Dividend Discount Model (DDM)
In discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation techniques the value of the stock is estimated based upon present value of some measure of cash flow. Dividends are the cleanest and most straightforward measure of cash flow because these are clearly cash flows that go directly to the investor.
Paying user area
Try for free
EOG Resources Inc. pages available for free this week:
- Common-Size Balance Sheet: Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity
- Enterprise Value (EV)
- Price to FCFE (P/FCFE)
- Present Value of Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)
- Selected Financial Data since 2005
- Net Profit Margin since 2005
- Current Ratio since 2005
- Price to Operating Profit (P/OP) since 2005
- Analysis of Revenues
- Aggregate Accruals
The data is hidden behind: . Unhide it.
Get full access to the entire website from $10.42/mo, or
get 1-month access to EOG Resources Inc. for $22.49.
This is a one-time payment. There is no automatic renewal.
We accept:
Intrinsic Stock Value (Valuation Summary)
EOG Resources Inc., dividends per share (DPS) forecast
US$
| Year | Value | DPSt or Terminal value (TVt) | Calculation | Present value at |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | DPS01 | |||
| 1 | DPS1 | = × (1 + ) | ||
| 2 | DPS2 | = × (1 + ) | ||
| 3 | DPS3 | = × (1 + ) | ||
| 4 | DPS4 | = × (1 + ) | ||
| 5 | DPS5 | = × (1 + ) | ||
| 5 | Terminal value (TV5) | = × (1 + ) ÷ ( – ) | ||
| Intrinsic value of EOG Resources Inc. common stock (per share) | ||||
| Current share price | ||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 DPS0 = Sum of the last year dividends per share of EOG Resources Inc. common stock. See details »
Disclaimer!
Valuation is based on standard assumptions. There may exist specific factors relevant to stock value and omitted here. In such a case, the real stock value may differ significantly form the estimated. If you want to use the estimated intrinsic stock value in investment decision making process, do so at your own risk.
Required Rate of Return (r)
| Assumptions | ||
| Rate of return on LT Treasury Composite1 | RF | |
| Expected rate of return on market portfolio2 | E(RM) | |
| Systematic risk of EOG Resources Inc. common stock | βEOG | |
| Required rate of return on EOG Resources Inc. common stock3 | rEOG | |
1 Unweighted average of bid yields on all outstanding fixed-coupon U.S. Treasury bonds neither due or callable in less than 10 years (risk-free rate of return proxy).
3 rEOG = RF + βEOG [E(RM) – RF]
= + [ – ]
=
Dividend Growth Rate (g)
Dividend growth rate (g) implied by PRAT model
EOG Resources Inc., PRAT model
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31).
2019 Calculations
1 Retention rate = (Net income (loss) – Common stock dividends declared) ÷ Net income (loss)
= ( – ) ÷
=
2 Profit margin = 100 × Net income (loss) ÷ Operating revenues and other
= 100 × ÷
=
3 Asset turnover = Operating revenues and other ÷ Total assets
= ÷
=
4 Financial leverage = Total assets ÷ Stockholders’ equity
= ÷
=
5 g = Retention rate × Profit margin × Asset turnover × Financial leverage
= × × ×
=
Dividend growth rate (g) implied by Gordon growth model
g = 100 × (P0 × r – D0) ÷ (P0 + D0)
= 100 × ( × – ) ÷ ( + )
=
where:
P0 = current price of share of EOG Resources Inc. common stock
D0 = the last year dividends per share of EOG Resources Inc. common stock
r = required rate of return on EOG Resources Inc. common stock
Dividend growth rate (g) forecast
EOG Resources Inc., H-model
| Year | Value | gt |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | g1 | |
| 2 | g2 | |
| 3 | g3 | |
| 4 | g4 | |
| 5 and thereafter | g5 |
where:
g1 is implied by PRAT model
g5 is implied by Gordon growth model
g2, g3 and g4 are calculated using linear interpolation between g1 and g5
Calculations
g2 = g1 + (g5 – g1) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + ( – ) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
=
g3 = g1 + (g5 – g1) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + ( – ) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
=
g4 = g1 + (g5 – g1) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + ( – ) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
=