Stock Analysis on Net

Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (NYSE:FCX)

Financial Reporting Quality: Aggregate Accruals 

Microsoft Excel

Earnings can be decomposed into cash and accrual components. The accrual component (aggregate accruals) has been found to have less persistence than the cash component, and therefore (1) earnings with higher accrual component are less persistent than earnings with smaller accrual component, all else equal; and (2) the cash component of earnings should receive a higher weighting evaluating company performance.


Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio

Freeport-McMoRan Inc., balance sheet computation of aggregate accruals

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Operating Assets
Total assets 54,848 52,506 51,093 48,022 42,144
Less: Cash and cash equivalents 3,923 4,758 8,146 8,068 3,657
Less: Restricted cash and cash equivalents 888 1,208 111
Operating assets 50,037 46,540 42,836 39,954 38,487
Operating Liabilities
Total liabilities 26,070 25,196 26,222 25,003 23,476
Less: Current portion of debt 41 766 1,037 372 34
Less: Long-term debt, less current portion 8,907 8,656 9,583 9,078 9,677
Operating liabilities 17,122 15,774 15,602 15,553 13,765
 
Net operating assets1 32,915 30,766 27,234 24,401 24,722
Balance-sheet-based aggregate accruals2 2,149 3,532 2,833 (321)
Financial Ratio
Balance-sheet-based accruals ratio3 6.75% 12.18% 10.97% -1.31%
Benchmarks
Balance-Sheet-Based Accruals Ratio, Industry
Materials 3.19% 5.47% 1.53% -5.48%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 2024 Calculation
Net operating assets = Operating assets – Operating liabilities
= 50,03717,122 = 32,915

2 2024 Calculation
Balance-sheet-based aggregate accruals = Net operating assets2024 – Net operating assets2023
= 32,91530,766 = 2,149

3 2024 Calculation
Balance-sheet-based accruals ratio = 100 × Balance-sheet-based aggregate accruals ÷ Avg. net operating assets
= 100 × 2,149 ÷ [(32,915 + 30,766) ÷ 2] = 6.75%


Net Operating Assets
The net operating assets demonstrate a consistent upward trajectory over the four-year period. Starting at 24,401 million US dollars in 2021, the figure increased to 27,234 million in 2022, followed by a further rise to 30,766 million in 2023, and reached 32,915 million by the end of 2024. This trend indicates an expansion of the company's operational asset base year over year.
Balance-sheet-based Aggregate Accruals
There is significant variability in the balance-sheet-based aggregate accruals across the reported years. In 2021, the accruals were negative at -321 million US dollars, suggesting possible reversals or adjustments. However, in 2022 and 2023, these accruals sharply increased, reaching 2,833 million and 3,532 million, respectively. In 2024, the accruals decreased to 2,149 million but remained substantially positive compared to 2021. This pattern highlights a notable rise in accrual-based accounting adjustments from 2022 onwards.
Balance-sheet-based Accruals Ratio
The accruals ratio exhibits a marked change during the period under review. Initially negative at -1.31% in 2021, the ratio transitioned to a positive and considerable value of 10.97% in 2022, followed by a slight increase to 12.18% in 2023, and then a decline to 6.75% in 2024. This behavior reflects the significant increase in accruals relative to net operating assets beginning in 2022, with a moderation in the last year. The elevated accrual ratios during these periods may warrant closer scrutiny regarding earnings quality and the underlying components contributing to the accruals.

Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio

Freeport-McMoRan Inc., cash flow statement computation of aggregate accruals

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net income attributable to common stockholders 1,889 1,848 3,468 4,306 599
Less: Net cash provided by operating activities 7,160 5,279 5,139 7,715 3,017
Less: Net cash used in investing activities (5,028) (4,956) (3,440) (1,964) (1,264)
Cash-flow-statement-based aggregate accruals (243) 1,525 1,769 (1,445) (1,154)
Financial Ratio
Cash-flow-statement-based accruals ratio1 -0.76% 5.26% 6.85% -5.88%
Benchmarks
Cash-Flow-Statement-Based Accruals Ratio, Industry
Materials 2.23% 3.08% 1.97% -4.42%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 2024 Calculation
Cash-flow-statement-based accruals ratio = 100 × Cash-flow-statement-based aggregate accruals ÷ Avg. net operating assets
= 100 × -243 ÷ [(32,915 + 30,766) ÷ 2] = -0.76%


The data reveals several trends in the financial reporting quality indicators over the four-year period ending in 2024. Net operating assets exhibit a consistent upward trajectory, increasing from 24,401 million US dollars in 2021 to 32,915 million US dollars in 2024. This steady growth suggests expanding operational resources or investments over time.

Turning to the cash-flow-statement-based aggregate accruals, there is notable volatility. In 2021, the figure is negative at -1,445 million, then sharply rises to a positive 1,769 million in 2022, maintaining a similar positive level in 2023 at 1,525 million, before reverting to a negative value of -243 million in 2024. This fluctuation indicates varying degrees of accrual adjustments relative to operating cash flows, which may affect earnings quality and reflect changes in accounting estimates, revenue recognition, or expense deferrals.

The cash-flow-statement-based accruals ratio, representing aggregate accruals as a percentage of net operating assets, mirrors this volatility. It shifts from a negative ratio of -5.88% in 2021 to positive values of 6.85% in 2022 and 5.26% in 2023, before decreasing to -0.76% in 2024. The positive ratios in 2022 and 2023 imply accruals enhanced earnings relative to operating assets during these years, while the negative ratios in 2021 and 2024 suggest the opposite effect, potentially signaling lower earnings quality or more conservative revenue recognition in those periods.

Overall, the increasing net operating assets combined with the fluctuating accruals and accrual ratios may indicate changing dynamics in the company’s earnings quality and operational asset utilization. The trend points to periods of both aggressive and conservative accounting practices over the analyzed timeline, which warrants further investigation into the underlying causes of these fluctuations to better understand their impact on financial performance and sustainability.