Stock Analysis on Net

PepsiCo Inc. (NASDAQ:PEP)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

PepsiCo Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021 Dec 26, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT shows a generally increasing trend over the five-year period. From 2020 to 2021, there is a significant increase from 8,429 million to 9,629 million US dollars. Although a slight decline is observed in 2022, with NOPAT falling to 9,364 million, the figure rises again in subsequent years to reach 10,978 million by the end of 2024. This suggests growing operational efficiency or profitability after tax impacts over time.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital exhibits a modest upward movement from 8.41% in 2020 to a peak of 9.07% in 2022, followed by a marginal reduction over the last two years, ending at 8.81% in 2024. This fluctuation indicates variations in the risk profile or market conditions affecting the company's capital expenses but remains relatively stable within a narrow range.
Invested Capital
Invested capital remains fairly steady from 2020 through 2022, showing a slight downward trend from 70,066 million to 69,452 million US dollars. However, a noticeable increase occurs thereafter, rising to 75,038 million in 2023 and further to 76,674 million in 2024. This upward movement may reflect increased investments or asset accumulation in recent years.
Economic Profit
Economic profit demonstrates a positive and generally increasing trajectory. Beginning at 2,539 million US dollars in 2020, it climbs to 3,463 million in 2021, dips to 3,063 million in 2022, but again increases in the two following years, culminating at 4,224 million in 2024. The growth in economic profit, despite some fluctuations, reflects an improvement in value generation above the cost of capital.
Overall Observations
The data reflects a company with strengthening after-tax operating profits and upward invested capital in the latter period, indicating possible asset growth or reinvestment. The cost of capital, while fluctuating slightly, remains relatively stable. The economic profit increases suggest enhanced efficiency in generating returns above capital costs, supporting a positive value creation trend over the years analyzed.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

PepsiCo Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021 Dec 26, 2020
Net income attributable to PepsiCo
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowance2
Increase (decrease) in restructuring liability3
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability5
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense6
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes7
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring liability.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income attributable to PepsiCo.

5 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

6 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income attributable to PepsiCo.


The annual financial data presents a general upward trend in key profitability metrics over the five-year period analyzed.

Net Income Attributable to PepsiCo
This metric shows a consistent increase throughout the period. Starting at 7,120 million US dollars in 2020, it rises to 7,618 million in 2021 and then experiences a notable jump to 8,910 million in 2022. This growth continues more moderately through 2023 and 2024, reaching 9,074 million and 9,578 million respectively. The trend suggests steady improvements in the company’s ability to generate profits attributable to shareholders.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT figures also demonstrate an overall growth trend but with a slight fluctuation in 2022. The measure increases from 8,429 million US dollars in 2020 to 9,629 million in 2021, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency or profitability. However, there is a decrease to 9,364 million in 2022, indicating a possible operational challenge or increased costs during that year. Despite this dip, NOPAT recovers and grows to 10,029 million in 2023 and further to 10,978 million in 2024, suggesting a strong rebound and continued operational success.

Overall, the data exhibits positive financial performance with increasing profitability over the studied years. While net income shows steady growth without decline, NOPAT reveals a minor fluctuation but recovers, highlighting the company’s resilience and operational strength.


Cash Operating Taxes

PepsiCo Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021 Dec 26, 2020
Provision for income taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).


Provision for income taxes
The provision for income taxes exhibited some variability over the five-year period. It increased from 1894 million US dollars in 2020 to a peak of 2142 million in 2021. The figure then declined to 1727 million in 2022, before rising again to 2262 million in 2023 and slightly increasing further to 2320 million in 2024. This fluctuation suggests changes in taxable income or adjustments in tax planning strategies over the years.
Cash operating taxes
Cash operating taxes demonstrated a consistent upward trend throughout the period. Starting at 2034 million US dollars in 2020, the outflow grew steadily each year, reaching 2131 million in 2021, 2660 million in 2022, 2970 million in 2023, and 3060 million in 2024. This continuous increase may reflect rising operational profitability, changes in tax regulations, or growing business activities impacting cash tax payments.
Comparative insights
While both provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes increased overall, cash operating taxes showed a more pronounced and consistent upward trajectory. The divergence seen particularly in 2022, where provision decreased but cash taxes increased significantly, could indicate timing differences between tax provision accruals and actual tax payments or variations in non-cash tax components. The steady rise in cash taxes suggests increasing cash tax obligations that might impact the company’s liquidity needs.

Invested Capital

PepsiCo Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021 Dec 26, 2020
Short-term debt obligations
Long-term debt obligations, excluding current maturities
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Total PepsiCo common shareholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowance3
Restructuring liability4
Equity equivalents5
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6
Noncontrolling interests
Adjusted total PepsiCo common shareholders’ equity
Construction in progress7
Short-term investments8
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of restructuring liability.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to total PepsiCo common shareholders’ equity.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of construction in progress.

8 Subtraction of short-term investments.


Total reported debt & leases
The total reported debt and lease obligations showed a downward trend from 45,843 million USD in 2020 to 41,487 million USD in 2022, indicating a reduction in overall leverage during this period. However, starting in 2023, the debt level increased significantly to 47,061 million USD and continued to rise slightly to 47,751 million USD in 2024, suggesting a shift toward higher leverage or increased financing activity in recent years.
Total PepsiCo common shareholders’ equity
Shareholders’ equity exhibited steady growth from 13,454 million USD in 2020 up to a peak of 18,503 million USD in 2023, reflecting accumulation of retained earnings or capital injections over time. In 2024, equity slightly declined to 18,041 million USD, indicating a minor reduction in net assets attributable to common shareholders.
Invested capital
Invested capital remained relatively stable around the high 69,000 million USD range between 2020 and 2022, with values of 70,066 million USD in 2020 and 69,452 million USD in 2022. From 2023 onward, it increased noticeably to 75,038 million USD in 2023 and further to 76,674 million USD in 2024, signaling an expansion in the capital deployed in the business or acquisitions of additional assets.
Summary
Overall, the financial data reveals a period of debt reduction followed by increased borrowing after 2022. The rise in shareholders’ equity from 2020 through 2023 reflects strengthening capital base, though a slight dip in 2024 could merit attention. The invested capital trend aligns with the recent increase in debt, highlighting possible growth strategies or capital intensive initiatives pursued post-2022.

Cost of Capital

PepsiCo Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt obligations3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt obligations. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt obligations3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt obligations. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt obligations3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt obligations. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt obligations3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt obligations. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt obligations3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt obligations. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

PepsiCo Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021 Dec 26, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Coca-Cola Co.
Mondelēz International Inc.
Philip Morris International Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit showed an overall upward trend over the five-year period. Starting at 2,539 million USD in 2020, it increased notably to 3,463 million USD in 2021. Despite a slight decrease to 3,063 million USD in 2022, it rebounded to 3,326 million USD in 2023 and further increased substantially to 4,224 million USD in 2024, indicating an improvement in value generation over time.
Invested Capital
Invested capital remained relatively stable from 2020 to 2022, with small declines from 70,066 million USD in 2020 to 69,452 million USD in 2022. However, it rose in 2023 to 75,038 million USD and continued a modest increase to 76,674 million USD in 2024. This suggests a pattern of cautious capital deployment that accelerates in the latter years.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio, a measure of the return rate spread on invested capital, exhibited a fluctuating but generally increasing trend. In 2020, it was at 3.62%, rising sharply to 4.96% in 2021. It slightly declined to 4.41% in 2022, remained steady at 4.43% in 2023, and then increased significantly to 5.51% in 2024. This indicates improving efficiency or profitability relative to the cost of capital over the observed periods.
Summary
Overall, the financial indicators suggest a positive trajectory in economic profit and economic spread ratio despite minor fluctuations, accompanied by a moderate increase in invested capital in recent years. The rising economic spread ratio alongside growing economic profit implies enhanced value creation and improved returns on invested capital, which may reflect operational improvements or strategic initiatives enhancing profitability.

Economic Profit Margin

PepsiCo Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 28, 2024 Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021 Dec 26, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Net revenue
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Coca-Cola Co.
Mondelēz International Inc.
Philip Morris International Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net revenue
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The economic profit demonstrates an overall upward trend over the five-year period. Starting at $2,539 million in 2020, it increases significantly to $3,463 million in 2021, followed by a slight decrease to $3,063 million in 2022. From there, the economic profit recovers and grows to $3,326 million in 2023, reaching the highest value of $4,224 million in 2024. This indicates improving profitability with some fluctuations.
Net Revenue
Net revenue shows consistent growth across the years. It rises from $70,372 million in 2020 to $79,474 million in 2021 and continues increasing each year, reaching $86,392 million in 2022 and $91,471 million in 2023. The growth rate slows in the final year, with net revenue achieving $91,854 million in 2024. The pattern suggests stable sales expansion, albeit with a deceleration in revenue growth in the last year.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin exhibits variability but generally trends upward by the end of the period. It starts at 3.61% in 2020, peaks at 4.36% in 2021, then dips to 3.55% in 2022. The margin slightly recovers to 3.64% in 2023 before increasing substantially to 4.6% in 2024. This progression reflects improved efficiency and profitability relative to revenue, particularly pronounced in the final year.