Stock Analysis on Net

Cummins Inc. (NYSE:CMI)

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

Economic Profit

Cummins Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 1,014 2,348 2,585 2,018 2,609
Cost of capital2 11.92% 11.65% 12.10% 12.22% 12.41%
Invested capital3 20,768 22,657 17,518 17,479 15,235
 
Economic profit4 (1,462) (291) 465 (117) 718

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2023 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 1,01411.92% × 20,768 = -1,462

Item Description The company
Economic profit Economic profit is a measure of corporate performance computed by taking the spread between the return on invested capital and the cost of capital, and multiplying by the invested capital. Cummins Inc. economic profit decreased from 2021 to 2022 and from 2022 to 2023.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Cummins Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Net income attributable to Cummins Inc. 735 2,151 2,131 1,789 2,260
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 (457) (274) 7 7 (4)
Increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful account2 (3) 45 (6) 20 4
Increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve3 9 48 55 14 (10)
Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue4 338 143 174 177 198
Increase (decrease) in accrued product warranty5 (26) 31 93 (102) 54
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents6 (139) (7) 323 116 242
Interest expense 375 199 111 100 109
Interest expense, operating lease liability7 22 19 13 15 17
Adjusted interest expense 397 218 124 115 126
Tax benefit of interest expense8 (83) (46) (26) (24) (26)
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes9 313 172 98 91 99
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest 105 32 33 22 8
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 1,014 2,348 2,585 2,018 2,609

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful account.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve. See details »

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred revenue.

5 Addition of increase (decrease) in accrued product warranty.

6 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income attributable to Cummins Inc..

7 2023 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 512 × 4.20% = 22

8 2023 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= 397 × 21.00% = 83

9 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income attributable to Cummins Inc..

Item Description The company
NOPAT Net operating profit after taxes is income from operations, but after removement of taxes calculated on cash basis that are relevant to operating income. Cummins Inc. NOPAT decreased from 2021 to 2022 and from 2022 to 2023.

Cash Operating Taxes

Cummins Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Income tax expense 786 636 587 527 566
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) (457) (274) 7 7 (4)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense 83 46 26 24 26
Cash operating taxes 1,326 956 606 544 596

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

Item Description The company
Cash operating taxes Cash operating taxes are estimated by adjusting income tax expense for changes in deferred taxes and tax benefit from the interest deduction. Cummins Inc. cash operating taxes increased from 2021 to 2022 and from 2022 to 2023.

Invested Capital

Cummins Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Loans payable 280 210 208 169 100
Commercial paper 1,496 2,574 313 323 660
Current maturities of long-term debt 118 573 59 62 31
Long-term debt 4,802 4,498 3,579 3,610 1,576
Operating lease liability1 512 500 454 453 501
Total reported debt & leases 7,208 8,355 4,613 4,617 2,868
Total Cummins Inc. shareholders’ equity 8,850 8,975 8,474 8,062 7,507
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 (552) 24 (25) (154) (135)
Allowance for doubtful account3 75 78 33 39 19
Excess of FIFO over LIFO4 249 240 192 137 123
Deferred revenue5 2,186 1,848 1,705 1,531 1,354
Accrued product warranty6 1,444 1,470 1,439 1,346 1,448
Equity equivalents7 3,402 3,660 3,344 2,899 2,809
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax8 2,206 1,890 1,571 1,982 2,028
Redeemable noncontrolling interests 258
Noncontrolling interests 1,054 992 927 927 958
Adjusted total Cummins Inc. shareholders’ equity 15,512 15,775 14,316 13,870 13,302
Construction in process9 (1,390) (1,001) (816) (547) (594)
Marketable securities10 (562) (472) (595) (461) (341)
Invested capital 20,768 22,657 17,518 17,479 15,235

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of LIFO reserve. See details »

5 Addition of deferred revenue.

6 Addition of accrued product warranty.

7 Addition of equity equivalents to total Cummins Inc. shareholders’ equity.

8 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

9 Subtraction of construction in process.

10 Subtraction of marketable securities.

Item Description The company
Invested capital Capital is an approximation of the economic book value of all cash invested in going-concern business activities. Cummins Inc. invested capital increased from 2021 to 2022 but then slightly decreased from 2022 to 2023.

Cost of Capital

Cummins Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 36,436 36,436 ÷ 43,323 = 0.84 0.84 × 13.61% = 11.45%
Debt3 6,375 6,375 ÷ 43,323 = 0.15 0.15 × 3.74% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.43%
Operating lease liability4 512 512 ÷ 43,323 = 0.01 0.01 × 4.20% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.04%
Total: 43,323 1.00 11.92%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 35,119 35,119 ÷ 43,019 = 0.82 0.82 × 13.61% = 11.11%
Debt3 7,400 7,400 ÷ 43,019 = 0.17 0.17 × 3.67% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.50%
Operating lease liability4 500 500 ÷ 43,019 = 0.01 0.01 × 3.70% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.03%
Total: 43,019 1.00 11.65%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 31,834 31,834 ÷ 36,749 = 0.87 0.87 × 13.61% = 11.79%
Debt3 4,461 4,461 ÷ 36,749 = 0.12 0.12 × 2.92% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.28%
Operating lease liability4 454 454 ÷ 36,749 = 0.01 0.01 × 2.80% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.03%
Total: 36,749 1.00 12.10%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 36,192 36,192 ÷ 41,310 = 0.88 0.88 × 13.61% = 11.93%
Debt3 4,665 4,665 ÷ 41,310 = 0.11 0.11 × 2.91% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.26%
Operating lease liability4 453 453 ÷ 41,310 = 0.01 0.01 × 3.40% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.03%
Total: 41,310 1.00 12.22%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 24,689 24,689 ÷ 27,896 = 0.89 0.89 × 13.61% = 12.05%
Debt3 2,706 2,706 ÷ 27,896 = 0.10 0.10 × 4.13% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.32%
Operating lease liability4 501 501 ÷ 27,896 = 0.02 0.02 × 3.30% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.05%
Total: 27,896 1.00 12.41%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Cummins Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 (1,462) (291) 465 (117) 718
Invested capital2 20,768 22,657 17,518 17,479 15,235
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 -7.04% -1.28% 2.65% -0.67% 4.71%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Boeing Co. -14.34% -19.74% -18.41% -29.97% -19.82%
Caterpillar Inc. 4.72% 1.07% 1.01% -5.12% 1.20%
Eaton Corp. plc -2.46% -4.56% -4.34% -6.45% -3.77%
General Electric Co. 7.42% -8.80% -13.79% -3.94% -6.49%
Honeywell International Inc. 0.14% -0.81% 0.24% -1.19% 3.08%
Lockheed Martin Corp. 17.24% 13.23% 14.22% 17.53% 18.14%
RTX Corp. -3.32% -3.19% -2.72% -8.24% 0.25%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2023 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × -1,462 ÷ 20,768 = -7.04%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.

Performance ratio Description The company
Economic spread ratio The ratio of economic profit to invested capital, also equal to the difference between return on invested capital (ROIC) and cost of capital. Cummins Inc. economic spread ratio deteriorated from 2021 to 2022 and from 2022 to 2023.

Economic Profit Margin

Cummins Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 (1,462) (291) 465 (117) 718
 
Net sales 34,065 28,074 24,021 19,811 23,571
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue 338 143 174 177 198
Adjusted net sales 34,403 28,217 24,195 19,988 23,769
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 -4.25% -1.03% 1.92% -0.59% 3.02%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Boeing Co. -8.27% -15.07% -14.61% -24.55% -9.20%
Caterpillar Inc. 4.24% 1.04% 1.16% -7.11% 1.30%
Eaton Corp. plc -3.33% -6.76% -6.52% -9.90% -5.20%
General Electric Co. 5.77% -7.98% -13.92% -6.29% -9.65%
Honeywell International Inc. 0.18% -1.06% 0.34% -1.77% 3.58%
Lockheed Martin Corp. 7.00% 5.33% 6.07% 7.52% 7.79%
RTX Corp. -5.40% -5.40% -4.85% -16.84% 0.34%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2023 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted net sales
= 100 × -1,462 ÷ 34,403 = -4.25%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.

Performance ratio Description The company
Economic profit margin The ratio of economic profit to sales. It is the company profit margin covering income efficiency and asset management. Economic profit margin is not biased in favor of capital-intensive business models, because any added capital is a cost to the economic profit margin. Cummins Inc. economic profit margin deteriorated from 2021 to 2022 and from 2022 to 2023.