Stock Analysis on Net

Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (NYSE:FCX)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

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Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Freeport-McMoRan Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


The financial data over the five-year period demonstrates a fluctuating performance in net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT), economic profit, invested capital, and cost of capital. Key observations are as follows:

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT saw a sharp increase from US$1,698 million in 2020 to a peak of US$6,188 million in 2021. However, subsequent years recorded a declining trend, falling to US$5,116 million in 2022, then further decreasing to US$4,632 million in 2023, and US$4,538 million by the end of 2024. Despite the decrease after 2021, the profit levels remained substantially above the 2020 figure.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital remained relatively stable and consistently high, fluctuating slightly between 19.66% and 20.58% over the five-year span. The stability in cost of capital indicates a consistent expectation of return by investors or lenders, without significant volatility.
Invested Capital
Invested capital rose from US$32,173 million in 2020 to a maximum of US$36,035 million in 2022, signaling ongoing investments or asset growth. After 2022, invested capital showed a gradual decline to US$33,889 million in 2024, which may suggest asset disposals, efficiency improvements, or retrenchment strategies.
Economic Profit
Economic profit remained negative throughout the analyzed period, indicating that the company's returns did not exceed its cost of capital in any year. Although the economic loss narrowed significantly from -US$4,627 million in 2020 to -US$994 million in 2021, it deteriorated again over the following years, reaching -US$2,437 million in 2024. This pattern reveals challenges in generating value above the cost of capital, despite variations in operating profit.

In summary, after a peak in profitability in 2021, the company experienced a gradual decline in net operating profit while maintaining a high and stable cost of capital. Invested capital increased initially but declined in later years, potentially reflecting strategic shifts or operational changes. The consistent negative economic profit highlights an ongoing difficulty in creating surplus value beyond the capital costs, indicating the need for enhanced operational efficiency, cost management, or investment reallocation to improve value generation.


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Freeport-McMoRan Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net income attributable to common stockholders
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue2
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents3
Interest expense, net
Interest expense, operating lease liability4
Adjusted interest expense, net
Tax benefit of interest expense, net5
Adjusted interest expense, net, after taxes6
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred revenue.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income attributable to common stockholders.

4 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

5 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense, net = Adjusted interest expense, net × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income attributable to common stockholders.


Net Income Attributable to Common Stockholders
The net income attributable to common stockholders showed a significant increase from 599 million USD in 2020 to a peak of 4306 million USD in 2021. However, after this peak, net income declined to 3468 million USD in 2022 and continued to decrease further to 1848 million USD in 2023. There was a slight recovery in 2024, with net income rising marginally to 1889 million USD. Overall, the data indicates a pronounced volatility with a substantial peak in 2021 followed by a consistent downward trend in the subsequent years through 2024.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The net operating profit after taxes also demonstrated a strong upward movement from 1698 million USD in 2020 to 6188 million USD in 2021. Following this, NOPAT experienced a decline to 5116 million USD in 2022 and a further decrease to 4632 million USD in 2023. By 2024, NOPAT slightly decreased again to 4538 million USD. Despite the reductions after 2021, NOPAT levels remained substantially higher than the 2020 baseline, signifying an overall improved operating profitability compared to the start of the period.
General Observations
Both net income and NOPAT peaked in 2021, indicating a year of exceptional profitability. Post-2021, both metrics declined, with net income showing a sharper drop compared to NOPAT. This divergence suggests that factors affecting net income beyond operating performance, such as non-operating expenses or one-time gains/losses, could have influenced net income volatility. Despite declines, the company maintained profitability above initial 2020 levels over the five-year span. The slight uptick in net income in 2024 may hint at stabilization or recovering profitability after several years of decrease.

Cash Operating Taxes

Freeport-McMoRan Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Provision for income taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense, net
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).


The financial data reveals trends in the provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes over a five-year period ending December 31, 2024.

Provision for Income Taxes
There is a notable increase from 944 million US dollars in 2020 to 2299 million in 2021, indicating a sharp rise in tax provisions. The figures then remain relatively stable around the 2200-2270 million range for the years 2022 and 2023. In 2024, a further increase to 2523 million is observed, suggesting continuing growth in tax obligations.
Cash Operating Taxes
This category exhibits a significant surge from 774 million US dollars in 2020 to 2217 million in 2021, reflecting a major increase in cash tax payments. There is a slight downward trend in 2022 and 2023, with cash operating taxes recorded at 2088 million and 2009 million respectively. However, in 2024, a sharp rise occurs, reaching 2672 million, surpassing previous years' levels.

Overall, the trends indicate a substantial increase in both provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes starting in 2021. While the provision for income taxes shows a steady upward trend after 2021, cash operating taxes display more variability with a dip in the middle years followed by a significant rebound in 2024. This pattern may reflect changes in the company's profitability, tax strategies, or external tax environment impacting its tax liabilities and payments.


Invested Capital

Freeport-McMoRan Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Current portion of debt
Long-term debt, less current portion
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Stockholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Deferred revenue3
Equity equivalents4
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax5
Noncontrolling interests
Adjusted stockholders’ equity
Construction in progress6
Investment securities7
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of deferred revenue.

4 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ equity.

5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

6 Subtraction of construction in progress.

7 Subtraction of investment securities.


The financial data reveals several key trends regarding the company’s capital structure and equity position over the five-year period.

Total Reported Debt & Leases
The total reported debt and leases show fluctuation but overall a slight decrease from 2020 to 2024. After peaking in 2022 at 10,952 million USD, the debt level declines to 9,738 million USD by the end of 2024. This suggests an effort to reduce debt or improve debt management after a temporary increase in 2022.
Stockholders’ Equity
Stockholders’ equity demonstrates consistent growth year over year. Starting at 10,174 million USD in 2020, it rises steadily to reach 17,581 million USD in 2024. This upward trend indicates strengthening equity, possibly due to retained earnings growth, issuing equity, or increased profitability enhancing the company’s net asset base.
Invested Capital
Invested capital increases from 32,173 million USD in 2020 to a peak of 36,035 million USD in 2022, followed by a decline to 33,889 million USD in 2024. The increase up to 2022 may reflect expanded operational assets or investment in capital projects, while the subsequent decline suggests divestitures, asset sales, or depreciation outpacing new investments.

Overall, the data reflects a company focused on strengthening equity while managing debt levels relatively stable after a notable increase in 2022. Investment in capital assets has peaked and begun to recede moderately, indicating possible strategic shifts in capital allocation or operational adjustments during the latter years.


Cost of Capital

Freeport-McMoRan Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Freeport-McMoRan Inc., economic spread ratio calculation

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =


The financial data reveals several key trends over the five-year period from 2020 to 2024. The economic profit remains negative throughout the entire timeframe, indicating that the company has not generated returns exceeding its cost of capital during these years. While there is an observable improvement from 2020 to 2021, with economic profit rising from -4627 million US dollars to -994 million US dollars, the following years show a deterioration again, reaching -2563 million in 2023 and slightly improving but still remaining deeply negative at -2437 million in 2024.

Invested capital shows an increasing trend initially, starting from 32,173 million US dollars in 2020 and peaking at 36,035 million US dollars in 2022. However, subsequent years reflect a slight decline in invested capital, falling to 33,889 million US dollars by 2024. This pattern suggests a build-up of capital assets or investments until 2022, followed by a modest reduction or divestment activity in the later years.

The economic spread ratio remains negative throughout all years, indicating that the return on invested capital is consistently below the cost of capital. The least negative value occurs in 2021 at -2.84%, showing a temporary improvement. However, after 2021, the ratio worsens again, reaching -7.30% in 2023 and maintaining a similar level in 2024 at -7.19%. This sustained negative spread ratio underscores persistent challenges in generating adequate returns on investments.

Economic Profit
Negative across all years; improved significantly in 2021 but declined afterwards, indicating ongoing profitability challenges.
Invested Capital
Increased steadily until 2022, followed by a decline in 2023 and 2024, suggesting changes in investment strategy or asset base.
Economic Spread Ratio
Consistently negative, with a temporary improvement in 2021; overall indicates returns are insufficient to cover the cost of capital throughout the period.

Economic Profit Margin

Freeport-McMoRan Inc., economic profit margin calculation

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
 
Revenues
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue
Adjusted revenues
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted revenues
= 100 × ÷ =


Adjusted Revenues
The adjusted revenues show a general upward trend over the period analyzed. Starting at approximately $14.25 billion in 2020, revenues increased significantly to nearly $23 billion by the end of 2021. Although the revenues stabilized around the $22.7 billion to $22.9 billion range through 2022 and 2023, a noteworthy increase to approximately $25.4 billion is seen in 2024, indicating positive growth momentum in the most recent year.
Economic Profit
Economic profit remains negative throughout the observed period, indicating the entity has not generated positive economic profit during these years. The loss narrowed substantially from a considerable deficit of about $4.6 billion in 2020 to under $1 billion in 2021, suggesting an improvement in economic profitability. However, from 2022 onwards, economic profit worsened again, with losses around $2.3 billion to $2.6 billion, showing some volatility and challenges in maintaining positive economic returns.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin mirrors the pattern identified in economic profit. Starting at a substantial negative margin of -32.47% in 2020, it improved significantly to -4.33% by 2021, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency or favorable market conditions. Yet, this improvement did not sustain as the margin declined once more in the following years, fluctuating between -10.04% and -11.17% before slightly improving to -9.6% in 2024. These figures indicate persistent difficulties in translating revenue growth into positive economic profitability.
Overall Analysis
Despite strong growth in adjusted revenues, the company has continuously experienced negative economic profits and margins, highlighting ongoing challenges in generating value beyond its cost of capital. While 2021 shows a temporary improvement in economic profit and margin, subsequent years indicate a reversal to higher economic losses. The data suggests that revenue increases have not been sufficient to offset underlying costs or inefficiencies impacting comprehensive profitability.