Stock Analysis on Net
Stock Analysis on Net

United States Steel Corp. (NYSE:X)

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since July 28, 2023.

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.


Economic Profit

United States Steel Corp., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 3,060 4,449 (1,095) (121) 893
Cost of capital2 21.38% 20.00% 17.29% 12.52% 21.59%
Invested capital3 12,723 12,346 8,622 7,841 6,762
 
Economic profit4 340 1,980 (2,586) (1,102) (567)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2022 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 3,060 – 21.38% × 12,723 = 340


The financial performance from 2018 to 2022 exhibits significant volatility in value creation, characterized by a period of substantial economic loss followed by a sharp recovery and subsequent moderation.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
A highly volatile trend is observed in NOPAT, which declined from 893 million USD in 2018 to a trough of -1,095 million USD in 2020. A dramatic reversal occurred in 2021, with NOPAT peaking at 4,449 million USD, before moderating to 3,060 million USD in 2022. This indicates a period of severe operational distress followed by a strong recovery in profitability.
Invested Capital and Cost of Capital
Invested capital demonstrated consistent year-over-year growth, increasing from 6,762 million USD in 2018 to 12,723 million USD by 2022, representing nearly a twofold increase in the capital base. Simultaneously, the cost of capital fluctuated, reaching a low of 12.52% in 2019 before trending upward to 21.38% by 2022. The combination of a larger capital base and a rising cost of capital increased the threshold for achieving positive economic profit.
Economic Profit
Economic profit remained negative from 2018 through 2020, with losses widening to a peak of -2,586 million USD in 2020, signaling significant value destruction during this interval. The entity transitioned to value creation in 2021, achieving a positive economic profit of 1,980 million USD. However, this gain contracted sharply to 340 million USD in 2022, suggesting that while the company remained value-additive, the margin of economic profit narrowed significantly as costs and capital requirements evolved.

The overall trajectory indicates that while operational profitability recovered strongly post-2020, the expansion of the invested capital base and the increase in the cost of capital have placed downward pressure on the ability to generate sustained, high levels of economic profit.

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Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

United States Steel Corp., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Net earnings (loss) attributable to United States Steel Corporation 2,524 4,174 (1,165) (630) 1,115
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 501 (52) (130) 202 (329)
Increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts2 (6) 10 6 (1) 1
Increase (decrease) in accrued liabilities for restructuring and other cost reduction programs3 (58) 63 (35) 195 (21)
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4 437 21 (159) 396 (349)
Interest expense 159 313 280 142 168
Interest expense, operating lease liability5 10 13 17 18 16
Adjusted interest expense 169 326 297 160 184
Tax benefit of interest expense6 (36) (68) (62) (34) (39)
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes7 134 257 234 127 145
Interest income (44) (4) (7) (17) (23)
Investment income, before taxes (44) (4) (7) (17) (23)
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income8 9 1 1 4 5
Investment income, after taxes9 (35) (3) (6) (13) (18)
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 3,060 4,449 (1,095) (121) 893

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in accrued liabilities for restructuring and other cost reduction programs.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net earnings (loss) attributable to United States Steel Corporation.

5 2022 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 154 × 6.73% = 10

6 2022 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= 169 × 21.00% = 36

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net earnings (loss) attributable to United States Steel Corporation.

8 2022 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= 44 × 21.00% = 9

9 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


The financial data over the analyzed periods exhibit notable fluctuations in profitability metrics for the entity. The net earnings attributable to the company reveal a volatile trajectory, characterized by a significant loss phase between 2019 and 2020, followed by a pronounced recovery and peak in 2021, and a subsequent decrease in 2022, though remaining positive.

Net Earnings (Loss) Attributable
In 2018, the company reported net earnings amounting to 1,115 million US dollars, followed by a sharp decline to a loss of 630 million in 2019. This adverse trend intensified in 2020 with a deeper loss of 1,165 million. The year 2021 marked a substantial turnaround with net earnings reaching 4,174 million, representing the highest value in the dataset. In 2022, earnings declined to 2,524 million, which, despite being lower than the previous year, remained robust and positive.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
The NOPAT values mirror the net earnings trend closely, confirming the operational profitability challenges faced during 2019 and 2020. In 2018, NOPAT was recorded at 893 million US dollars, declining sharply to a negative 121 million in 2019, and further deteriorating to a negative 1,095 million in 2020. A significant recovery occurred in 2021, with NOPAT peaking at 4,449 million. Although there was a decrease in 2022 to 3,060 million, the figure remained strongly positive, indicative of sustained operational improvement relative to the loss years.

Overall, the data indicate a period of financial stress and operational difficulty during 2019 and 2020, likely reflective of external or internal challenges during those years. The strong rebound in 2021 signifies effective recovery measures, enhanced profitability, or favorable market conditions. The subsequent decline in 2022, while noteworthy, does not negate the positive turnaround, suggesting a period of stabilization at an improved profit level compared to the negative earnings years.

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Cash Operating Taxes

United States Steel Corp., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Income tax provision (benefit) 735 170 (142) 178 (303)
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) 501 (52) (130) 202 (329)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense 36 68 62 34 39
Less: Tax imposed on investment income 9 1 1 4 5
Cash operating taxes 260 290 49 6 60

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).


The data reveals notable fluctuations in the income tax provision (benefit) over the five-year period. Initially, there was a substantial tax benefit recorded in 2018 at -$303 million, indicating a negative tax expense or a tax benefit. This shifted to a positive income tax provision of $178 million in 2019, signaling a tax expense rather than a benefit during that year. The year 2020 once again saw a tax benefit of -$142 million, suggesting a reversal or reduction in tax obligations. However, in 2021 and 2022, the trend changed significantly, with the income tax provision increasing to $170 million and then sharply rising to $735 million. This indicates progressively higher tax expenses in the later years, with 2022 showing the most substantial tax charge over the period analyzed.

Cash operating taxes displayed a different pattern. From 2018 to 2019, there was a marked decrease from $60 million to $6 million. This was followed by a recovery to $49 million in 2020, and a substantial increase in 2021 to $290 million, suggesting a significant rise in actual cash payments for taxes in that year. In 2022, the cash operating taxes slightly decreased to $260 million, yet remained considerably higher than the levels observed in the earlier years.

Overall, the data points to considerable volatility in both the income tax provision and cash operating taxes, with a general trend towards higher tax expenses and cash tax payments in the most recent years. The divergence between income tax provision and cash operating taxes in certain years, such as 2018 and 2020 where provisions were negative but cash taxes positive, may indicate timing differences, tax credits, or adjustments impacting accounting and cash tax reporting differently.

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Invested Capital

United States Steel Corp., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Short-term debt and current maturities of long-term debt 63 28 192 14 65
Long-term debt, less unamortized discount and debt issuance costs, excluding current maturities 3,914 3,863 4,695 3,627 2,316
Operating lease liability1 154 194 222 237 243
Total reported debt & leases 4,131 4,085 5,109 3,878 2,624
Total United States Steel Corporation stockholders’ equity 10,218 9,010 3,786 4,092 4,202
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 446 90 (11) (15) (431)
Allowance for doubtful accounts3 38 44 34 28 29
Accrued liabilities for restructuring and other cost reduction programs4 182 240 177 212 17
Equity equivalents5 666 374 200 225 (385)
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6 85 (331) 47 478 1,026
Noncontrolling interests 93 93 93 1 1
Adjusted total United States Steel Corporation stockholders’ equity 11,062 9,146 4,126 4,796 4,844
Construction in process7 (2,470) (885) (613) (833) (706)
Invested capital 12,723 12,346 8,622 7,841 6,762

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of accrued liabilities for restructuring and other cost reduction programs.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to total United States Steel Corporation stockholders’ equity.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of construction in process.


The financial data exhibits notable fluctuations in key measures over the five-year period ending in 2022.

Total Reported Debt & Leases
There is a general upward trend from 2018 to 2020, with debt rising from $2,624 million to $5,109 million. This is followed by a decrease in 2021 to $4,085 million, after which the debt level stabilizes in 2022 at $4,131 million. The initial increase suggests a phase of leveraging or increased borrowing, while the subsequent reduction and stabilization indicate efforts to manage or reduce debt obligations.
Total United States Steel Corporation Stockholders’ Equity
Equity demonstrates a mixed trajectory. The equity declined from $4,202 million in 2018 to $3,786 million in 2020, possibly reflecting losses or distributions exceeding earnings. A significant reversal occurs in 2021 with equity surging to $9,010 million and further increasing to $10,218 million in 2022. This sharp rise in equity suggests substantial profits, capital injections, or retained earnings during these years, strengthening the company's financial position.
Invested Capital
Invested capital has consistently increased year over year, growing from $6,762 million in 2018 to $12,723 million in 2022. The steady rise indicates ongoing investment in assets or operations that support the business. The substantial jump between 2020 and 2021 aligns with the marked increase in equity, implying financed growth and asset expansion during this period.

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Cost of Capital

United States Steel Corp., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 6,809 6,809 ÷ 11,054 = 0.62 0.62 × 31.68% = 19.52%
Debt3 4,091 4,091 ÷ 11,054 = 0.37 0.37 × 6.12% × (1 – 21.00%) = 1.79%
Operating lease liability4 154 154 ÷ 11,054 = 0.01 0.01 × 6.73% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.07%
Total: 11,054 1.00 21.38%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 6,179 6,179 ÷ 10,941 = 0.56 0.56 × 31.68% = 17.89%
Debt3 4,568 4,568 ÷ 10,941 = 0.42 0.42 × 6.10% × (1 – 21.00%) = 2.01%
Operating lease liability4 194 194 ÷ 10,941 = 0.02 0.02 × 6.56% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.09%
Total: 10,941 1.00 20.00%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 4,331 4,331 ÷ 9,957 = 0.43 0.43 × 31.68% = 13.78%
Debt3 5,404 5,404 ÷ 9,957 = 0.54 0.54 × 7.89% × (1 – 21.00%) = 3.38%
Operating lease liability4 222 222 ÷ 9,957 = 0.02 0.02 × 7.45% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.13%
Total: 9,957 1.00 17.29%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 1,495 1,495 ÷ 5,374 = 0.28 0.28 × 31.68% = 8.81%
Debt3 3,642 3,642 ÷ 5,374 = 0.68 0.68 × 6.42% × (1 – 21.00%) = 3.44%
Operating lease liability4 237 237 ÷ 5,374 = 0.04 0.04 × 7.76% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.27%
Total: 5,374 1.00 12.52%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 3,970 3,970 ÷ 6,423 = 0.62 0.62 × 31.68% = 19.58%
Debt3 2,210 2,210 ÷ 6,423 = 0.34 0.34 × 6.65% × (1 – 21.00%) = 1.81%
Operating lease liability4 243 243 ÷ 6,423 = 0.04 0.04 × 6.65% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.20%
Total: 6,423 1.00 21.59%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

United States Steel Corp., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 340 1,980 (2,586) (1,102) (567)
Invested capital2 12,723 12,346 8,622 7,841 6,762
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 2.67% 16.04% -30.00% -14.06% -8.38%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Freeport-McMoRan Inc. -6.14% -2.67%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2022 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × 340 ÷ 12,723 = 2.67%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial performance between 2018 and 2022 is characterized by a period of significant value destruction followed by a sharp recovery and subsequent stabilization. The trajectory indicates a volatility in the ability to generate returns exceeding the cost of capital, transitioning from deeply negative economic profits to a positive, albeit diminishing, spread by the end of the period.

Economic Profit Trends
A period of intensifying losses is observed from 2018 to 2020, with economic profit declining from -567 million US$ to a trough of -2,586 million US$. This trend reversed sharply in 2021, marking a pivot to value creation with a profit of 1,980 million US$. Although profitability remained positive in 2022, there was a significant contraction to 340 million US$, indicating a moderation in the recovery momentum.
Invested Capital Growth
Invested capital exhibited a consistent upward trend throughout the five-year period. Capital grew steadily from 6,762 million US$ in 2018 to 8,622 million US$ in 2020, followed by a substantial increase to 12,346 million US$ in 2021. This growth culminated in 12,723 million US$ by 2022, suggesting a sustained expansion of the asset base or increased funding requirements to support operations.
Economic Spread Ratio Analysis
The economic spread ratio mirrors the volatility of economic profit, reflecting the efficiency of capital utilization relative to the cost of capital. A deteriorating trend is evident from 2018 to 2020, with the ratio falling from -8.38% to -30.00%, representing a period of severe value erosion. A dramatic reversal occurred in 2021, where the ratio peaked at 16.04%, signifying that the company generated returns well above its cost of capital. By 2022, the ratio compressed to 2.67%, suggesting that while the company continues to create economic value, the margin of excess return has narrowed significantly.

In summary, the analysis reveals a cyclical pattern of financial performance. The company moved from a phase of increasing economic loss and expanding capital investment to a phase of high-yield value creation in 2021, before entering a state of marginal positive spread in 2022.

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Economic Profit Margin

United States Steel Corp., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 340 1,980 (2,586) (1,102) (567)
Net sales 21,065 20,275 9,741 12,937 14,178
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 1.61% 9.77% -26.55% -8.52% -4.00%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Freeport-McMoRan Inc. -9.77% -4.07%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2022 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net sales
= 100 × 340 ÷ 21,065 = 1.61%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The economic profit margin exhibited extreme volatility over the five-year period from 2018 to 2022, characterized by a severe downturn followed by a rapid recovery and subsequent margin compression. The transition from consistent value destruction to value creation reflects significant shifts in both top-line revenue and the ability to exceed the cost of capital.

Value Destruction Phase (2018–2020)
A progressive deterioration in economic performance is observed during this period. Economic profit declined from -US$ 567 million in 2018 to a nadir of -US$ 2,586 million in 2020. This coincided with a contraction in net sales, which fell from US$ 14,178 million to US$ 9,741 million. Consequently, the economic profit margin widened significantly from -4.00% to -26.55%, indicating that the company failed to generate returns sufficient to cover its cost of capital.
Recovery and Peak Value Creation (2021)
A sharp reversal occurred in 2021, marked by a substantial increase in net sales to US$ 20,275 million. This surge in revenue drove economic profit into positive territory, reaching US$ 1,980 million. The economic profit margin shifted from a deep negative to a peak of 9.77%, signaling a transition to positive economic value added.
Margin Compression and Stabilization (2022)
Although net sales continued to grow slightly, reaching US$ 21,065 million in 2022, economic profit experienced a sharp decline to US$ 340 million. This divergence resulted in a significant contraction of the economic profit margin to 1.61%. While the company remained value-creative, the efficiency of value generation diminished considerably compared to the previous year.

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