Stock Analysis on Net
Stock Analysis on Net

Celgene Corp. (NASDAQ:CELG)

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since October 31, 2019.

Market Value Added (MVA)

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MVA

Celgene Corp., MVA calculation

US$ in millions

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Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015 Dec 31, 2014
Fair value of debt1 19,300 16,600 14,572 14,299 7,088
Operating lease liability 375 209 191 206 197
Market value of common equity 62,991 71,577 89,941 77,846 98,817
Preferred stock, $.01 par value per share; none outstanding — — — — —
Less: Debt securities available-for-sale and equity investments with readily determinable fair values 1,808 5,029 1,800 1,672 3,425
Market (fair) value of Celgene 80,859 83,358 102,904 90,679 102,676
Less: Invested capital2 27,773 18,857 18,672 18,136 9,844
MVA 53,085 64,500 84,232 72,544 92,832

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31).

1 Fair value of debt. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »


The financial performance of Celgene Corp. from 2014 to 2018 is characterized by a significant contraction in Market Value Added (MVA), reflecting a widening gap between the capital invested in the business and the market's valuation of that investment. Although MVA remained positive throughout the five-year period, indicating that the company continued to create value above its invested capital, the magnitude of this value creation declined substantially.

Market Value Trends
The market value of the company exhibited volatility throughout the period. After a decline in 2015, the value peaked in 2016 at 102,904 million US$. However, a sustained downward trend followed, with the market value falling to 80,859 million US$ by December 31, 2018. This represents an overall decrease in fair market valuation from the 2016 peak.
Invested Capital Growth
A consistent and aggressive increase in invested capital is observed. The capital base grew from 9,844 million US$ in 2014 to 27,773 million US$ in 2018. Notable surges occurred between 2014 and 2015, where capital nearly doubled, and again in 2018, suggesting significant internal investments or acquisitions during these windows.
Market Value Added (MVA) Erosion
The MVA experienced a net decline of approximately 42.7% over the analyzed period, falling from 92,832 million US$ in 2014 to 53,085 million US$ in 2018. This erosion is the result of a dual pressure: the simultaneous decrease in total market value and the substantial increase in the capital base. The data suggests that the market did not attribute proportional value to the additional capital deployed into the company.

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MVA Spread Ratio

Celgene Corp., MVA spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

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Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015 Dec 31, 2014
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Market value added (MVA)1 53,085 64,500 84,232 72,544 92,832
Invested capital2 27,773 18,857 18,672 18,136 9,844
Performance Ratio
MVA spread ratio3 191.14% 342.04% 451.11% 400.01% 943.04%
Benchmarks
MVA Spread Ratio, Competitors4
AbbVie Inc. — — — — —
Amgen Inc. — — — — —
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. — — — — —
Danaher Corp. — — — — —
Eli Lilly & Co. — — — — —
Gilead Sciences Inc. — — — — —
Johnson & Johnson — — — — —
Merck & Co. Inc. — — — — —
Pfizer Inc. — — — — —
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc. — — — — —
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. — — — — —
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. — — — — —

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31).

1 MVA. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2018 Calculation
MVA spread ratio = 100 × MVA ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × 53,085 ÷ 27,773 = 191.14%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The financial trajectory from 2014 to 2018 reflects a significant contraction in market value creation relative to the growth of the capital base. While the company expanded its invested capital substantially, this growth was accompanied by a steady decline in both the absolute Market Value Added and the efficiency of value creation as measured by the spread ratio.

Market Value Added (MVA)
A consistent downward trend is observed in the MVA, which fell from 92,832 million US$ in 2014 to 53,085 million US$ by 2018. This represents a total decrease of approximately 42.8% over the five-year period, indicating that the market's valuation premium over the company's invested capital diminished significantly.
Invested Capital
Invested capital exhibited strong growth, increasing from 9,844 million US$ in 2014 to 27,773 million US$ in 2018. The most pronounced increase occurred between 2014 and 2015, where capital nearly doubled. This upward trajectory suggests an aggressive expansion of the company's asset base or increased funding requirements to support operations.
MVA Spread Ratio
The MVA spread ratio experienced a sharp decline, dropping from a peak of 943.04% in 2014 to 191.14% in 2018. This compression was driven by the simultaneous occurrence of decreasing market value added and increasing invested capital. The rapid deterioration of this ratio suggests that the returns generated on new capital investments failed to keep pace with the market's expectations, leading to a reduction in the value-creation efficiency per unit of capital invested.

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MVA Margin

Celgene Corp., MVA margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015 Dec 31, 2014
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Market value added (MVA)1 53,085 64,500 84,232 72,544 92,832
 
Net product sales 15,265 12,973 11,185 9,161 7,564
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue 37 26 (8) 34 5
Adjusted net product sales 15,302 12,999 11,177 9,195 7,569
Performance Ratio
MVA margin2 346.92% 496.19% 753.62% 788.91% 1,226.53%
Benchmarks
MVA Margin, Competitors3
AbbVie Inc. — — — — —
Amgen Inc. — — — — —
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. — — — — —
Danaher Corp. — — — — —
Eli Lilly & Co. — — — — —
Gilead Sciences Inc. — — — — —
Johnson & Johnson — — — — —
Merck & Co. Inc. — — — — —
Pfizer Inc. — — — — —
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc. — — — — —
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. — — — — —
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. — — — — —

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31).

1 MVA. See details »

2 2018 Calculation
MVA margin = 100 × MVA ÷ Adjusted net product sales
= 100 × 53,085 ÷ 15,302 = 346.92%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


A significant divergence is observed between the growth in operational scale and the market's valuation of the organization's value creation between 2014 and 2018. While adjusted net product sales demonstrated consistent year-over-year growth, both the Market Value Added (MVA) and the MVA margin experienced a general decline, indicating a contraction in the market premium attributed to the company's performance.

Market Value Added (MVA)
The MVA exhibited a volatile but overall downward trajectory, starting at US$ 92,832 million in 2014 and ending at US$ 53,085 million in 2018. Although a temporary recovery occurred in 2016, where the value rose to US$ 84,232 million, the subsequent two years saw a sharp decline, resulting in a total decrease of approximately 42.8% over the five-year period.
Adjusted Net Product Sales
Revenue growth remained strong and uninterrupted throughout the period. Adjusted net product sales rose from US$ 7,569 million in 2014 to US$ 15,302 million in 2018. This represents more than a twofold increase in sales, highlighting a steady expansion of the company's market reach and product commercialization.
MVA Margin
The MVA margin showed a continuous and precipitous decline, falling from a high of 1,226.53% in 2014 to 346.92% in 2018. The fact that the margin decreased consistently even as sales increased suggests that the market's valuation of the company's future growth potential or efficiency in value creation diminished relative to its actual revenue growth.

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