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Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.
Economic Profit
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-02-03).
1 NOPAT. See details »
2 Cost of capital. See details »
3 Invested capital. See details »
4 2023 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 544,162 – 20.40% × 4,379,253 = -349,177
The analysis of economic profit over the six-year period reveals a persistent inability to generate value above the cost of capital. While operating profits grew substantially for the majority of the period, the simultaneous expansion of the invested capital base and a consistently high cost of capital resulted in a deepening economic deficit.
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- A strong upward trajectory was observed from February 2018 through January 2022, with NOPAT increasing from 78,790 thousand to a peak of 752,355 thousand. A subsequent decline occurred in January 2023, with NOPAT falling to 544,162 thousand, indicating a reduction in operating efficiency or a contraction in profitability.
- Invested Capital
- The capital base experienced significant expansion, particularly between January 2021 and January 2022, during which invested capital more than doubled from 2,021,807 thousand to 4,553,261 thousand. This suggests a period of aggressive investment in assets or infrastructure, which remained relatively stable at 4,379,253 thousand by January 2023.
- Cost of Capital and Economic Profit
- The cost of capital remained high and volatile, ranging from a low of 19.10% in 2020 to a peak of 28.00% in 2021. Because the operating returns failed to exceed the imputed cost of the capital employed, economic profit remained negative throughout the entire analyzed timeframe. The economic loss expanded from -195,107 thousand in 2018 to -349,177 thousand in 2023, demonstrating that the growth in NOPAT was insufficient to compensate for the increased capital charges resulting from the larger invested capital base.
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Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-02-03).
1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »
2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for expected credit losses.
3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income.
4 2023 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 586,193 × 4.08% = 23,917
5 2023 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= 175,647 × 21.00% = 36,886
6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income.
7 2023 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= 38,520 × 21.00% = 8,089
8 Elimination of after taxes investment income.
- Net Income
- The net income has shown a significant upward trend from 2018 to 2022, starting at 2,180 thousand US dollars in 2018 and reaching a peak of 688,546 thousand US dollars in 2022. However, in 2023, there is a notable decline to 528,642 thousand US dollars, indicating a decrease from the previous year's peak.
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- NOPAT has also demonstrated a consistent increase over the years, rising from 78,790 thousand US dollars in 2018 to 752,355 thousand US dollars in 2022. Similar to net income, NOPAT decreases in 2023 to 544,162 thousand US dollars, showing a reduction compared to the prior year.
- Overall Trends and Insights
- Both net income and NOPAT exhibit strong growth from 2018 through 2022, reflecting improved profitability and operational efficiency. The concurrent decline in both metrics in 2023 suggests potential challenges or one-time events that affected the company's earnings and operating profit. Despite the decrease in 2023, the company maintains substantially higher profitability levels compared to the earlier years.
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Cash Operating Taxes
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-02-03).
- Income Tax Expense (Benefit)
- The income tax expense shows a general upward trend from 2018 through 2022, increasing from 27,971 thousand US dollars in 2018 to a peak of 133,558 thousand US dollars in 2022. This indicates a substantial rise in reported tax expense over this period. However, in 2023, there is a significant reversal, with the figure turning negative to -91,358 thousand US dollars, suggesting a tax benefit or refund in that year rather than an expense.
- Cash Operating Taxes
- Cash operating taxes exhibit a consistent increase from 58,643 thousand US dollars in 2018 to a high of 159,201 thousand US dollars in 2022. This steady growth indicates rising cash outflows for taxes related to operations. In 2023, however, the cash operating taxes decline sharply to 30,049 thousand US dollars, which is less than one-fifth of the prior year’s amount, pointing to a significant reduction in tax payments made in cash during this period.
- Overall Tax Trends
- Both income tax expense and cash operating taxes generally trend upwards through most of the timeframe, reflecting increasing tax obligations. The notable shifts in 2023, with income tax expense turning into a benefit and cash operating taxes dropping markedly, suggest exceptional tax events or adjustments that could be related to changes in profitability, tax regulation, or tax planning strategies implemented during or prior to that fiscal year. The divergence between tax expense and cash taxes in the final year indicates that the recorded tax expense does not correspond to actual cash outflows, highlighting potential timing differences or non-cash tax items influencing the reported figures.
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Invested Capital
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-02-03).
1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.
2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »
3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.
4 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ equity (deficit).
5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.
- Total reported debt & leases
- The total reported debt and leases show a generally increasing trend over the analyzed periods. Starting at approximately 1.25 billion US dollars in early 2018, the amount rises modestly to about 1.3 billion in early 2019. A significant increase is observed in 2020, reaching around 1.8 billion, followed by a slight decline in 2021 to about 1.62 billion. However, from 2021 to 2023, the debt nearly doubles, peaking at approximately 3.75 billion US dollars by early 2023. This indicates a substantial increase in leverage towards the latter years.
- Stockholders’ equity (deficit)
- Stockholders’ equity exhibits notable volatility. It begins with a deficit of roughly -7.3 million in early 2018, worsening to -22.9 million in 2019. A positive turnaround occurs in 2020, with equity improving to about 18.7 million. This positive trajectory continues strongly, reaching approximately 447 million in 2021 and peaking at around 1.17 billion in 2022. However, equity declines significantly in 2023 to roughly 784 million, though it remains positive. The initial deficits suggest prior financial struggles, followed by a recovery period and some recent weakening.
- Invested capital
- Invested capital follows a pattern similar to total debt and equity combined, displaying growth over the period examined. Starting near 1.23 billion in 2018, it remains relatively flat through 2019 before a marked increase to about 1.77 billion in 2020. Steady growth continues into 2021, reaching just over 2 billion. A substantial surge occurs in 2022, with invested capital approximately doubling to 4.55 billion, before slightly decreasing to 4.38 billion in 2023. The significant increase in invested capital aligns with the rise in debt and equity previously noted, indicating increased capitalization.
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Cost of Capital
RH, cost of capital calculations
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | 5,416,784) | 5,416,784) | ÷ | 9,192,347) | = | 0.59 | 0.59 | × | 31.17% | = | 18.37% | ||
| Debt3 | 3,189,370) | 3,189,370) | ÷ | 9,192,347) | = | 0.35 | 0.35 | × | 6.66% × (1 – 21.00%) | = | 1.83% | ||
| Operating lease liability4 | 586,193) | 586,193) | ÷ | 9,192,347) | = | 0.06 | 0.06 | × | 4.08% × (1 – 21.00%) | = | 0.21% | ||
| Total: | 9,192,347) | 1.00 | 20.40% | ||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-28).
1 US$ in thousands
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | 7,256,808) | 7,256,808) | ÷ | 10,725,914) | = | 0.68 | 0.68 | × | 31.17% | = | 21.09% | ||
| Debt3 | 2,854,759) | 2,854,759) | ÷ | 10,725,914) | = | 0.27 | 0.27 | × | 4.96% × (1 – 21.00%) | = | 1.04% | ||
| Operating lease liability4 | 614,347) | 614,347) | ÷ | 10,725,914) | = | 0.06 | 0.06 | × | 3.94% × (1 – 21.00%) | = | 0.18% | ||
| Total: | 10,725,914) | 1.00 | 22.31% | ||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-29).
1 US$ in thousands
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | 12,598,090) | 12,598,090) | ÷ | 14,243,251) | = | 0.88 | 0.88 | × | 31.17% | = | 27.57% | ||
| Debt3 | 1,125,468) | 1,125,468) | ÷ | 14,243,251) | = | 0.08 | 0.08 | × | 5.04% × (1 – 21.00%) | = | 0.31% | ||
| Operating lease liability4 | 519,693) | 519,693) | ÷ | 14,243,251) | = | 0.04 | 0.04 | × | 3.97% × (1 – 21.00%) | = | 0.11% | ||
| Total: | 14,243,251) | 1.00 | 28.00% | ||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-30).
1 US$ in thousands
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | 2,270,164) | 2,270,164) | ÷ | 4,068,301) | = | 0.56 | 0.56 | × | 31.17% | = | 17.39% | ||
| Debt3 | 1,329,283) | 1,329,283) | ÷ | 4,068,301) | = | 0.33 | 0.33 | × | 5.25% × (1 – 21.00%) | = | 1.36% | ||
| Operating lease liability4 | 468,854) | 468,854) | ÷ | 4,068,301) | = | 0.12 | 0.12 | × | 3.82% × (1 – 21.00%) | = | 0.35% | ||
| Total: | 4,068,301) | 1.00 | 19.10% | ||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-01).
1 US$ in thousands
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | 2,108,232) | 2,108,232) | ÷ | 3,364,528) | = | 0.63 | 0.63 | × | 31.17% | = | 19.53% | ||
| Debt3 | 891,992) | 891,992) | ÷ | 3,364,528) | = | 0.27 | 0.27 | × | 11.53% × (1 – 21.00%) | = | 2.41% | ||
| Operating lease liability4 | 364,304) | 364,304) | ÷ | 3,364,528) | = | 0.11 | 0.11 | × | 11.53% × (1 – 21.00%) | = | 0.99% | ||
| Total: | 3,364,528) | 1.00 | 22.93% | ||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-02).
1 US$ in thousands
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | 2,050,294) | 2,050,294) | ÷ | 3,304,429) | = | 0.62 | 0.62 | × | 31.17% | = | 19.34% | ||
| Debt3 | 873,362) | 873,362) | ÷ | 3,304,429) | = | 0.26 | 0.26 | × | 11.90% × (1 – 33.70%) | = | 2.09% | ||
| Operating lease liability4 | 380,773) | 380,773) | ÷ | 3,304,429) | = | 0.12 | 0.12 | × | 11.90% × (1 – 33.70%) | = | 0.91% | ||
| Total: | 3,304,429) | 1.00 | 22.34% | ||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-02-03).
1 US$ in thousands
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Economic Spread Ratio
| Jan 28, 2023 | Jan 29, 2022 | Jan 30, 2021 | Feb 1, 2020 | Feb 2, 2019 | Feb 3, 2018 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands) | |||||||
| Economic profit1 | (349,177) | (263,507) | (227,102) | (43,638) | (43,749) | (195,107) | |
| Invested capital2 | 4,379,253) | 4,553,261) | 2,021,807) | 1,774,870) | 1,246,825) | 1,226,304) | |
| Performance Ratio | |||||||
| Economic spread ratio3 | -7.97% | -5.79% | -11.23% | -2.46% | -3.51% | -15.91% | |
| Benchmarks | |||||||
| Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4 | |||||||
| Amazon.com Inc. | -10.87% | -21.81% | -2.05% | — | — | — | |
| Home Depot Inc. | 16.86% | 21.31% | 12.15% | — | — | — | |
| Lowe’s Cos. Inc. | 13.60% | 21.57% | 9.12% | — | — | — | |
| TJX Cos. Inc. | 4.19% | 4.21% | -12.64% | — | — | — | |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-02-03).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 Invested capital. See details »
3 2023 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × -349,177 ÷ 4,379,253 = -7.97%
4 Click competitor name to see calculations.
The financial performance over the six-year period is characterized by a consistent failure to generate positive economic profit, indicating that the returns on invested capital have remained below the cost of that capital. While there was a period of relative stabilization between 2019 and 2020, the subsequent years show a deepening deficit in economic value creation despite a significant expansion in the capital base.
- Economic Profit Trends
- Economic profit remained negative throughout the entire analyzed period. A notable recovery occurred between February 2018 and February 2020, where losses narrowed from -195,107 thousand US$ to -43,638 thousand US$. However, this trend reversed sharply starting in January 2021, with losses expanding rapidly to reach -349,177 thousand US$ by January 2023, representing the lowest point in the sequence.
- Invested Capital Growth
- There is a clear upward trajectory in invested capital, which grew from 1,226,304 thousand US$ in 2018 to 4,379,253 thousand US$ in 2023. A substantial increase is observed between January 2021 and January 2022, where invested capital more than doubled from 2,021,807 thousand US$ to 4,553,261 thousand US$. This suggests a period of aggressive capital deployment or asset acquisition that did not yield a corresponding increase in economic profit.
- Economic Spread Ratio Analysis
- The economic spread ratio remained negative for all six years, confirming that the company did not achieve a positive spread over its cost of capital. The ratio improved from -15.91% in 2018 to a peak of -2.46% in 2020. However, a significant deterioration occurred in 2021, dropping to -11.23%. Although there was a partial recovery to -5.79% in 2022, the ratio slipped again to -7.97% in 2023, indicating persistent inefficiency in generating value relative to the capital employed.
The divergence between the rapidly increasing invested capital and the deepening economic losses since 2021 suggests a diminishing return on new investments. The volatility of the economic spread ratio further underscores an inability to stabilize the relationship between operating returns and the cost of capital.
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Economic Profit Margin
| Jan 28, 2023 | Jan 29, 2022 | Jan 30, 2021 | Feb 1, 2020 | Feb 2, 2019 | Feb 3, 2018 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands) | |||||||
| Economic profit1 | (349,177) | (263,507) | (227,102) | (43,638) | (43,749) | (195,107) | |
| Net revenues | 3,590,477) | 3,758,820) | 2,848,626) | 2,647,437) | 2,505,653) | 2,440,174) | |
| Performance Ratio | |||||||
| Economic profit margin2 | -9.73% | -7.01% | -7.97% | -1.65% | -1.75% | -8.00% | |
| Benchmarks | |||||||
| Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3 | |||||||
| Amazon.com Inc. | -6.13% | -11.39% | -0.88% | — | — | — | |
| Home Depot Inc. | 5.92% | 6.77% | 4.57% | — | — | — | |
| Lowe’s Cos. Inc. | 3.47% | 5.87% | 2.89% | — | — | — | |
| TJX Cos. Inc. | 1.71% | 1.71% | -8.80% | — | — | — | |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-01-28), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-01-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-01-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-02-01), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-02-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-02-03).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 2023 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net revenues
= 100 × -349,177 ÷ 3,590,477 = -9.73%
3 Click competitor name to see calculations.
The analysis of economic value creation from 2018 through 2023 indicates a persistent inability to generate positive economic profit. Despite fluctuations in net revenues, the company consistently operated below its cost of capital throughout the observed period, resulting in negative economic profit margins in every fiscal year.
- Economic Profit Trajectory
- A period of relative stabilization occurred between 2019 and 2020, where economic losses narrowed significantly to approximately -43.7 million and -43.6 million respectively. However, this trend reversed sharply starting in 2021, with losses expanding to -227.1 million. This downward trajectory accelerated through 2023, reaching a period low of -349.2 million, representing a substantial erosion of economic value.
- Revenue Growth and Value Correlation
- Net revenues demonstrated a general upward trend for the majority of the period, rising from 2.44 billion in 2018 to a peak of 3.76 billion in 2022. Despite this growth in top-line performance, economic profit continued to deteriorate. This divergence suggests that the capital investments required to drive revenue growth did not yield returns sufficient to cover the associated cost of capital.
- Economic Profit Margin Volatility
- The economic profit margin exhibited significant volatility, reflecting a lack of stability in value generation. After improving from -8.00% in 2018 to a peak of -1.65% in 2020, the margin deteriorated rapidly. By 2023, the margin declined to -9.73%, the lowest point in the six-year series. The contraction of the margin in 2023 coincided with a decrease in net revenues, indicating a simultaneous decline in both scale and economic efficiency.
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