Stock Analysis on Net
Stock Analysis on Net
Microsoft Excel LibreOffice Calc

Air Products & Chemicals Inc. (NYSE:APD)

Paying users zone. Data is hidden behind: .

  • Get 1-month access to Air Products & Chemicals Inc. for $15.99, or

  • get full access to the entire website for at least 3 months from $49.99.


We accept:

Visa Mastercard American Express Maestro Discover JCB PayPal Apple Pay Google Pay
Verified by Visa MasterCard SecureCode American Express SafeKey

This is a one-time payment. There is no automatic renewal.

Present Value of Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)

Intermediate level

In discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation techniques the value of the stock is estimated based upon present value of some measure of cash flow. Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) is generally described as cash flows available to the equity holder after payments to debt holders and after allowing for expenditures to maintain the company’s asset base.


Intrinsic Stock Value (Valuation Summary)

Air Products & Chemicals Inc., free cash flow to equity (FCFE) forecast

US$ in thousands, except per share data

Microsoft Excel LibreOffice Calc
Year Value FCFEt or Terminal value (TVt) Calculation Present value at
01 FCFE0
1 FCFE1 = × (1 + )
2 FCFE2 = × (1 + )
3 FCFE3 = × (1 + )
4 FCFE4 = × (1 + )
5 FCFE5 = × (1 + )
5 Terminal value (TV5) = × (1 + ) ÷ ()
Intrinsic value of Air Products & Chemicals Inc.’s common stock
 
Intrinsic value of Air Products & Chemicals Inc.’s common stock (per share)
Current share price

Based on: 10-K (filing date: 2019-11-26).

Disclaimer!
Valuation is based on standard assumptions. There may exist specific factors relevant to stock value and omitted here. In such a case, the real stock value may differ significantly form the estimated. If you want to use the estimated intrinsic stock value in investment decision making process, do so at your own risk.


Required Rate of Return (r)

Microsoft Excel LibreOffice Calc
Assumptions
Rate of return on LT Treasury Composite1 RF
Expected rate of return on market portfolio2 E(RM)
Systematic risk of Air Products & Chemicals Inc.’s common stock βAPD
 
Required rate of return on Air Products & Chemicals Inc.’s common stock3 rAPD

1 Unweighted average of bid yields on all outstanding fixed-coupon U.S. Treasury bonds neither due or callable in less than 10 years (risk-free rate of return proxy).

2 See details »

3 rAPD = RF + βAPD [E(RM) – RF]
= + []
=


FCFE Growth Rate (g)

FCFE growth rate (g) implied by PRAT model

Air Products & Chemicals Inc., PRAT model

Microsoft Excel LibreOffice Calc
Average Sep 30, 2019 Sep 30, 2018 Sep 30, 2017 Sep 30, 2016 Sep 30, 2015 Sep 30, 2014
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Dividends on common stock
Net income attributable to Air Products
Sales
Total assets
Total Air Products shareholders’ equity
Financial Ratios
Retention rate1
Profit margin2
Asset turnover3
Financial leverage4
Averages
Retention rate
Profit margin
Asset turnover
Financial leverage
 
FCFE growth rate (g)5

Based on: 10-K (filing date: 2019-11-26), 10-K (filing date: 2018-11-20), 10-K (filing date: 2017-11-16), 10-K (filing date: 2016-11-21), 10-K (filing date: 2015-11-24), 10-K (filing date: 2014-11-24).

2019 Calculations

1 Retention rate = (Net income attributable to Air Products – Dividends on common stock) ÷ Net income attributable to Air Products
= () ÷ =

2 Profit margin = 100 × Net income attributable to Air Products ÷ Sales
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Asset turnover = Sales ÷ Total assets
= ÷ =

4 Financial leverage = Total assets ÷ Total Air Products shareholders’ equity
= ÷ =

5 g = Retention rate × Profit margin × Asset turnover × Financial leverage
= × × × =


FCFE growth rate (g) implied by single-stage model

g = 100 × (Equity market value0 × r – FCFE0) ÷ (Equity market value0 + FCFE0)
= 100 × ( × ) ÷ ( + ) =

where:
Equity market value0 = current market value of Air Products & Chemicals Inc.’s common stock (US$ in thousands)
FCFE0 = the last year Air Products & Chemicals Inc.’s free cash flow to equity (US$ in thousands)
r = required rate of return on Air Products & Chemicals Inc.’s common stock


FCFE growth rate (g) forecast

Air Products & Chemicals Inc., H-model

Microsoft Excel LibreOffice Calc
Year Value gt
1 g1
2 g2
3 g3
4 g4
5 and thereafter g5

where:
g1 is implied by PRAT model
g5 is implied by single-stage model
g2, g3 and g4 are calculated using linear interpoltion between g1 and g5

Calculations

g2 = g1 + (g5g1) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + () × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1) =

g3 = g1 + (g5g1) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + () × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1) =

g4 = g1 + (g5g1) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + () × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1) =