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Cummins Inc. (NYSE:CMI)

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since May 2, 2024.

Price to Sales (P/S)
since 2005

Microsoft Excel

Calculation

Cummins Inc., P/S, long-term trends, calculation

Microsoft Excel

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2012-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2011-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2010-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2009-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2008-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2007-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2006-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2005-12-31).

1 US$

2 Data adjusted for splits and stock dividends.

3 Closing price as at the filing date of Cummins Inc. Annual Report.


The valuation of the company as measured by the Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio exhibits significant volatility over the nineteen-year period, characterized by cycles of expansion and contraction. While both the share price and sales per share trended upward over the long term, the P/S ratio fluctuated, reflecting shifting market sentiments and valuation premiums relative to revenue generation.

Price-to-Sales Ratio Trends
The P/S ratio experienced its lowest point in 2009 at 0.29, following a sharp decline from 0.83 in 2008. A rapid recovery followed, with the ratio peaking at 1.51 in 2011. After a period of relative stability between 1.26 and 1.54 from 2012 to 2015, a notable contraction occurred in 2016, bringing the ratio down to 0.88. The highest valuation multiple was recorded in 2021 at 1.83, before moderating to 1.07 by 2024.
Revenue Efficiency and Share Price Correlation
Sales per share demonstrated a consistent long-term growth trajectory, rising from 53.37 US$ in 2006 to 240.14 US$ in 2024. This fundamental growth supported a general increase in share price, which grew from 27.07 US$ to 256.85 US$ over the same period. However, the P/S ratio indicates that share price appreciation often outpaced revenue growth, particularly between 2020 and 2021, where the ratio spiked to 1.83 despite a simultaneous decrease in sales per share from 156.86 US$ to 134.17 US$.
Valuation Regime Shifts
A distinct shift in valuation is observable between the 2006–2009 period and the subsequent years. Prior to 2010, the P/S ratio predominantly remained below 1.00, with the exception of 2008. From 2010 onward, a higher valuation floor was established, with the ratio remaining above 1.00 in most years, indicating a structural increase in the multiple the market was willing to pay for each dollar of sales.

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Comparison to Competitors

Cummins Inc., P/S, long-term trends, comparison to competitors

Microsoft Excel

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2012-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2011-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2010-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2009-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2008-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2007-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2006-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2005-12-31).


Comparison to Sector (Capital Goods)

Cummins Inc., P/S, long-term trends, comparison to sector (capital goods)

Microsoft Excel

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2012-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2011-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2010-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2009-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2008-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2007-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2006-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2005-12-31).


Comparison to Industry (Industrials)

Cummins Inc., P/S, long-term trends, comparison to industry (industrials)

Microsoft Excel

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2013-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2012-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2011-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2010-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2009-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2008-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2007-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2006-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2005-12-31).