Stock Analysis on Net

Time Warner Inc. (NYSE:TWX)

$22.49

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since April 26, 2018.

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

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Economic Profit

Time Warner Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015 Dec 31, 2014 Dec 31, 2013
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2017 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


The financial data reveals several notable trends over the analyzed five-year period.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT remained relatively stable with minor fluctuations, beginning at 5,150 million USD in 2013 and ending at 5,040 million USD in 2017. There was a slight decrease observed in 2015 to 4,751 million USD, followed by a modest recovery in subsequent years.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital fluctuated within a narrow range, starting at 11.32% in 2013, experiencing small variations each year with a low of 10.76% in 2015, and finishing at 11.38% in 2017. This stability indicates consistent borrowing or equity costs over the period.
Invested Capital
Invested capital showed a declining trend initially, reducing from 56,262 million USD in 2013 to 52,455 million USD in 2014. However, from 2015 onwards, there was a gradual increase, culminating at 57,150 million USD in 2017, slightly surpassing the initial value. This suggests reinvestment activities or acquisition growth during the latter part of the period.
Economic Profit
Economic profit was negative throughout the entire timeframe, indicating that the company did not generate returns above its cost of capital. The losses narrowed from -1,221 million USD in 2013 to -784 million USD in 2014 but then worsened again, reaching -1,466 million USD by 2017. This pattern highlights ongoing challenges in creating value beyond capital costs despite relatively stable operating profits.

Overall, the company maintained steady operating profits and cost of capital, but the invested capital increased towards the end of the period. Despite these factors, economic profit remained persistently negative, suggesting that the firm struggled to achieve returns that exceed its cost of capital during these years.


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Time Warner Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015 Dec 31, 2014 Dec 31, 2013
Net income attributable to Time Warner Inc. shareholders
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts2
Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue3
Increase (decrease) in accrued restructuring and severance costs4
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents5
Interest expense
Interest expense, operating lease liability6
Adjusted interest expense
Tax benefit of interest expense7
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes8
(Gain) loss on marketable securities
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income9
Investment income, after taxes10
(Income) loss from discontinued operations, net of tax11
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred revenue.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in accrued restructuring and severance costs.

5 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income attributable to Time Warner Inc. shareholders.

6 2017 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

7 2017 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 35.00% =

8 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income attributable to Time Warner Inc. shareholders.

9 2017 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 35.00% =

10 Elimination of after taxes investment income.

11 Elimination of discontinued operations.


Net Income Attributable to Time Warner Inc. Shareholders
A consistent upward trend in net income is observable over the five-year period. Starting at $3,691 million in 2013, net income increased marginally each year, reaching $3,927 million in 2016. A notable rise occurred in 2017, with net income sharply increasing to $5,247 million, indicating a significant enhancement in profitability in that year.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT shows a relatively stable but slightly fluctuating pattern. From $5,150 million in 2013, it increased slightly to $5,167 million in 2014, followed by a decline to $4,751 million in 2015. The figure then recovered somewhat in 2016 and 2017, reaching $5,040 million by the end of 2017. Overall, NOPAT remained within a narrow range, suggesting moderate operational profit stability with some variation over the years.
Comparative Observations
While net income demonstrated a robust growth trajectory, especially in the final year, NOPAT displayed greater stability but without a clear upward trend. The divergence between the increasing net income and relatively stable NOPAT in the last year might indicate changes in non-operating factors such as financing activities, tax adjustments, or other income components contributing positively to net income.

Cash Operating Taxes

Time Warner Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015 Dec 31, 2014 Dec 31, 2013
Current and deferred income taxes provided on Income from continuing operations
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31).


Current and Deferred Income Taxes on Income from Continuing Operations
The amount of current and deferred income taxes provided on income from continuing operations exhibited a fluctuating trend over the five-year period. In 2013, the value was 1,749 million US dollars, which decreased significantly to 785 million in 2014. It then increased again to 1,651 million in 2015, followed by a decline to 1,281 million in 2016. By the end of 2017, this measure further dropped to 701 million US dollars, marking the lowest point in the observed range. Overall, the data suggest variability with no clear upward or downward long-term trend, but a general reduction from the starting value.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes showed a more consistent upward trend compared to the income taxes provided on continuing operations. Starting at 1,442 million US dollars in 2013, there was a notable increase to 1,048 million in 2014, which appears to be a decline; however, the following years reversed this pattern with values rising to 1,757 million in 2015 and then slightly decreasing to 1,465 million in 2016. The amount surged substantially in 2017 to 2,078 million US dollars, representing the highest value within the period. This trend indicates growing cash tax liabilities over time, with some minor fluctuations in the middle years.
Comparison Insights
Comparing both tax-related measures reveals divergent patterns: while current and deferred income taxes showed a volatile yet generally declining trend, cash operating taxes tended to increase, especially markedly in the final year. This divergence may indicate changes in tax accounting, timing differences, or shifts in taxable income and cash tax payment obligations across the reporting years.

Invested Capital

Time Warner Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015 Dec 31, 2014 Dec 31, 2013
Debt due within one year
Long-term debt, excluding due within one year
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Total Time Warner Inc. shareholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowance for doubtful accounts3
Deferred revenue4
Accrued restructuring and severance costs5
Equity equivalents6
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax7
Redeemable noncontrolling interest
Noncontrolling interest
Adjusted total Time Warner Inc. shareholders’ equity
Construction in progress8
Marketable securities9
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of deferred revenue.

5 Addition of accrued restructuring and severance costs.

6 Addition of equity equivalents to total Time Warner Inc. shareholders’ equity.

7 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

8 Subtraction of construction in progress.

9 Subtraction of marketable securities.


Total Reported Debt & Leases
The total reported debt and leases exhibited a generally increasing trend from 2013 to 2016, rising from $21,765 million to $25,355 million. However, in 2017, there was a slight decrease to $24,720 million. This indicates an overall growth in debt commitments over the period, with a minor reduction in the final year.
Total Time Warner Inc. Shareholders’ Equity
Shareholders’ equity showed a declining trend from 2013 through 2015, decreasing from $29,904 million to $23,619 million. In 2016, the equity slightly increased to $24,335 million and further rebounded more significantly in 2017 to $28,375 million. This pattern suggests a period of equity contraction followed by recovery toward the end of the analyzed timeframe.
Invested Capital
Invested capital declined from $56,262 million in 2013 to $52,455 million in 2014, followed by a modest increase in subsequent years, reaching $57,150 million in 2017. The leveling and eventual rise in invested capital imply a stabilization and renewed investment activities after an initial drop.
Overall Observations
Over the five-year period, the company’s financial structure demonstrated changes characterized by an initial increase in debt and decrease in equity and invested capital, followed by a stabilization and partial recovery. The reduction in shareholders’ equity between 2013 and 2015 could be indicative of challenges faced, while the subsequent increases in equity and invested capital suggest restored confidence and investment. The relatively stable debt levels near the end of the period highlight a controlled leverage approach.

Cost of Capital

Time Warner Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 35.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Time Warner Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015 Dec 31, 2014 Dec 31, 2013
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Alphabet Inc.
Charter Communications Inc.
Comcast Corp.
Meta Platforms Inc.
Netflix Inc.
Walt Disney Co.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2017 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Economic Profit
The company experienced negative economic profit throughout the entire five-year period. The economic profit improved from -1221 million US dollars at the end of 2013 to -784 million US dollars by the end of 2014, indicating a reduction in economic losses. However, from 2014 onwards, economic profit deteriorated again, reaching -1466 million US dollars by 2017. This pattern suggests that despite some initial improvement, the company struggled to generate positive economic returns during this timeframe.
Invested Capital
Invested capital showed a fluctuating but generally upward trend across the years. Starting at 56,262 million US dollars in 2013, it declined to 52,455 million US dollars in 2014. From there, it gradually increased year-over-year, reaching 57,150 million US dollars at the end of 2017. This indicates the company’s steady reinvestment or accumulation of capital over the period despite some initial decrease.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio was negative in all years, reflecting a return on invested capital below the company's cost of capital. The ratio improved slightly from -2.17% in 2013 to -1.49% in 2014, but then worsened consistently afterward, reaching -2.56% in 2017. The downward trend after 2014 signifies increasing inefficiency in generating returns on invested capital.
Overall Analysis
The financial indicators reveal a consistent challenge in achieving economic profitability, with persistent negative economic profit and economic spread ratios over the analyzed period. While invested capital grew moderately after 2014, the company failed to translate this growth into improved economic returns. The deterioration in economic spread after 2014 suggests rising costs or declining operational efficiency relative to capital employed. The initial improvement in 2014 did not sustain, indicating that the company may need to reassess its capital deployment strategy and cost management to enhance value creation.

Economic Profit Margin

Time Warner Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015 Dec 31, 2014 Dec 31, 2013
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
 
Revenues
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue
Adjusted revenues
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Alphabet Inc.
Charter Communications Inc.
Comcast Corp.
Meta Platforms Inc.
Netflix Inc.
Walt Disney Co.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2017 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted revenues
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Adjusted Revenues
The adjusted revenues demonstrated a fluctuating but overall modest upward trend over the five-year period. Starting from US$29,738 million in 2013, revenues declined to US$27,360 million in 2014, representing a temporary reduction. However, revenues subsequently increased annually, reaching US$31,400 million by the end of 2017. This indicates a recovery and gradual growth in revenue generation after the initial dip.
Economic Profit
The economic profit consistently remained negative throughout the entire period, indicating that the company faced challenges in generating returns exceeding its cost of capital. The loss narrowed from -US$1,221 million in 2013 to -US$784 million in 2014, marking the lowest negative value within the timeframe. However, after 2014, economic profit deteriorated again, worsening progressively to -US$1,466 million by 2017. This trend suggests increasing economic losses after an early improvement.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin exhibited a similar pattern to the economic profit figures, remaining negative and reflecting suboptimal profitability relative to revenues. Beginning at -4.11% in 2013, the margin improved to -2.86% in 2014, aligning with the narrowing of economic losses. Thereafter, the margin declined steadily to -4.67% by 2017, indicating worsening profitability in relation to revenue despite the growth in revenues seen during this period.
Summary
Overall, the company experienced revenue growth after an initial decline, but this was accompanied by persistent negative economic profits and economic profit margins. The temporary improvement in economic performance in 2014 was not sustained, with profitability metrics deteriorating over the subsequent years. This situation implies that revenue increases were insufficient to overcome underlying costs or capital charges, resulting in growing economic value destruction through 2017.