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Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.
Economic Profit
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31).
1 NOPAT. See details »
2 Cost of capital. See details »
3 Invested capital. See details »
4 2019 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= -572 – 24.80% × 62,770 = -16,139
An analysis of the economic profit from 2015 to 2019 reveals a transition from marginal value creation to significant value destruction. While the period began with a positive economic profit, a sustained downward trend emerged, characterized by a substantial increase in invested capital and a volatile, generally declining net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT).
- Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
- A significant deterioration in operating profitability is observed over the five-year period. NOPAT decreased from 8,206 million USD in 2015 to a deficit of 572 million USD by 2019. Although a temporary recovery occurred in 2018, the overall trajectory indicates a diminished capacity to generate operating returns.
- Invested Capital Dynamics
- The capital base experienced extreme volatility. Invested capital rose from 46,288 million USD in 2015 to a peak of 153,164 million USD in 2018, representing a more than threefold increase. This expansion was followed by a sharp contraction to 62,770 million USD in 2019, suggesting a period of massive capital deployment followed by significant divestitures or write-downs.
- Cost of Capital Trends
- The cost of capital exhibited an upward trend, rising from 17.19% in 2015 to 24.80% in 2019. The increase in the hurdle rate, particularly the peak in 2019, heightened the financial burden on the company, requiring higher operating returns to achieve a positive economic profit.
- Economic Profit and Value Creation
- Economic profit shifted from a positive 250 million USD in 2015 to deep negative territory, reaching a nadir of -30,303 million USD in 2017. This decline correlates directly with the surge in invested capital and the simultaneous drop in NOPAT. Although the economic loss narrowed to -16,139 million USD by 2019, the result remained heavily negative, indicating that the returns generated were insufficient to cover the cost of the capital employed.
The convergence of rising capital costs, a massive expansion of the asset base without commensurate operating gains, and a final collapse in NOPAT resulted in a prolonged period of economic value destruction. The reduction in invested capital in 2019 appears to be a corrective measure to mitigate the scale of economic losses.
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Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31).
1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »
2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful receivables.
3 Addition of increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve. See details »
4 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred revenue.
5 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring reserve.
6 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income attributable to DuPont.
7 2019 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 554 × 4.07% = 23
8 2019 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= 691 × 21.00% = 145
9 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income attributable to DuPont.
10 2019 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= 56 × 21.00% = 12
11 Elimination of after taxes investment income.
12 Elimination of discontinued operations.
Cash Operating Taxes
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31).
Invested Capital
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31).
1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.
2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »
3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.
4 Addition of LIFO reserve. See details »
5 Addition of deferred revenue.
6 Addition of restructuring reserve.
7 Addition of equity equivalents to total DuPont stockholders’ equity.
8 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.
9 Subtraction of construction in progress.
10 Subtraction of marketable securities.
Cost of Capital
DuPont de Nemours Inc., cost of capital calculations
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | 39,262) | 39,262) | ÷ | 58,866) | = | 0.67 | 0.67 | × | 35.58% | = | 23.73% | ||
| Preferred stock, series A, $1.00 par (book value) | —) | —) | ÷ | 58,866) | = | 0.00 | 0.00 | × | 0.00% | = | 0.00% | ||
| Short-term borrowings and long-term debt3 | 19,050) | 19,050) | ÷ | 58,866) | = | 0.32 | 0.32 | × | 4.07% × (1 – 21.00%) | = | 1.04% | ||
| Operating lease liability4 | 554) | 554) | ÷ | 58,866) | = | 0.01 | 0.01 | × | 4.07% × (1 – 21.00%) | = | 0.03% | ||
| Total: | 58,866) | 1.00 | 24.80% | ||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Short-term borrowings and long-term debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | 39,083) | 39,083) | ÷ | 83,391) | = | 0.47 | 0.47 | × | 35.58% | = | 16.67% | ||
| Preferred stock, series A, $1.00 par (book value) | —) | —) | ÷ | 83,391) | = | 0.00 | 0.00 | × | 0.00% | = | 0.00% | ||
| Short-term borrowings and long-term debt3 | 41,531) | 41,531) | ÷ | 83,391) | = | 0.50 | 0.50 | × | 4.34% × (1 – 21.00%) | = | 1.71% | ||
| Operating lease liability4 | 2,777) | 2,777) | ÷ | 83,391) | = | 0.03 | 0.03 | × | 4.34% × (1 – 21.00%) | = | 0.11% | ||
| Total: | 83,391) | 1.00 | 18.50% | ||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Short-term borrowings and long-term debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | 55,780) | 55,780) | ÷ | 94,739) | = | 0.59 | 0.59 | × | 35.58% | = | 20.95% | ||
| Preferred stock, series A, $1.00 par (book value) | —) | —) | ÷ | 94,739) | = | 0.00 | 0.00 | × | 0.00% | = | 0.00% | ||
| Short-term borrowings and long-term debt3 | 36,123) | 36,123) | ÷ | 94,739) | = | 0.38 | 0.38 | × | 3.88% × (1 – 35.00%) | = | 0.96% | ||
| Operating lease liability4 | 2,836) | 2,836) | ÷ | 94,739) | = | 0.03 | 0.03 | × | 3.88% × (1 – 35.00%) | = | 0.08% | ||
| Total: | 94,739) | 1.00 | 21.99% | ||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Short-term borrowings and long-term debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | 24,371) | 24,371) | ÷ | 49,418) | = | 0.49 | 0.49 | × | 35.58% | = | 17.55% | ||
| Preferred stock, series A, $1.00 par (book value) | —) | —) | ÷ | 49,418) | = | 0.00 | 0.00 | × | 8.50% | = | 0.00% | ||
| Short-term borrowings and long-term debt3 | 23,079) | 23,079) | ÷ | 49,418) | = | 0.47 | 0.47 | × | 4.70% × (1 – 35.00%) | = | 1.43% | ||
| Operating lease liability4 | 1,967) | 1,967) | ÷ | 49,418) | = | 0.04 | 0.04 | × | 4.70% × (1 – 35.00%) | = | 0.12% | ||
| Total: | 49,418) | 1.00 | 19.10% | ||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Short-term borrowings and long-term debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | 17,133) | 17,133) | ÷ | 41,627) | = | 0.41 | 0.41 | × | 35.58% | = | 14.64% | ||
| Preferred stock, series A, $1.00 par (book value) | 4,000) | 4,000) | ÷ | 41,627) | = | 0.10 | 0.10 | × | 8.50% | = | 0.82% | ||
| Short-term borrowings and long-term debt3 | 18,454) | 18,454) | ÷ | 41,627) | = | 0.44 | 0.44 | × | 5.40% × (1 – 35.00%) | = | 1.56% | ||
| Operating lease liability4 | 2,040) | 2,040) | ÷ | 41,627) | = | 0.05 | 0.05 | × | 5.40% × (1 – 35.00%) | = | 0.17% | ||
| Total: | 41,627) | 1.00 | 17.19% | ||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Short-term borrowings and long-term debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Economic Spread Ratio
| Dec 31, 2019 | Dec 31, 2018 | Dec 31, 2017 | Dec 31, 2016 | Dec 31, 2015 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | (16,139) | (23,399) | (30,303) | (5,818) | 250) | |
| Invested capital2 | 62,770) | 153,164) | 149,192) | 50,610) | 46,288) | |
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic spread ratio3 | -25.71% | -15.28% | -20.31% | -11.50% | 0.54% | |
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4 | ||||||
| Linde plc | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sherwin-Williams Co. | — | — | — | — | — | |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 Invested capital. See details »
3 2019 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × -16,139 ÷ 62,770 = -25.71%
4 Click competitor name to see calculations.
The financial performance from 2015 to 2019 is characterized by a transition from positive economic value creation to a sustained period of economic value destruction. A significant volatility in invested capital and a consistent decline in the economic spread ratio indicate systemic challenges in generating returns that exceed the cost of capital.
- Economic Profit Trends
- Economic profit shifted from a positive 250 million USD in 2015 to substantial losses over the subsequent four years. The most severe contraction occurred in 2017, with economic profit dropping to -30,303 million USD. Although a recovery trend emerged between 2017 and 2019, with losses narrowing to -16,139 million USD, the values remained significantly negative throughout the remainder of the period.
- Invested Capital Fluctuations
- Invested capital exhibited extreme volatility during the analyzed period. Following a period of relative stability between 2015 and 2016, capital surged in 2017 and peaked at 153,164 million USD in 2018. This peak was followed by a sharp reduction to 62,770 million USD by the end of 2019, suggesting a substantial restructuring or divestiture of assets.
- Economic Spread Ratio Analysis
- The economic spread ratio, which measures the return on invested capital relative to its cost, transitioned from a positive 0.54% in 2015 to negative territory in 2016. While the ratio showed a marginal improvement in 2018, it reached its lowest point of -25.71% in 2019. The divergence between the narrowing economic losses and the widening negative spread in 2019 indicates that the reduction in the invested capital base occurred more rapidly than the improvement in economic profit, resulting in a further decline in value creation efficiency.
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Economic Profit Margin
| Dec 31, 2019 | Dec 31, 2018 | Dec 31, 2017 | Dec 31, 2016 | Dec 31, 2015 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | (16,139) | (23,399) | (30,303) | (5,818) | 250) | |
| Net sales | 21,512) | 85,977) | 62,484) | 48,158) | 48,778) | |
| Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue | —) | (41) | 2,332) | —) | —) | |
| Adjusted net sales | 21,512) | 85,936) | 64,816) | 48,158) | 48,778) | |
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic profit margin2 | -75.03% | -27.23% | -46.75% | -12.08% | 0.51% | |
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3 | ||||||
| Linde plc | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Sherwin-Williams Co. | — | — | — | — | — | |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 2019 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted net sales
= 100 × -16,139 ÷ 21,512 = -75.03%
3 Click competitor name to see calculations.
The period between 2015 and 2019 is characterized by a transition from marginal value creation to significant economic value destruction. While 2015 showed a slight positive economic profit, the subsequent four years were marked by substantial negative figures, indicating that the company's returns failed to cover its cost of capital.
- Economic Profit Trajectory
- A sharp decline in economic profit occurred starting in 2016, with losses accelerating to a peak of negative 30,303 million USD in 2017. Although absolute losses narrowed in 2018 and 2019, the figures remained deeply negative, reflecting a sustained inability to generate economic value above the required threshold.
- Revenue Volatility and Structural Shifts
- Adjusted net sales exhibited extreme volatility, rising from 48,778 million USD in 2015 to a peak of 85,936 million USD in 2018, before declining sharply to 21,512 million USD in 2019. This pattern indicates significant corporate restructuring, likely involving major acquisitions followed by large-scale divestitures.
- Economic Profit Margin Analysis
- The economic profit margin shifted from a positive 0.51% in 2015 to increasingly negative territory. Despite the reduction in absolute economic losses during 2019, the margin deteriorated to its lowest point of -75.03%. This divergence is primarily attributed to the drastic reduction in adjusted net sales, which amplified the impact of the remaining economic losses relative to the reduced size of the revenue base.
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