Stock Analysis on Net

Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (NYSE:FCX)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

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Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Freeport-McMoRan Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


The period under review demonstrates a consistent pattern of negative economic profit. While net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) fluctuates, it does not generate sufficient returns to cover the cost of capital employed. Invested capital exhibits an initial increase followed by a slight decline, while the cost of capital remains relatively stable.

NOPAT Trend
Net operating profit after taxes increased significantly from US$1,698 million in 2020 to US$6,188 million in 2021. However, this was followed by a decrease to US$5,116 million in 2022, and further declines to US$4,632 million in 2023 and US$4,538 million in 2024. This indicates a weakening of operational profitability in the latter years of the period.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital remained consistently high throughout the period, ranging between 23.62% and 24.76%. A slight upward trend is observable in the cost of capital from 2020 to 2024, potentially reflecting changes in market conditions or the company’s risk profile.
Invested Capital
Invested capital increased from US$32,173 million in 2020 to US$36,035 million in 2022. A subsequent decrease to US$35,126 million in 2023 and US$33,889 million in 2024 suggests a potential reduction in capital expenditure or asset sales.
Economic Profit
Economic profit remained negative throughout the entire period, ranging from a loss of US$5,901 million in 2020 to a loss of US$3,853 million in 2024. While the magnitude of the loss decreased slightly in the most recent year, the consistent negative economic profit indicates that the company is not generating returns exceeding its cost of capital. The economic profit figures generally mirror the NOPAT trend, with the largest loss coinciding with the lowest NOPAT value in 2020.

In summary, the company consistently failed to generate economic profit during the analyzed period. Despite fluctuations in NOPAT and invested capital, the high cost of capital consistently outweighed operational earnings, resulting in negative economic profit each year.


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Freeport-McMoRan Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net income attributable to common stockholders
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue2
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents3
Interest expense, net
Interest expense, operating lease liability4
Adjusted interest expense, net
Tax benefit of interest expense, net5
Adjusted interest expense, net, after taxes6
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred revenue.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income attributable to common stockholders.

4 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

5 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense, net = Adjusted interest expense, net × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

6 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income attributable to common stockholders.


Net Income Attributable to Common Stockholders
The net income attributable to common stockholders showed a significant increase from 599 million USD in 2020 to a peak of 4306 million USD in 2021. However, after this peak, net income declined to 3468 million USD in 2022 and continued to decrease further to 1848 million USD in 2023. There was a slight recovery in 2024, with net income rising marginally to 1889 million USD. Overall, the data indicates a pronounced volatility with a substantial peak in 2021 followed by a consistent downward trend in the subsequent years through 2024.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The net operating profit after taxes also demonstrated a strong upward movement from 1698 million USD in 2020 to 6188 million USD in 2021. Following this, NOPAT experienced a decline to 5116 million USD in 2022 and a further decrease to 4632 million USD in 2023. By 2024, NOPAT slightly decreased again to 4538 million USD. Despite the reductions after 2021, NOPAT levels remained substantially higher than the 2020 baseline, signifying an overall improved operating profitability compared to the start of the period.
General Observations
Both net income and NOPAT peaked in 2021, indicating a year of exceptional profitability. Post-2021, both metrics declined, with net income showing a sharper drop compared to NOPAT. This divergence suggests that factors affecting net income beyond operating performance, such as non-operating expenses or one-time gains/losses, could have influenced net income volatility. Despite declines, the company maintained profitability above initial 2020 levels over the five-year span. The slight uptick in net income in 2024 may hint at stabilization or recovering profitability after several years of decrease.

Cash Operating Taxes

Freeport-McMoRan Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Provision for income taxes
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense, net
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).


The financial data reveals trends in the provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes over a five-year period ending December 31, 2024.

Provision for Income Taxes
There is a notable increase from 944 million US dollars in 2020 to 2299 million in 2021, indicating a sharp rise in tax provisions. The figures then remain relatively stable around the 2200-2270 million range for the years 2022 and 2023. In 2024, a further increase to 2523 million is observed, suggesting continuing growth in tax obligations.
Cash Operating Taxes
This category exhibits a significant surge from 774 million US dollars in 2020 to 2217 million in 2021, reflecting a major increase in cash tax payments. There is a slight downward trend in 2022 and 2023, with cash operating taxes recorded at 2088 million and 2009 million respectively. However, in 2024, a sharp rise occurs, reaching 2672 million, surpassing previous years' levels.

Overall, the trends indicate a substantial increase in both provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes starting in 2021. While the provision for income taxes shows a steady upward trend after 2021, cash operating taxes display more variability with a dip in the middle years followed by a significant rebound in 2024. This pattern may reflect changes in the company's profitability, tax strategies, or external tax environment impacting its tax liabilities and payments.


Invested Capital

Freeport-McMoRan Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Current portion of debt
Long-term debt, less current portion
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Stockholders’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Deferred revenue3
Equity equivalents4
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax5
Noncontrolling interests
Adjusted stockholders’ equity
Construction in progress6
Investment securities7
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of deferred revenue.

4 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ equity.

5 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

6 Subtraction of construction in progress.

7 Subtraction of investment securities.


The financial data reveals several key trends regarding the company’s capital structure and equity position over the five-year period.

Total Reported Debt & Leases
The total reported debt and leases show fluctuation but overall a slight decrease from 2020 to 2024. After peaking in 2022 at 10,952 million USD, the debt level declines to 9,738 million USD by the end of 2024. This suggests an effort to reduce debt or improve debt management after a temporary increase in 2022.
Stockholders’ Equity
Stockholders’ equity demonstrates consistent growth year over year. Starting at 10,174 million USD in 2020, it rises steadily to reach 17,581 million USD in 2024. This upward trend indicates strengthening equity, possibly due to retained earnings growth, issuing equity, or increased profitability enhancing the company’s net asset base.
Invested Capital
Invested capital increases from 32,173 million USD in 2020 to a peak of 36,035 million USD in 2022, followed by a decline to 33,889 million USD in 2024. The increase up to 2022 may reflect expanded operational assets or investment in capital projects, while the subsequent decline suggests divestitures, asset sales, or depreciation outpacing new investments.

Overall, the data reflects a company focused on strengthening equity while managing debt levels relatively stable after a notable increase in 2022. Investment in capital assets has peaked and begun to recede moderately, indicating possible strategic shifts in capital allocation or operational adjustments during the latter years.


Cost of Capital

Freeport-McMoRan Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Long-term debt, including current portion3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Long-term debt, including current portion. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Freeport-McMoRan Inc., economic spread ratio calculation

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =


The period under review demonstrates a consistent pattern of negative economic profit, coupled with fluctuations in invested capital. This translates into a consistently negative economic spread ratio across the five-year timeframe.

Economic Profit
Economic profit remains negative throughout the period, ranging from a low of -US$5,901 million in 2020 to a high of -US$2,455 million in 2021. While a slight improvement was observed between 2020 and 2021, subsequent years show a return to, and slight worsening of, negative economic profit, stabilizing around -US$3.8 to -US$4.0 billion between 2022 and 2024.
Invested Capital
Invested capital increased from US$32,173 million in 2020 to US$36,035 million in 2022, indicating a period of capital investment. However, it then decreased in the following two years, reaching US$33,889 million in 2024. This suggests a potential shift in capital allocation strategy or project completion leading to reduced capital needs.
Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio consistently registers negative values, indicating that the company’s return on invested capital is less than its cost of capital. The ratio improved from -18.34% in 2020 to -7.01% in 2021, mirroring the improvement in economic profit. However, the ratio then deteriorated, reaching -11.45% in 2023 and stabilizing at -11.37% in 2024. This suggests a widening gap between the cost of capital and the returns generated by the invested capital in recent years.

Overall, the trends suggest that while the company has made investments in its capital base, it has not generated sufficient returns to cover its cost of capital, resulting in persistent negative economic profit and a declining economic spread ratio. The stabilization of the economic spread ratio in the latest year does not indicate improvement, but rather a cessation of further deterioration.


Economic Profit Margin

Freeport-McMoRan Inc., economic profit margin calculation

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
 
Revenues
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue
Adjusted revenues
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted revenues
= 100 × ÷ =


The period under review demonstrates consistent negative economic profit for the company, alongside fluctuating, but generally increasing, adjusted revenues. The economic profit margin reflects this pattern, remaining negative throughout the analyzed timeframe and exhibiting a trend towards greater negativity before a slight improvement in the most recent year.

Economic Profit
Economic profit consistently remained below zero across all reported years. While the magnitude of the loss decreased from 2020 to 2021, it subsequently increased from 2021 to 2023. The most recent year, 2024, shows a slight reduction in the absolute value of the loss compared to 2023, but remains substantial.
Adjusted Revenues
Adjusted revenues experienced a significant increase between 2020 and 2021. Following this substantial growth, revenue figures remained relatively stable between 2021 and 2023. A further increase in adjusted revenues is observed in 2024, reaching the highest level within the analyzed period.
Economic Profit Margin
The economic profit margin began at -41.41% in 2020, indicating a considerable shortfall in economic profit relative to adjusted revenues. The margin improved to -10.69% in 2021, coinciding with the increase in adjusted revenues and the reduced economic loss. However, the margin then deteriorated, reaching -17.53% in 2023. The latest year, 2024, shows a modest improvement to -15.18%, suggesting a slight increase in profitability relative to revenue, though still representing a significant negative margin.

Despite growing adjusted revenues, the company has not yet achieved positive economic profit. The economic profit margin’s movement suggests that while revenue growth is occurring, it has not been sufficient to offset the costs of capital and generate positive economic returns. The slight improvement in the margin during 2024 may indicate a positive trend, but continued monitoring is necessary to determine if this represents a sustained shift towards profitability.