Stock Analysis on Net

Valero Energy Corp. (NYSE:VLO)

$22.49

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since October 30, 2024.

Price to FCFE (P/FCFE)

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Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)

Valero Energy Corp., FCFE calculation

US$ in millions

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12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Net income (loss) attributable to Valero Energy Corporation stockholders
Net income attributable to noncontrolling interests
Net noncash charges
Changes in current assets and current liabilities
Net cash provided by operating activities
Capital expenditures, excluding variable interest entities (VIEs)
Capital expenditures of VIEs
Proceeds from debt issuances and borrowings, excluding VIEs
Proceeds from borrowings of VIEs
Repayments of debt and finance lease obligations, excluding VIEs
Repayments of debt and finance lease obligations of VIEs
Premiums on early redemption and retirement of debt
Free cash flow to equity (FCFE)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).


Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities
The net cash provided by operating activities exhibited considerable fluctuation over the analyzed periods. There was an initial significant decline from 5,531 million US dollars in 2019 to 948 million US dollars in 2020, indicating a challenging operational environment during that year. However, a strong recovery occurred in 2021 with cash flows rising to 5,859 million US dollars, followed by an even more substantial increase to 12,574 million US dollars in 2022, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency or improved market conditions. In 2023, there was a decrease to 9,229 million US dollars, yet this figure remained high relative to the earlier years, suggesting sustained positive cash generation capacity despite the decline from the previous year.
Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)
The FCFE showed a less volatile but generally upward trend over the period. Starting at 3,857 million US dollars in 2019, it slightly decreased to 3,235 million US dollars in 2020 and further to 2,808 million US dollars in 2021, aligning with the contraction observed in operating cash flows during those years. From 2022 onward, FCFE increased sharply to 8,027 million US dollars and slightly improved to 8,051 million US dollars in 2023. This pattern indicates recovery and strengthening in the cash flows available to shareholders after investments and debts, despite some variability in operational cash inflows.
Overall Financial Trends
The data suggest a period of initial financial stress in 2020, likely triggered by external or operational challenges. This was followed by robust operational cash flow recovery in the subsequent years, particularly in 2022. The FCFE figures support this positive trend, indicating improved liquidity and capacity to return value to shareholders in recent years. The slight withdrawal in operating cash flow in 2023 did not deter the FCFE, which remained stable, highlighting possible effective capital expenditure and financing strategies maintaining shareholder value.

Price to FCFE Ratio, Current

Valero Energy Corp., current P/FCFE calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
No. shares of common stock outstanding
Selected Financial Data (US$)
Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) (in millions)
FCFE per share
Current share price (P)
Valuation Ratio
P/FCFE
Benchmarks
P/FCFE, Competitors1
Chevron Corp.
ConocoPhillips
Exxon Mobil Corp.
Occidental Petroleum Corp.
P/FCFE, Sector
Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
P/FCFE, Industry
Energy

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 Click competitor name to see calculations.

If the company P/FCFE is lower then the P/FCFE of benchmark then company is relatively undervalued.
Otherwise, if the company P/FCFE is higher then the P/FCFE of benchmark then company is relatively overvalued.


Price to FCFE Ratio, Historical

Valero Energy Corp., historical P/FCFE calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
No. shares of common stock outstanding1
Selected Financial Data (US$)
Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) (in millions)2
FCFE per share3
Share price1, 4
Valuation Ratio
P/FCFE5
Benchmarks
P/FCFE, Competitors6
Chevron Corp.
ConocoPhillips
Exxon Mobil Corp.
Occidental Petroleum Corp.
P/FCFE, Sector
Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
P/FCFE, Industry
Energy

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Data adjusted for splits and stock dividends.

2 See details »

3 2023 Calculation
FCFE per share = FCFE ÷ No. shares of common stock outstanding
= ÷ =

4 Closing price as at the filing date of Valero Energy Corp. Annual Report.

5 2023 Calculation
P/FCFE = Share price ÷ FCFE per share
= ÷ =

6 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Share Price
The share price showed a steady increase from 2019 through 2023. It rose from $71.72 in 2019 to $75.81 in 2020, then to $85.84 in 2021. A significant jump occurred in 2022, pushing the price to $132.43, followed by a moderate increase to $139.78 in 2023. This trend indicates growing investor confidence or improved market conditions for the company over this period.
FCFE per Share
Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) per share experienced a decline from 2019 to 2021, decreasing from $9.42 to $6.86. However, in 2022, there was a notable recovery with FCFE per share rising sharply to $21.63 and further increasing to $24.21 in 2023. This suggests an improvement in the company's cash-generating ability available to shareholders in the later years after a period of contraction.
P/FCFE Ratio
The price-to-FCFE ratio increased between 2019 and 2021, moving from 7.61 to 12.51, indicating that the share price grew out of proportion relative to the FCFE per share, or that FCFE declined faster than the price increased. From 2022 onwards, the ratio declined significantly to 6.12 and further to 5.77 in 2023, reflecting the combined effect of a rapid increase in FCFE per share and a slower share price appreciation. This downward trend in the ratio may indicate that the stock became more attractively valued relative to its free cash flow generation in recent years.