Stock Analysis on Net

Express Scripts Holding Co. (NASDAQ:ESRX)

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since October 31, 2018.

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.


Economic Profit

Express Scripts Holding Co., economic profit calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015 Dec 31, 2014 Dec 31, 2013
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 3,274,103 3,375,341 2,290,431 1,953,528 1,817,712
Cost of capital2 12.54% 12.48% 12.59% 13.72% 13.55%
Invested capital3 37,007,152 35,712,343 37,411,086 38,622,209 41,289,230
 
Economic profit4 (1,368,196) (1,081,751) (2,421,274) (3,345,376) (3,778,304)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2017 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 3,274,10312.54% × 37,007,152 = -1,368,196


An analysis of the economic profit from 2013 to 2017 reveals a persistent inability to generate returns exceeding the cost of capital. However, a sustained improvement in the economic profit trajectory is evident through 2016, as the deficit narrowed significantly before experiencing a slight reversal in the final year of the period.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT exhibited a strong upward trend for the majority of the period, increasing from 1.82 billion US$ in 2013 to a peak of 3.38 billion US$ in 2016. This represents a substantial growth in operational profitability. A minor decline occurred in 2017, with NOPAT settling at 3.27 billion US$.
Invested Capital and Cost of Capital
Invested capital followed a downward trajectory from 2013 to 2016, decreasing from 41.29 billion US$ to 35.71 billion US$, suggesting a reduction in the capital base required to support operations. The cost of capital remained relatively stable, fluctuating within a narrow range between 12.48% and 13.72%, with a general trend toward lower rates following 2014.
Economic Profit Trends
Economic profit remained negative throughout the entire five-year period, indicating that the company did not achieve its required rate of return on invested capital. Despite the negative values, the economic loss decreased steadily from 3.78 billion US$ in 2013 to 1.08 billion US$ in 2016. This improvement was driven by the simultaneous increase in NOPAT and the decrease in invested capital. The trend reversed in 2017, as economic profit declined back to negative 1.37 billion US$, coinciding with a slight increase in invested capital and a decrease in NOPAT.

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Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Express Scripts Holding Co., NOPAT calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015 Dec 31, 2014 Dec 31, 2013
Net income attributable to Express Scripts 4,517,400 3,404,400 2,476,400 2,007,600 1,844,600
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 (1,678,900) (497,400) (462,100) (430,500) (573,700)
Increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts2 20,300 (12,300) (77,800) (37,100) 69,700
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents3 (1,658,600) (509,700) (539,900) (467,600) (504,000)
Interest expense and other 607,900 694,800 500,300 582,900 596,100
Interest expense, operating lease liability4 9,028 8,956 8,671 11,144 12,226
Adjusted interest expense and other 616,928 703,756 508,971 594,044 608,326
Tax benefit of interest expense and other5 (215,925) (246,314) (178,140) (207,915) (212,914)
Adjusted interest expense and other, after taxes6 401,003 457,441 330,831 386,128 395,412
(Income) loss from discontinued operations, net of tax7 53,600
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest 14,300 23,200 23,100 27,400 28,100
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 3,274,103 3,375,341 2,290,431 1,953,528 1,817,712

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income attributable to Express Scripts.

4 2017 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 236,952 × 3.81% = 9,028

5 2017 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense and other = Adjusted interest expense and other × Statutory income tax rate
= 616,928 × 35.00% = 215,925

6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income attributable to Express Scripts.

7 Elimination of discontinued operations.


Net Income Attributable to Express Scripts
The net income attributable to the company showed a consistent upward trend throughout the five-year period. Starting from approximately 1.84 billion US dollars in 2013, the net income increased annually, reaching about 4.52 billion US dollars by the end of 2017. This represents a more than doubling of net income over the duration analyzed, indicating strong profitability growth.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT figures likewise showed an overall increasing trend, rising from roughly 1.82 billion US dollars in 2013 to over 3.27 billion US dollars in 2017. The growth is generally steady, with an especially notable increase between 2015 and 2016. However, unlike net income, NOPAT slightly declined in 2017 compared to the previous year, decreasing from approximately 3.38 billion to 3.27 billion US dollars.
Comparative Insights
Both net income and NOPAT demonstrate sustained profitability improvements over the analyzed timeframe, highlighting effective operational and financial management. The disparity in 2017, where net income continued rising but NOPAT decreased, may suggest changes in operating efficiency, tax impact, or other factors affecting post-tax operating profits.

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Cash Operating Taxes

Express Scripts Holding Co., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015 Dec 31, 2014 Dec 31, 2013
Provision for income taxes 397,300 999,500 1,364,300 1,031,200 1,104,000
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) (1,678,900) (497,400) (462,100) (430,500) (573,700)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense and other 215,925 246,314 178,140 207,915 212,914
Cash operating taxes 2,292,125 1,743,214 2,004,540 1,669,615 1,890,614

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31).


Provision for Income Taxes
The provision for income taxes exhibits fluctuation over the five-year period. It begins at 1,104,000 thousand US dollars at the end of 2013, then decreases slightly in 2014 to 1,031,200 thousand US dollars. A notable increase occurs in 2015, with the provision reaching 1,364,300 thousand US dollars, followed by a decline in 2016 to 999,500 thousand US dollars. By the end of 2017, there is a significant drop to 397,300 thousand US dollars, marking the lowest figure in the observed timeframe.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes demonstrate more variability with an overall upward trajectory throughout the period. Starting at 1,890,614 thousand US dollars in 2013, the amount decreases to 1,669,615 thousand US dollars in 2014. Subsequently, a sharp increase is observed in 2015, reaching 2,004,540 thousand US dollars. In 2016, cash operating taxes decline again to 1,743,214 thousand US dollars before climbing significantly to 2,292,125 thousand US dollars by the end of 2017, the highest level recorded in the five years.
Comparative Observations
Overall, the provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes do not follow the same trend patterns. While the provision for income taxes peaks in 2015 before steadily declining to its lowest point in 2017, cash operating taxes show a general increasing trend despite year-to-year fluctuations. The divergence between these two tax-related metrics may suggest differences in tax accounting policies, timing differences, or changes in cash flow management relating to tax obligations.

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Invested Capital

Express Scripts Holding Co., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015 Dec 31, 2014 Dec 31, 2013
Short-term debt and current maturities of long-term debt 1,032,900 722,300 1,646,400 2,555,300 1,584,000
Long-term debt, excluding current maturities 14,981,500 14,846,000 13,946,300 11,012,700 12,363,000
Operating lease liability1 236,952 240,743 266,786 294,809 321,730
Total reported debt & leases 16,251,352 15,809,043 15,859,486 13,862,809 14,268,730
Total Express Scripts stockholders’ equity 18,119,600 16,236,000 17,372,800 20,054,200 21,837,400
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 2,532,300 3,572,200 4,069,800 4,532,400 4,985,200
Allowance for doubtful accounts3 95,300 75,000 87,300 165,100 202,200
Equity equivalents4 2,627,600 3,647,200 4,157,100 4,697,500 5,187,400
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax5 2,900 12,300 14,000 (2,100) (11,700)
Non-controlling interest 5,700 7,800 7,700 9,800 7,400
Adjusted total Express Scripts stockholders’ equity 20,755,800 19,903,300 21,551,600 24,759,400 27,020,500
Invested capital 37,007,152 35,712,343 37,411,086 38,622,209 41,289,230

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of equity equivalents to total Express Scripts stockholders’ equity.

5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.


Total Reported Debt & Leases
The total reported debt and leases show a fluctuating trend over the five-year period. The value decreased slightly from approximately 14.27 billion USD at the end of 2013 to about 13.86 billion USD in 2014. However, from 2014 onward, the debt increased steadily, reaching around 16.25 billion USD by the end of 2017. This reflects a rising leverage position in the latter years.
Total Express Scripts Stockholders’ Equity
Stockholders’ equity demonstrates a declining trend from 2013 through 2016, dropping from roughly 21.84 billion USD in 2013 to about 16.24 billion USD in 2016. This decline represents a significant reduction in equity over this period. Notably, in 2017, there is a reversal of this downward trend with equity increasing to about 18.12 billion USD, suggesting a partial recovery or accumulation of retained earnings or capital injection during that year.
Invested Capital
Invested capital also declined consistently from 2013 to 2016, moving from approximately 41.29 billion USD to around 35.71 billion USD. In 2017, a modest increase to about 37.01 billion USD is observed. This trend indicates a contraction in the total capital employed by the company initially, followed by a slight expansion towards the end of the period.

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Cost of Capital

Express Scripts Holding Co., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 44,380,248 44,380,248 ÷ 60,978,400 = 0.73 0.73 × 16.31% = 11.87%
Debt3 16,361,200 16,361,200 ÷ 60,978,400 = 0.27 0.27 × 3.81% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.66%
Operating lease liability4 236,952 236,952 ÷ 60,978,400 = 0.00 0.00 × 3.81% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 60,978,400 1.00 12.54%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 42,176,284 42,176,284 ÷ 58,225,826 = 0.72 0.72 × 16.31% = 11.81%
Debt3 15,808,800 15,808,800 ÷ 58,225,826 = 0.27 0.27 × 3.72% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.66%
Operating lease liability4 240,743 240,743 ÷ 58,225,826 = 0.00 0.00 × 3.72% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 58,225,826 1.00 12.48%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 45,861,358 45,861,358 ÷ 62,116,744 = 0.74 0.74 × 16.31% = 12.04%
Debt3 15,988,600 15,988,600 ÷ 62,116,744 = 0.26 0.26 × 3.25% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.54%
Operating lease liability4 266,786 266,786 ÷ 62,116,744 = 0.00 0.00 × 3.25% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 62,116,744 1.00 12.59%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 63,036,595 63,036,595 ÷ 77,531,603 = 0.81 0.81 × 16.31% = 13.26%
Debt3 14,200,200 14,200,200 ÷ 77,531,603 = 0.18 0.18 × 3.78% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.45%
Operating lease liability4 294,809 294,809 ÷ 77,531,603 = 0.00 0.00 × 3.78% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 77,531,603 1.00 13.72%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 59,847,588 59,847,588 ÷ 74,732,117 = 0.80 0.80 × 16.31% = 13.06%
Debt3 14,562,800 14,562,800 ÷ 74,732,117 = 0.19 0.19 × 3.80% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.48%
Operating lease liability4 321,730 321,730 ÷ 74,732,117 = 0.00 0.00 × 3.80% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 74,732,117 1.00 13.55%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Express Scripts Holding Co., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015 Dec 31, 2014 Dec 31, 2013
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1 (1,368,196) (1,081,751) (2,421,274) (3,345,376) (3,778,304)
Invested capital2 37,007,152 35,712,343 37,411,086 38,622,209 41,289,230
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 -3.70% -3.03% -6.47% -8.66% -9.15%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Abbott Laboratories
Elevance Health Inc.
Intuitive Surgical Inc.
Medtronic PLC
UnitedHealth Group Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2017 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × -1,368,196 ÷ 37,007,152 = -3.70%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The analysis of economic value added metrics reveals a period of sustained negative economic profit, although the magnitude of these losses diminished significantly over the first four years of the observed period before experiencing a slight reversal in the final year.

Economic Profit Trends
Economic profit remained negative throughout the five-year duration, indicating that the company did not generate returns above its cost of capital. A consistent recovery trend was observed from 2013, when losses were 3.78 billion US dollars, improving steadily to a peak of -1.08 billion US dollars by 2016. This improvement trend was interrupted in 2017, as economic profit widened to -1.37 billion US dollars.
Invested Capital Dynamics
Invested capital exhibited a general downward trend from 2013 through 2016, decreasing from 41.29 billion US dollars to 35.71 billion US dollars. This contraction suggests a reduction in the capital base utilized to generate returns. In 2017, this trend reversed, with invested capital increasing to 37.01 billion US dollars.
Economic Spread Ratio Performance
The economic spread ratio remained negative for the entirety of the period, confirming that the cost of capital consistently exceeded the return on invested capital. The ratio showed marked improvement from -9.15% in 2013 to -3.03% in 2016, mirroring the trajectory of the economic profit. However, in alignment with the 2017 increase in invested capital and decrease in economic profit, the spread ratio deteriorated to -3.70%.

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Economic Profit Margin

Express Scripts Holding Co., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015 Dec 31, 2014 Dec 31, 2013
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1 (1,368,196) (1,081,751) (2,421,274) (3,345,376) (3,778,304)
Revenues 100,064,600 100,287,500 101,751,800 100,887,100 104,098,800
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 -1.37% -1.08% -2.38% -3.32% -3.63%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Abbott Laboratories
Elevance Health Inc.
Intuitive Surgical Inc.
Medtronic PLC
UnitedHealth Group Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2017 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Revenues
= 100 × -1,368,196 ÷ 100,064,600 = -1.37%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Between 2013 and 2017, the entity consistently reported negative economic profit, indicating that returns did not exceed the cost of capital employed. Despite the persistent deficit, a general trend of recovery was observed from 2013 through 2016, characterized by a significant narrowing of losses before a slight deterioration in 2017.

Economic Profit Trajectory
Economic losses decreased steadily from US$ 3,778,304 thousand in 2013 to a period low of US$ 1,081,751 thousand in 2016. This trend reflects a substantial improvement in value creation efficiency over four years. However, this progress was partially offset in 2017, as the economic profit deficit widened again to US$ 1,368,196 thousand.
Revenue Performance
Revenues remained relatively stagnant over the analyzed period, fluctuating within a narrow range between approximately US$ 100 billion and US$ 104 billion. The absence of significant top-line growth indicates that the improvements in economic profit observed until 2016 were likely driven by operational cost reductions or optimized capital management rather than revenue expansion.
Economic Profit Margin Analysis
The economic profit margin mirrored the trend of the absolute economic profit, improving from -3.63% in 2013 to -1.08% in 2016. This upward trajectory suggests a closing gap between the actual return on invested capital and the required rate of return. The shift to -1.37% in 2017 aligns with the increase in economic losses, marking a decline in the entity's ability to approach a positive economic value added state.

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