Economic Value Added (EVA)
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Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.
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Valero Energy Corp. pages available for free this week:
- Balance Sheet: Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity
- Analysis of Profitability Ratios
- Analysis of Long-term (Investment) Activity Ratios
- Analysis of Reportable Segments
- Enterprise Value (EV)
- Enterprise Value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA)
- Return on Equity (ROE) since 2005
- Total Asset Turnover since 2005
- Price to Earnings (P/E) since 2005
- Price to Sales (P/S) since 2005
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Economic Profit
Valero Energy Corp., economic profit calculation
US$ in millions
| 12 months ended: | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 | ||||||
| Cost of capital2 | ||||||
| Invested capital3 | ||||||
| Economic profit4 | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 NOPAT. See details »
2 Cost of capital. See details »
3 Invested capital. See details »
4 2023 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= – × =
The financial performance between 2019 and 2023 is characterized by significant volatility in operational profitability and a consistent expansion of the capital base. For the majority of the period, the entity failed to generate returns sufficient to cover its cost of capital, resulting in a pattern of value destruction interrupted by a single year of positive economic profit.
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- A highly unstable trend is observed in NOPAT, which fluctuated from 4,429 million USD in 2019 to a deficit of 1,650 million USD in 2020. This was followed by a sharp recovery, peaking at 13,520 million USD in 2022, before declining to 7,868 million USD in 2023.
- Cost of Capital
- The cost of capital remained elevated throughout the five-year period, ranging from a low of 16.45% in 2020 to a high of 19.96% in 2022. This high hurdle rate placed significant pressure on the entity's ability to achieve a positive economic profit.
- Invested Capital
- A steady upward trajectory is evident in the invested capital, which grew from 40,757 million USD in 2019 to 51,119 million USD by 2023. This continuous increase in the capital base indicates ongoing investment in assets, despite the inconsistent operational returns.
- Economic Profit
- The economic profit reflects a cycle of value destruction for most of the analyzed timeframe. Significant losses were recorded in 2019, 2020, and 2021, with the 2020 deficit reaching a peak of 8,387 million USD. A brief transition to value creation occurred in 2022, yielding a positive economic profit of 3,585 million USD, though this trend reversed in 2023 with a return to a negative 2,228 million USD.
Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)
Valero Energy Corp., NOPAT calculation
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »
2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for credit losses.
3 Addition of increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve. See details »
4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss) attributable to Valero Energy Corporation stockholders.
5 2023 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =
6 2023 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest and debt expense, net of capitalized interest = Adjusted interest and debt expense, net of capitalized interest × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss) attributable to Valero Energy Corporation stockholders.
- Net Income (Loss) Attributable to Stockholders
- The net income experienced a significant decline in the year ending 2020, moving from a positive 2,422 million US dollars in 2019 to a negative 1,421 million US dollars. This was followed by a recovery period, with net income rising to 930 million US dollars in 2021. The company then showed strong profitability in 2022, reaching 11,528 million US dollars, before seeing a decrease to 8,835 million US dollars in 2023. Overall, this pattern indicates volatility with a substantial rebound post-2020.
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- The NOPAT data mirrors the trends seen in net income, starting at 4,429 million US dollars in 2019 and dropping to negative 1,650 million US dollars in 2020. There was a pronounced recovery in 2021, with NOPAT increasing to 5,561 million US dollars. The highest value in the series occurred in 2022, with 13,520 million US dollars, followed by a reduction to 7,868 million US dollars in 2023. This fluctuation highlights a similar pattern of operational profitability impact and recovery as observed in net income.
Cash Operating Taxes
Valero Energy Corp., cash operating taxes calculation
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
The analysis of the annual financial data reveals significant fluctuations in the income tax expense (benefit) and cash operating taxes over the five-year period.
- Income Tax Expense (Benefit)
- The income tax expense exhibited a notable negative value in 2020, reaching a benefit of -$903 million, which contrasts sharply with the positive expense of $702 million in 2019. Following this period, the tax expense rose to $255 million in 2021, before surging substantially to $3,428 million in 2022. In 2023, this figure decreased somewhat but remained elevated at $2,619 million, indicating a return to significant tax liabilities compared to the earlier years.
- Cash Operating Taxes
- Cash operating taxes mirrored the trend seen in the income tax expense, with a negative outflow of -$931 million in 2020 compared to $577 million in 2019. Subsequently, there was a marked increase to $519 million in 2021, which escalated dramatically to $3,508 million in 2022. In the most recent year, 2023, cash operating taxes declined slightly to $2,654 million, but still remained considerably higher than pre-2020 levels.
Overall, the data indicates a period of tax benefit in 2020 followed by a consistent and substantial increase in tax expenses and cash operating taxes in the subsequent years. The sharp rise in both metrics during 2022 and 2023 suggests changes in earnings, tax policies, or other factors impacting the company's tax payable status, resulting in a significantly higher cash outflow related to taxes despite the decrease from the 2022 peak.
Invested Capital
Valero Energy Corp., invested capital calculation (financing approach)
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.
2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »
3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.
4 Addition of LIFO reserve. See details »
5 Addition of equity equivalents to total Valero Energy Corporation stockholders’ equity.
6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.
7 Subtraction of construction in progress.
- Total reported debt & leases
- The total reported debt and leases exhibited a rising trend from 2019 to 2020, increasing from $10,962 million to $15,847 million. Subsequently, there was a consistent decline over the next three years, with figures decreasing to $15,125 million in 2021, then dropping more significantly to $12,722 million in 2022, and further to $12,637 million by the end of 2023. This indicates a period of increased leverage followed by a notable reduction in debt levels.
- Total Valero Energy Corporation stockholders’ equity
- Stockholders' equity showed a downward trajectory between 2019 and 2021, falling from $21,803 million to $18,430 million. However, a reversal occurred in 2022 when equity increased sharply to $23,561 million and continued to grow substantially to $26,346 million in 2023. This pattern suggests an initial period of equity erosion followed by a recovery and strengthening of the equity base.
- Invested capital
- Invested capital demonstrated a mostly steady upward movement over the five-year span. Starting at $40,757 million in 2019, it slightly increased in 2020 to $40,966 million, then advanced more markedly to $44,526 million in 2021. The growth trend continued with an increase to $49,772 million in 2022, reaching $51,119 million in 2023. This represents ongoing investment and capital deployment over the period.
- Summary
- Overall, the financial data reflect a phase of increased debt leverage in 2020, followed by deliberate deleveraging from 2021 onward. Concurrently, stockholders’ equity declined in the early years but rebounded strongly in the latest two years, indicating improved financial health or retained earnings accumulation. The continuous growth in invested capital suggests sustained investment efforts, aligning with the strengthening equity position and reduced reliance on debt financing during the latter years.
Cost of Capital
Valero Energy Corp., cost of capital calculations
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt and finance lease obligations, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt and finance lease obligations, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt and finance lease obligations, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt and finance lease obligations, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt and finance lease obligations, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt and finance lease obligations, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt and finance lease obligations, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt and finance lease obligations, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt and finance lease obligations, including current portion3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt and finance lease obligations, including current portion. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Economic Spread Ratio
Valero Energy Corp., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks
| Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Invested capital2 | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic spread ratio3 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4 | ||||||
| Chevron Corp. | ||||||
| ConocoPhillips | ||||||
| Exxon Mobil Corp. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 Invested capital. See details »
3 2023 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =
4 Click competitor name to see calculations.
The analysis of economic value creation reveals a period of significant volatility, characterized by intermittent struggles to exceed the cost of capital despite a steady increase in the capital base.
- Invested Capital Expansion
- A consistent upward trajectory is observed in invested capital, which grew from 40,757 million USD in 2019 to 51,119 million USD by 2023. This represents a steady expansion of the resource base over the five-year period.
- Economic Profit Volatility
- Economic profit exhibited extreme fluctuations, remaining negative for four of the five years analyzed. A severe contraction occurred in 2020, with losses reaching 8,387 million USD. A notable reversal occurred in 2022, where the company achieved a positive economic profit of 3,585 million USD, before reverting to a deficit of 2,228 million USD in 2023.
- Economic Spread Ratio Analysis
- The economic spread ratio highlights a recurring failure to generate returns consistently above the cost of capital. The ratio reached a critical low of -20.47% in 2020, indicating substantial value erosion. Although the ratio peaked at 7.20% in 2022, signaling a period of genuine economic value added, the subsequent decline to -4.36% in 2023 demonstrates a return to a negative spread.
Overall, the trend suggests that while the company has successfully increased its invested capital, this growth has not translated into sustainable economic profit. The stark contrast between the 2022 peak and the surrounding negative years underscores a high sensitivity to external economic factors, resulting in an inconsistent ability to create long-term shareholder value.
Economic Profit Margin
Valero Energy Corp., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks
| Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Revenues, includes excise taxes on sales by certain of foreign operations | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic profit margin2 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3 | ||||||
| Chevron Corp. | ||||||
| ConocoPhillips | ||||||
| Exxon Mobil Corp. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 2023 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Revenues, includes excise taxes on sales by certain of foreign operations
= 100 × ÷ =
3 Click competitor name to see calculations.
The financial performance from 2019 through 2023 is characterized by significant volatility in both top-line revenue and the ability to generate economic value above the cost of capital. A pattern of cyclicality is evident, with a profound trough in 2020 followed by a peak in 2022, before returning to a negative economic profit position in 2023.
- Revenue Trajectory
- Total revenues experienced a sharp contraction in 2020, falling to 64,912 million USD from 108,324 million USD in 2019. A strong recovery followed, with revenues climbing to a five-year peak of 176,383 million USD in 2022. By 2023, revenues moderated to 144,766 million USD, reflecting a downward adjustment from the previous year's high.
- Economic Profit Fluctuations
- Economic profit remained negative for the majority of the analyzed period. The most severe deficit occurred in 2020, with a loss of 8,387 million USD. While the company managed to pivot to a positive economic profit of 3,585 million USD in 2022, this gain was temporary, as the figure reverted to a deficit of 2,228 million USD in 2023.
- Economic Profit Margin Analysis
- The economic profit margin mirrors the instability of the absolute profit figures. The margin reached its lowest point in 2020 at -12.92%, indicating a substantial failure to cover the cost of capital relative to sales. The only instance of value creation occurred in 2022, where the margin reached 2.03%. However, the return to a margin of -1.54% in 2023 suggests that the company continues to struggle with consistent economic value addition.
Overall, the data indicates that while revenue growth was substantial between 2020 and 2022, it did not consistently translate into sustainable economic profit. The recurring negative margins suggest that the operational returns have frequently fallen short of the required return on capital invested.