision and cash taxes in some years, particularly in 2021 and 2023, could suggest variations in deferred tax accounting or changing tax planning strategies. The significant rise in both provisions and cash taxes in 2023 warrants careful examination to understand underlying drivers such as changes in taxable income or tax rates.

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Invested Capital

Altria Group Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Current portion of long-term debt 1,121 1,556 1,105 1,500 1,000
Long-term debt, excluding current portion 25,112 25,124 26,939 27,971 27,042
Total reported debt & leases 26,233 26,680 28,044 29,471 28,042
Stockholders’ equity (deficit) attributable to Altria (3,540) (3,973) (1,606) 2,839 6,222
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities1 2,771 2,822 3,665 4,433 5,023
LIFO reserve2 700 700 600 600 600
Equity equivalents3 3,471 3,522 4,265 5,033 5,623
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax4 2,673 2,771 3,056 4,341 2,864
Redeemable noncontrolling interest 40 38
Noncontrolling interests 50 50 86 97
Adjusted stockholders’ equity (deficit) attributable to Altria 2,654 2,370 5,715 12,339 14,844
Construction in progress5 (240) (248) (235) (312) (262)
Invested capital 28,647 28,802 33,524 41,498 42,624

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

2 Addition of LIFO reserve. See details »

3 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ equity (deficit) attributable to Altria.

4 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

5 Subtraction of construction in progress.


Total reported debt & leases

The total reported debt and leases show a relatively stable yet slightly declining trend over the five-year period. Starting at $28,042 million in 2019, the figure increased moderately to $29,471 million in 2020, signaling a short-term rise in liabilities. However, from 2021 onwards, the debt levels consistently decreased each year, falling to $28,044 million in 2021, $26,680 million in 2022, and further down to $26,233 million in 2023. This pattern suggests an effort to reduce overall debt and lease obligations after a peak in 2020.

Stockholders’ equity (deficit) attributable to Altria

The stockholders' equity attributable to the company experienced a marked and continuous decline throughout the period. Beginning at $6,222 million in 2019, equity reduced sharply to $2,839 million in 2020. In 2021, equity became negative, registering at -$1,606 million, indicating that liabilities exceeded assets. The negative trend intensified in subsequent years, reaching -$3,973 million in 2022 and slightly improving to -$3,540 million in 2023. This deterioration reflects possible sustained losses, share repurchases, or other factors diminishing equity value over time.

Invested capital

Invested capital demonstrated a clear downward trend from 2019 through 2023. It started relatively high at $42,624 million in 2019, followed by a moderate decline to $41,498 million in 2020. The reduction accelerated thereafter, with invested capital dropping to $33,524 million in 2021, and further to $28,802 million in 2022 and $28,647 million in 2023. The consistent decrease in invested capital suggests contraction in assets employed in the business or disposition of investments over the analyzed timeframe.

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Cost of Capital

Altria Group Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 72,126 72,126 ÷ 96,499 = 0.75 0.75 × 13.10% = 9.79%
Long-term debt, including current portion3 24,373 24,373 ÷ 96,499 = 0.25 0.25 × 4.25% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.85%
Total: 96,499 1.00 10.64%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 83,100 83,100 ÷ 106,028 = 0.78 0.78 × 13.10% = 10.26%
Long-term debt, including current portion3 22,928 22,928 ÷ 106,028 = 0.22 0.22 × 4.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.68%
Total: 106,028 1.00 10.95%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 93,552 93,552 ÷ 124,011 = 0.75 0.75 × 13.10% = 9.88%
Long-term debt, including current portion3 30,459 30,459 ÷ 124,011 = 0.25 0.25 × 3.99% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.77%
Total: 124,011 1.00 10.65%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 81,039 81,039 ÷ 115,721 = 0.70 0.70 × 13.10% = 9.17%
Long-term debt, including current portion3 34,682 34,682 ÷ 115,721 = 0.30 0.30 × 4.15% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.98%
Total: 115,721 1.00 10.15%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 78,962 78,962 ÷ 109,672 = 0.72 0.72 × 13.10% = 9.43%
Long-term debt, including current portion3 30,710 30,710 ÷ 109,672 = 0.28 0.28 × 4.17% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.92%
Total: 109,672 1.00 10.35%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Altria Group Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 5,634 2,600 (1,339) 1,031 (4,894)
Invested capital2 28,647 28,802 33,524 41,498 42,624
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 19.67% 9.03% -3.99% 2.49% -11.48%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Coca-Cola Co. 4.38% 4.07% 5.60%
Mondelēz International Inc. 0.27% -3.55% -0.55%
PepsiCo Inc. 4.60% 4.58% 5.12%
Philip Morris International Inc. 9.16% 12.12% 26.47%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2023 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × 5,634 ÷ 28,647 = 19.67%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial performance regarding economic value added reflects a period of initial volatility followed by a strong recovery and expansion. A significant transition occurred between 2019 and 2023, characterized by a systematic reduction in the capital base and a corresponding increase in the efficiency of value creation.

Economic Profit Trends
Economic profit exhibited substantial fluctuations during the first three years of the period, alternating between negative values in 2019 and 2021 and a positive result in 2020. However, a sustained and accelerating upward trajectory is observed beginning in 2022, with economic profit reaching 5,634 million US dollars by the end of 2023.
Invested Capital Management
A consistent downward trend in invested capital is evident throughout the five-year span. The capital base contracted from 42,624 million US dollars in 2019 to 28,647 million US dollars in 2023. This steady decline suggests a strategic reduction in the assets required to generate returns or a divestment of underperforming capital.
Economic Spread Ratio Analysis
The economic spread ratio demonstrates a marked recovery and growth pattern. After starting at -11.48% in 2019 and experiencing further volatility through 2021, the ratio expanded rapidly to 9.03% in 2022 and reached 19.67% in 2023. The widening of this spread indicates that the return on invested capital has increased significantly relative to the cost of that capital, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency and value generation.

The inverse relationship between the shrinking invested capital and the rising economic spread ratio suggests that the improvement in economic profit is driven not only by increased earnings but also by a more optimized capital structure.

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Economic Profit Margin

Altria Group Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 5,634 2,600 (1,339) 1,031 (4,894)
Net revenues 24,483 25,096 26,013 26,153 25,110
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 23.01% 10.36% -5.15% 3.94% -19.49%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Coca-Cola Co. 7.99% 7.57% 11.63%
Mondelēz International Inc. 0.46% -7.20% -1.17%
PepsiCo Inc. 3.77% 3.68% 4.50%
Philip Morris International Inc. 13.37% 18.07% 24.57%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2023 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net revenues
= 100 × 5,634 ÷ 24,483 = 23.01%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial performance over the analyzed five-year period reflects a transition from significant value destruction to substantial value creation. The period is characterized by an initial phase of volatility in economic profit, followed by a strong and consistent upward trajectory in the latter years, despite a gradual decline in total revenues.

Economic Profit Trends
Economic profit exhibited significant fluctuations between 2019 and 2021, recording a loss of 4,894 million in 2019, a recovery to 1,031 million in 2020, and a subsequent dip to a loss of 1,339 million in 2021. However, a period of accelerated growth followed, with profit rising to 2,600 million in 2022 and reaching 5,634 million by 2023.
Net Revenue Trajectory
Net revenues peaked in 2020 at 26,153 million. Following this peak, a steady downward trend is observed, with revenues decreasing annually to reach 24,483 million by the end of 2023. This represents a contraction in the top-line growth over the final three years of the period.
Economic Profit Margin Evolution
The economic profit margin mirrors the volatility of the absolute economic profit, starting at -19.49% in 2019. After fluctuating through 2021, the margin experienced a sharp expansion, climbing to 10.36% in 2022 and further accelerating to 23.01% in 2023.

An inverse correlation is observed between net revenues and the economic profit margin from 2021 onward. The expansion of the margin to 23.01% amidst declining revenues indicates an improvement in capital efficiency and a heightened ability to generate returns exceeding the cost of capital. This suggests that the increase in economic value added was driven by internal operational efficiencies or capital restructuring rather than revenue growth.

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