Stock Analysis on Net

Celgene Corp. (NASDAQ:CELG)

$22.49

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since October 31, 2019.

Present Value of Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)

Microsoft Excel

Paying users area

The data is hidden behind: . Unhide it.

  • Get 1-month access to Celgene Corp. for $22.49, or

  • get full access to the entire website for at least 3 months from $62.19.

This is a one-time payment. There is no automatic renewal.


We accept:

Visa Mastercard American Express Maestro Discover JCB PayPal Apple Pay Google Pay
Visa Secure Mastercard Identity Check American Express SafeKey

Intrinsic Stock Value (Valuation Summary)

Celgene Corp., free cash flow to equity (FCFE) forecast

US$ in millions, except per share data

Microsoft Excel
Year Value FCFEt or Terminal value (TVt) Calculation Present value at
01 FCFE0
1 FCFE1 = × (1 + )
2 FCFE2 = × (1 + )
3 FCFE3 = × (1 + )
4 FCFE4 = × (1 + )
5 FCFE5 = × (1 + )
5 Terminal value (TV5) = × (1 + ) ÷ ()
Intrinsic value of Celgene Corp. common stock
 
Intrinsic value of Celgene Corp. common stock (per share)
Current share price

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

Disclaimer!
Valuation is based on standard assumptions. There may exist specific factors relevant to stock value and omitted here. In such a case, the real stock value may differ significantly form the estimated. If you want to use the estimated intrinsic stock value in investment decision making process, do so at your own risk.


Required Rate of Return (r)

Microsoft Excel
Assumptions
Rate of return on LT Treasury Composite1 RF
Expected rate of return on market portfolio2 E(RM)
Systematic risk of Celgene Corp. common stock βCELG
 
Required rate of return on Celgene Corp. common stock3 rCELG

1 Unweighted average of bid yields on all outstanding fixed-coupon U.S. Treasury bonds neither due or callable in less than 10 years (risk-free rate of return proxy).

2 See details »

3 rCELG = RF + βCELG [E(RM) – RF]
= + []
=


FCFE Growth Rate (g)

FCFE growth rate (g) implied by PRAT model

Celgene Corp., PRAT model

Microsoft Excel
Average Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017 Dec 31, 2016 Dec 31, 2015 Dec 31, 2014
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Net income
Net product sales
Total assets
Stockholders’ equity
Financial Ratios
Retention rate1
Profit margin2
Asset turnover3
Financial leverage4
Averages
Retention rate
Profit margin
Asset turnover
Financial leverage
 
FCFE growth rate (g)5

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2014-12-31).

2018 Calculations

1 Company does not pay dividends

2 Profit margin = 100 × Net income ÷ Net product sales
= 100 × ÷
=

3 Asset turnover = Net product sales ÷ Total assets
= ÷
=

4 Financial leverage = Total assets ÷ Stockholders’ equity
= ÷
=

5 g = Retention rate × Profit margin × Asset turnover × Financial leverage
= × × ×
=


FCFE growth rate (g) implied by single-stage model

g = 100 × (Equity market value0 × r – FCFE0) ÷ (Equity market value0 + FCFE0)
= 100 × ( × ) ÷ ( + )
=

where:
Equity market value0 = current market value of Celgene Corp. common stock (US$ in millions)
FCFE0 = the last year Celgene Corp. free cash flow to equity (US$ in millions)
r = required rate of return on Celgene Corp. common stock


FCFE growth rate (g) forecast

Celgene Corp., H-model

Microsoft Excel
Year Value gt
1 g1
2 g2
3 g3
4 g4
5 and thereafter g5

where:
g1 is implied by PRAT model
g5 is implied by single-stage model
g2, g3 and g4 are calculated using linear interpoltion between g1 and g5

Calculations

g2 = g1 + (g5g1) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + () × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
=

g3 = g1 + (g5g1) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + () × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
=

g4 = g1 + (g5g1) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= + () × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
=