Stock Analysis on Net

Express Scripts Holding Co. (NASDAQ:ESRX)

$22.49

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since October 31, 2018.

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Express Scripts Holding Co., economic profit calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015 Dec 31, 2014 Dec 31, 2013
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2017 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


The financial data reveals several key trends over the five-year period ending in December 31, 2017.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)

NOPAT exhibited a consistent growth trend from 2013 to 2016, increasing from approximately 1.82 billion USD to 3.38 billion USD. However, in 2017, there was a slight decline to roughly 3.27 billion USD, indicating a marginal slowdown after substantial growth.

Cost of Capital

The cost of capital showed minor fluctuations but remained relatively stable within a narrow range between 10.85% and 11.89%. Notably, it decreased slightly after 2014 and stabilized around 10.9% from 2016 onward, suggesting a relatively steady cost environment for the company’s capital during the latter years.

Invested Capital

Invested capital demonstrated a declining trend for the initial four years, falling from about 41.29 billion USD in 2013 to approximately 35.71 billion USD in 2016. This decline might indicate divestitures, asset sales, or efficiency improvements in capital allocation. In 2017, a reversal occurred with invested capital increasing to around 37 billion USD, signifying a possible reinvestment or acquisition activity.

Economic Profit

Economic profit remained negative throughout the entire period, though the magnitude of the loss decreased significantly from a deficit of approximately 3.03 billion USD in 2013 to a loss of roughly 499 million USD in 2016. This improvement signifies enhanced value generation relative to the cost of capital. Nevertheless, 2017 saw an increase in economic loss to about 761 million USD, indicating a deterioration in value creation despite relatively high operating profits.

Overall, the company showed robust growth in operating profitability alongside a reduction in invested capital initially, promoting improvement in economic profit. However, the slight decline in NOPAT and reversal in economic profit in the final year suggest emerging challenges impacting the efficacy of capital utilization and value creation.


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Express Scripts Holding Co., NOPAT calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015 Dec 31, 2014 Dec 31, 2013
Net income attributable to Express Scripts
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts2
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents3
Interest expense and other
Interest expense, operating lease liability4
Adjusted interest expense and other
Tax benefit of interest expense and other5
Adjusted interest expense and other, after taxes6
(Income) loss from discontinued operations, net of tax7
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income attributable to Express Scripts.

4 2017 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

5 2017 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense and other = Adjusted interest expense and other × Statutory income tax rate
= × 35.00% =

6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income attributable to Express Scripts.

7 Elimination of discontinued operations.


Net Income Attributable to Express Scripts
The net income attributable to the company showed a consistent upward trend throughout the five-year period. Starting from approximately 1.84 billion US dollars in 2013, the net income increased annually, reaching about 4.52 billion US dollars by the end of 2017. This represents a more than doubling of net income over the duration analyzed, indicating strong profitability growth.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT figures likewise showed an overall increasing trend, rising from roughly 1.82 billion US dollars in 2013 to over 3.27 billion US dollars in 2017. The growth is generally steady, with an especially notable increase between 2015 and 2016. However, unlike net income, NOPAT slightly declined in 2017 compared to the previous year, decreasing from approximately 3.38 billion to 3.27 billion US dollars.
Comparative Insights
Both net income and NOPAT demonstrate sustained profitability improvements over the analyzed timeframe, highlighting effective operational and financial management. The disparity in 2017, where net income continued rising but NOPAT decreased, may suggest changes in operating efficiency, tax impact, or other factors affecting post-tax operating profits.

Cash Operating Taxes

Express Scripts Holding Co., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015 Dec 31, 2014 Dec 31, 2013
Provision for income taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense and other
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31).


Provision for Income Taxes
The provision for income taxes exhibits fluctuation over the five-year period. It begins at 1,104,000 thousand US dollars at the end of 2013, then decreases slightly in 2014 to 1,031,200 thousand US dollars. A notable increase occurs in 2015, with the provision reaching 1,364,300 thousand US dollars, followed by a decline in 2016 to 999,500 thousand US dollars. By the end of 2017, there is a significant drop to 397,300 thousand US dollars, marking the lowest figure in the observed timeframe.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes demonstrate more variability with an overall upward trajectory throughout the period. Starting at 1,890,614 thousand US dollars in 2013, the amount decreases to 1,669,615 thousand US dollars in 2014. Subsequently, a sharp increase is observed in 2015, reaching 2,004,540 thousand US dollars. In 2016, cash operating taxes decline again to 1,743,214 thousand US dollars before climbing significantly to 2,292,125 thousand US dollars by the end of 2017, the highest level recorded in the five years.
Comparative Observations
Overall, the provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes do not follow the same trend patterns. While the provision for income taxes peaks in 2015 before steadily declining to its lowest point in 2017, cash operating taxes show a general increasing trend despite year-to-year fluctuations. The divergence between these two tax-related metrics may suggest differences in tax accounting policies, timing differences, or changes in cash flow management relating to tax obligations.

Invested Capital

Express Scripts Holding Co., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015 Dec 31, 2014 Dec 31, 2013
Short-term debt and current maturities of long-term debt
Long-term debt, excluding current maturities
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Total Express Scripts stockholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowance for doubtful accounts3
Equity equivalents4
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax5
Non-controlling interest
Adjusted total Express Scripts stockholders’ equity
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of equity equivalents to total Express Scripts stockholders’ equity.

5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.


Total Reported Debt & Leases
The total reported debt and leases show a fluctuating trend over the five-year period. The value decreased slightly from approximately 14.27 billion USD at the end of 2013 to about 13.86 billion USD in 2014. However, from 2014 onward, the debt increased steadily, reaching around 16.25 billion USD by the end of 2017. This reflects a rising leverage position in the latter years.
Total Express Scripts Stockholders’ Equity
Stockholders’ equity demonstrates a declining trend from 2013 through 2016, dropping from roughly 21.84 billion USD in 2013 to about 16.24 billion USD in 2016. This decline represents a significant reduction in equity over this period. Notably, in 2017, there is a reversal of this downward trend with equity increasing to about 18.12 billion USD, suggesting a partial recovery or accumulation of retained earnings or capital injection during that year.
Invested Capital
Invested capital also declined consistently from 2013 to 2016, moving from approximately 41.29 billion USD to around 35.71 billion USD. In 2017, a modest increase to about 37.01 billion USD is observed. This trend indicates a contraction in the total capital employed by the company initially, followed by a slight expansion towards the end of the period.

Cost of Capital

Express Scripts Holding Co., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Express Scripts Holding Co., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015 Dec 31, 2014 Dec 31, 2013
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Abbott Laboratories
Elevance Health Inc.
Intuitive Surgical Inc.
Medtronic PLC
UnitedHealth Group Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2017 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The analysis of the financial data over the five-year period reveals several key trends in the economic profit, invested capital, and economic spread ratio.

Economic Profit
The economic profit figures, expressed in thousands of US dollars, show a consistent improvement from 2013 to 2016. Initially, the company recorded a significant negative economic profit of approximately -3,032,938,000 in 2013, which decreased in magnitude to -498,622,000 by 2016. However, there was a slight deterioration in 2017, with economic profit increasing in negative value to -761,050,000. Overall, although the company did not achieve positive economic profit in this period, the trend indicates a reduction in losses until 2016 followed by a minor setback in 2017.
Invested Capital
The invested capital demonstrates a gradual decrease from 2013 to 2016, declining from about 41,289,230,000 to 35,712,343,000. This reduction suggests efforts to optimize or reduce capital investment during these years. However, in 2017, there was a slight increase in invested capital to 37,007,152,000, indicating a possible strategic reinvestment or expansion. The overall trend reflects a general contraction in capital investment with a modest reversal in the final year observed.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio, which measures the difference between the return on invested capital and the cost of capital as a percentage, shows a consistent improvement over time. It started at a deeply negative ratio of -7.35% in 2013, improved year over year to reach -1.4% by 2016, indicating a narrowing gap between returns and cost of capital. In 2017, the ratio slightly reversed to -2.06%, mirroring the slight deterioration in economic profit during the same year. Despite remaining negative throughout, the improvement trend points to increasing operational efficiency or better capital utilization prior to 2017.

In summary, the financial data indicates a strengthening economic position through 2016, marked by decreased losses, reduced capital investment, and improved economic spread. The reversed trends in 2017 suggest challenges that partially offset gains achieved in previous years.


Economic Profit Margin

Express Scripts Holding Co., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015 Dec 31, 2014 Dec 31, 2013
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1
Revenues
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Abbott Laboratories
Elevance Health Inc.
Intuitive Surgical Inc.
Medtronic PLC
UnitedHealth Group Inc.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2017 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Revenues
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The annual financial data reveals several notable trends in the company’s economic profit, revenues, and economic profit margin over the five-year period ending in 2017.

Economic Profit
There is a clear improvement in economic profit from 2013 through 2016, with the loss decreasing substantially from approximately -3.03 billion to around -0.50 billion US dollars. However, in 2017, the economic profit worsened slightly, rising to about -0.76 billion US dollars. Despite the improvement over the first four years, the company remained in a negative economic profit position throughout the period, indicating that economic returns consistently fell short of cost of capital.
Revenues
Revenues displayed relative stability over the five years, staying close to the 100 billion US dollars mark. There was a minor peak in 2015 with approximately 101.75 billion US dollars but generally hovered just above or below this range. This indicates steady top-line performance without significant growth or decline during this timeframe.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin follows a pattern consistent with the economic profit values. It shows improvement from -2.91% in 2013 to -0.5% in 2016, reflecting a reduction in the deficit as a percentage of revenues. Nevertheless, the margin decreases again in 2017 to -0.76%, indicating a slight deterioration in economic profitability relative to sales in the final year measured. The negative margins affirm that the company incurred losses relative to its cost of capital throughout the periods.

In summary, while revenues remained relatively stable, the company made progress in reducing economic losses up to 2016. This positive trend reversed somewhat in 2017, with both economic profit and economic profit margin worsening, highlighting challenges in fully achieving profitable returns beyond costs during the entire timeline.