Calculation
| P/BV | = | Share price1, 2, 3 | ÷ | Book value per share1 (BVPS) | BVPS1 | = | Total Hilton stockholders’ equity (deficit)1 (in millions) |
÷ | No. shares of common stock outstanding2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2024 | — | = | 196.03 | ÷ | -9.36 | -9.36 | = | -2,360 | ÷ | 252,160,518 | |
| Feb 9, 2023 | — | = | 150.80 | ÷ | -4.14 | -4.14 | = | -1,102 | ÷ | 266,450,664 | |
| Feb 16, 2022 | — | = | 156.34 | ÷ | -2.94 | -2.94 | = | -821 | ÷ | 279,139,082 | |
| Feb 17, 2021 | — | = | 111.43 | ÷ | -5.37 | -5.37 | = | -1,490 | ÷ | 277,607,799 | |
| Feb 11, 2020 | — | = | 112.94 | ÷ | -1.74 | -1.74 | = | -482 | ÷ | 277,447,716 | |
| Feb 13, 2019 | 42.18 | = | 79.37 | ÷ | 1.88 | 1.88 | = | 551 | ÷ | 292,847,337 | |
| Feb 14, 2018 | 13.12 | = | 85.97 | ÷ | 6.55 | 6.55 | = | 2,072 | ÷ | 316,118,115 | |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 3.32 | = | 59.46 | ÷ | 17.89 | 17.89 | = | 5,899 | ÷ | 329,731,387 | |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 3.42 | = | 62.10 | ÷ | 18.18 | 18.18 | = | 5,985 | ÷ | 329,291,168 | |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 5.91 | = | 85.62 | ÷ | 14.48 | 14.48 | = | 4,752 | ÷ | 328,208,303 | |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 5.08 | = | 67.47 | ÷ | 13.29 | 13.29 | = | 4,363 | ÷ | 328,205,121 |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31).
1 US$
2 Data adjusted for splits and stock dividends.
3 Closing price as at the filing date of Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. Annual Report.
The financial trajectory since 2014 reveals a significant and widening divergence between market valuation and the accounting book value. While the share price exhibited a strong long-term upward trend, the book value per share underwent a precipitous decline, eventually transitioning into negative territory.
- Share Price Performance
- The market price per share demonstrated substantial growth over the analyzed period, rising from 67.47 US$ in 2014 to 196.03 US$ by 2024. Although a period of stagnation and slight decline occurred between 2016 and 2017, the subsequent recovery and acceleration indicate strong market confidence and valuation appreciation.
- Book Value per Share (BVPS) Erosion
- The BVPS experienced a complete reversal in trend. After peaking at 18.18 US$ in 2016, the value dropped sharply to 6.55 US$ in 2018 and 1.88 US$ in 2019. Starting in 2020, the BVPS became negative, reaching -1.74 US$ and continuing to deteriorate to -9.36 US$ by 2024. This shift to a negative equity position suggests an aggressive capital structure strategy, likely involving significant share buybacks or the accumulation of liabilities exceeding assets.
- Price to Book Value (P/BV) Ratio Dynamics
- Between 2014 and 2017, the P/BV ratio remained within a moderate range of 3.32 to 5.91. As the book value per share collapsed toward zero, the ratio spiked mathematically, rising to 13.12 in 2018 and peaking at 42.18 in 2019. From 2020 onward, the P/BV ratio is absent from the data, as the transition to a negative book value renders this specific valuation metric inapplicable.
The overall pattern indicates that the market valuation is driven by factors independent of the company's net asset value. The transition to negative book value combined with a rising share price reflects a decoupled relationship where investor valuation is based on earnings potential, brand equity, or cash flow rather than tangible accounting equity.
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Comparison to Competitors
| Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | Airbnb Inc. | Booking Holdings Inc. | Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. | DoorDash, Inc. | McDonald’s Corp. | Starbucks Corp. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2024 | — | 12.09 | — | 23.47 | 6.85 | — | — |
| Feb 9, 2023 | — | 15.16 | 32.84 | 18.74 | 3.15 | — | — |
| Feb 16, 2022 | — | 20.88 | 16.35 | 19.05 | 7.65 | — | — |
| Feb 17, 2021 | — | 43.27 | 20.46 | 21.52 | 10.36 | — | — |
| Feb 11, 2020 | — | — | 11.62 | 14.09 | — | — | — |
| Feb 13, 2019 | 42.18 | — | 9.77 | 11.19 | — | — | 72.30 |
| Feb 14, 2018 | 13.12 | — | 8.03 | 5.45 | — | — | 14.86 |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 3.32 | — | 8.17 | 8.18 | — | — | 13.79 |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 3.42 | — | 6.97 | 6.49 | — | 15.06 | 15.59 |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 5.91 | — | 7.38 | 10.42 | — | 7.10 | 11.09 |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 5.08 | — | 9.68 | 10.94 | — | 5.97 | 13.55 |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31).
Comparison to Sector (Consumer Services)
| Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | Consumer Services | |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2024 | — | 264.40 |
| Feb 9, 2023 | — | 198.47 |
| Feb 16, 2022 | — | 74.08 |
| Feb 17, 2021 | — | — |
| Feb 11, 2020 | — | — |
| Feb 13, 2019 | 42.18 | 63.58 |
| Feb 14, 2018 | 13.12 | 20.82 |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 3.32 | 18.69 |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 3.42 | 11.44 |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 5.91 | 8.15 |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 5.08 | 8.29 |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31).
Comparison to Industry (Consumer Discretionary)
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc., P/BV, long-term trends, comparison to industry (consumer discretionary)
| Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | Consumer Discretionary | |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2024 | — | 10.06 |
| Feb 9, 2023 | — | 9.41 |
| Feb 16, 2022 | — | 13.21 |
| Feb 17, 2021 | — | 17.99 |
| Feb 11, 2020 | — | 13.59 |
| Feb 13, 2019 | 42.18 | 11.35 |
| Feb 14, 2018 | 13.12 | 10.74 |
| Feb 15, 2017 | 3.32 | 8.39 |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 3.42 | 7.17 |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 5.91 | 5.83 |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 5.08 | 5.12 |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31).