Economic Value Added (EVA)
EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.
Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.
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Cummins Inc. pages available for free this week:
- Balance Sheet: Assets
- Balance Sheet: Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity
- Common-Size Balance Sheet: Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity
- Analysis of Reportable Segments
- Price to FCFE (P/FCFE)
- Selected Financial Data since 2005
- Debt to Equity since 2005
- Total Asset Turnover since 2005
- Price to Earnings (P/E) since 2005
- Analysis of Debt
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Economic Profit
Cummins Inc., economic profit calculation
US$ in millions
| 12 months ended: | Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 | ||||||
| Cost of capital2 | ||||||
| Invested capital3 | ||||||
| Economic profit4 | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 NOPAT. See details »
2 Cost of capital. See details »
3 Invested capital. See details »
4 2023 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= – × =
Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)
Cummins Inc., NOPAT calculation
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »
2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful account.
3 Addition of increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve. See details »
4 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred revenue.
5 Addition of increase (decrease) in accrued product warranty.
6 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income attributable to Cummins Inc..
7 2023 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =
8 2023 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =
9 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income attributable to Cummins Inc..
The financial data reveals fluctuations in both net income and net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) over the analyzed period.
- Net income attributable to Cummins Inc.
- Net income exhibited variability, beginning at 2,260 million USD in 2019 and decreasing sharply to 1,789 million USD in 2020. This was followed by a recovery in the subsequent years, rising to 2,131 million USD in 2021 and maintaining a similar level at 2,151 million USD in 2022. However, 2023 witnessed a significant decline, with net income dropping markedly to 735 million USD, which is substantially lower than any previous year in the period.
- Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)
- NOPAT displayed a somewhat parallel trend to net income. It started at 2,609 million USD in 2019, decreased to 2,018 million USD in 2020, then rebounded to 2,585 million USD in 2021. In 2022, there was a slight decrease to 2,348 million USD. Nevertheless, 2023 saw a pronounced decline, with NOPAT falling to 1,014 million USD. Although this drop is severe, it is less steep in percentage terms compared to net income.
Overall, the data suggests that while the company recovered from a downturn in 2020, its profitability experienced a substantial setback in 2023. The net income decline is especially pronounced relative to previous years, indicating potential issues affecting bottom-line results more acutely than operating profits. Further investigation into the causes behind the 2023 decline would be necessary to understand the underlying factors impacting financial performance.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cummins Inc., cash operating taxes calculation
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
The financial data reveals a consistent upward trend in both income tax expense and cash operating taxes over the five-year period from 2019 to 2023.
- Income Tax Expense
- This expense decreased slightly from 566 million USD in 2019 to 527 million USD in 2020. However, from 2020 onward, a steady increase is observable, with values rising to 587 million USD in 2021, 636 million USD in 2022, and reaching 786 million USD in 2023. This indicates a growth of approximately 49% over the five-year span from the minimum point in 2020 to 2023.
- Cash Operating Taxes
- Cash operating taxes exhibit a similar pattern. Starting at 596 million USD in 2019, there was a decline to 544 million USD in 2020. Following this, a significant rise is evident: 606 million USD in 2021, surging to 956 million USD in 2022, and further increasing to 1,326 million USD in 2023. This reflects a more pronounced growth trajectory, with cash operating taxes more than doubling from 2020 to 2023.
Overall, while both income tax expenses and cash operating taxes experienced slight declines in 2020—potentially due to economic effects impacting that year—the subsequent years show substantial increases. The growth in cash operating taxes is especially marked in the latter years, indicating either higher taxable operating income or changes in tax payment patterns. These upward trends suggest increasing tax-related outflows that may impact the company’s net earnings and cash flow positions.
Invested Capital
Cummins Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)
US$ in millions
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.
2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »
3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.
4 Addition of LIFO reserve. See details »
5 Addition of deferred revenue.
6 Addition of accrued product warranty.
7 Addition of equity equivalents to total Cummins Inc. shareholders’ equity.
8 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.
9 Subtraction of construction in process.
10 Subtraction of marketable securities.
- Total reported debt & leases
- The total reported debt and leases demonstrated a notable increase from 2019 through 2022, rising from $2,868 million to $8,355 million. This marks a nearly threefold increase over the four-year period. However, in 2023 there was a decrease to $7,208 million, suggesting a partial reduction in debt levels after the peak in 2022.
- Total Cummins Inc. shareholders’ equity
- Shareholders' equity showed consistent growth throughout the entire period. It started at $7,507 million in 2019 and increased annually to reach $8,975 million in 2022. The value slightly declined to $8,850 million in 2023, indicating a minor reduction but overall maintaining a stable upward trend over the five years.
- Invested capital
- Invested capital increased steadily from $15,235 million in 2019 to $17,518 million in 2021. A significant rise occurred in 2022, reaching $22,657 million. In 2023, invested capital decreased to $20,768 million, which, while lower than the previous year, remains notably above earlier levels. This pattern suggests an expansion phase followed by a moderate contraction.
Cost of Capital
Cummins Inc., cost of capital calculations
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
| Capital (fair value)1 | Weights | Cost of capital | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity2 | ÷ | = | × | = | |||||||||
| Debt3 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Operating lease liability4 | ÷ | = | × | × (1 – 21.00%) | = | ||||||||
| Total: | |||||||||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 US$ in millions
2 Equity. See details »
3 Debt. See details »
4 Operating lease liability. See details »
Economic Spread Ratio
Cummins Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks
| Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Invested capital2 | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic spread ratio3 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4 | ||||||
| Boeing Co. | ||||||
| Caterpillar Inc. | ||||||
| Eaton Corp. plc | ||||||
| GE Aerospace | ||||||
| Honeywell International Inc. | ||||||
| Lockheed Martin Corp. | ||||||
| RTX Corp. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 Invested capital. See details »
3 2023 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =
4 Click competitor name to see calculations.
- Economic Profit
- The economic profit demonstrated significant volatility over the five-year period. It started positively at 562 million USD in 2019, then declined drastically to a negative 295 million USD in 2020. A partial recovery occurred in 2021 with a positive value of 289 million USD. However, the trend reversed substantially in the subsequent years, with the economic profit turning negative again, registering -506 million USD in 2022 and further deteriorating sharply to -1665 million USD in 2023. This pattern indicates increasing challenges in generating value above the cost of capital in recent years.
- Invested Capital
- Invested capital showed an overall upward trend across the period, increasing from 15,235 million USD in 2019 to 20,768 million USD by the end of 2023. The growth was relatively steady, with a particularly notable increase between 2021 and 2022, where the value rose from 17,518 to 22,657 million USD. Although there was a slight decrease in 2023, the invested capital remains substantially higher than at the start of the period, suggesting ongoing investments or asset accumulation despite declining economic profits.
- Economic Spread Ratio
- The economic spread ratio, which measures the difference between the return on invested capital and the cost of capital, exhibited a pattern closely mirroring economic profit. It began at a favorable level of 3.69% in 2019, turned negative in 2020 to -1.69%, then showed some recovery to a positive 1.65% in 2021. However, after 2021, the ratio declined again, reaching -2.23% in 2022 and further worsening dramatically to -8.02% in 2023. This suggests that the returns on invested capital fell well below the company's cost of capital in the last two years, signaling deteriorating efficiency in capital use.
- Overall Analysis
- Overall, the data reveals a challenging financial environment marked by deteriorating value creation in recent years despite increases in invested capital. The company's capital investments have grown, yet this has not translated into positive economic profit or a positive economic spread ratio for the past two years. The sharp downturn in 2022 and 2023 highlights potential issues with profitability, cost management, or external market conditions impacting returns in excess of capital costs. This scenario underscores the need for strategic reassessment to improve operating performance and capital efficiency moving forward.
Economic Profit Margin
Cummins Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks
| Dec 31, 2023 | Dec 31, 2022 | Dec 31, 2021 | Dec 31, 2020 | Dec 31, 2019 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions) | ||||||
| Economic profit1 | ||||||
| Net sales | ||||||
| Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue | ||||||
| Adjusted net sales | ||||||
| Performance Ratio | ||||||
| Economic profit margin2 | ||||||
| Benchmarks | ||||||
| Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3 | ||||||
| Boeing Co. | ||||||
| Caterpillar Inc. | ||||||
| Eaton Corp. plc | ||||||
| GE Aerospace | ||||||
| Honeywell International Inc. | ||||||
| Lockheed Martin Corp. | ||||||
| RTX Corp. | ||||||
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).
1 Economic profit. See details »
2 2023 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted net sales
= 100 × ÷ =
3 Click competitor name to see calculations.
The financial data indicates notable fluctuations across the observed periods, particularly in economic profit and margin metrics in contrast to the steady rise in adjusted net sales.
- Adjusted Net Sales
- Adjusted net sales demonstrate a consistent and robust upward trend over the five-year span, increasing from 23,769 million US dollars in 2019 to 34,403 million US dollars in 2023. This reflects a progressive growth in revenue generation capacity, with a significant acceleration observed particularly after 2020.
- Economic Profit
- Economic profit exhibits considerable volatility throughout the timeframe. After a positive 562 million US dollars in 2019, it turned negative at -295 million in 2020, rebounded to a moderate positive 289 million in 2021, then declined more sharply to -506 million in 2022, and further deteriorated to -1,665 million in 2023. The worsening trend in the last two years suggests increased costs, decreased operational efficiency, or other financial pressures outweighing profit gains.
- Economic Profit Margin
- The economic profit margin follows a similar pattern of volatility, reflecting the fluctuations observed in economic profit relative to sales. It begins at a positive 2.36% in 2019 but turns negative to -1.48% in 2020. A recovery occurs in 2021 with a positive 1.19%, followed by a decline to -1.79% in 2022 and a further drop to -4.84% in 2023. This indicates that profitability as a proportion of sales has been under significant pressure after 2019, with margins contracting markedly in the most recent years.
Overall, while revenue growth has been strong and consistent, profitability metrics reveal a challenging environment with fluctuations and a downward trend in economic profit and its margin, particularly pronounced from 2022 onward. These patterns suggest underlying operational or market difficulties impacting cost structures or pricing power despite increasing sales volumes.