Stock Analysis on Net
Stock Analysis on Net

Axon Enterprise Inc. (NASDAQ:AXON)

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since May 9, 2023.

Market Value Added (MVA)

Microsoft Excel

Market value added (MVA) is the difference between a firm fair value and its invested capital. MVA is a measure of the value a company has created in excess of the resources already committed to the enterprise.


MVA

Axon Enterprise Inc., MVA calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Fair value of convertible notes1 687,300 — — — —
Operating lease liability 43,500 26,979 24,383 10,609 12,777
Market value of common equity 14,595,033 9,514,802 10,555,589 4,605,697 3,264,443
Preferred stock, $0.00001 par value; no shares issued and outstanding — — — — —
Less: Investments 777,216 117,922 497,206 224,033 —
Market (fair) value of Axon 14,548,617 9,423,859 10,082,766 4,392,273 3,277,220
Less: Invested capital2 1,607,800 1,262,920 722,746 500,291 631,660
MVA 12,940,817 8,160,939 9,360,020 3,891,982 2,645,560

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 Fair value of debt. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »


Between 2018 and 2022, a significant upward trajectory in Market Value Added (MVA) is observed, indicating substantial value creation for shareholders. The MVA grew from 2,645,560 thousand US$ in 2018 to 12,940,817 thousand US$ in 2022, representing a profound increase in the market's valuation of the company relative to the capital invested in its operations.

Market Fair Value Trends
The market value of the entity exhibited strong growth over the five-year period. A notable acceleration occurred in 2020, where the value surged to 10,082,766 thousand US$ from 4,392,273 thousand US$ in 2019. Despite a marginal contraction in 2021 to 9,423,859 thousand US$, the value rebounded sharply in 2022 to reach a peak of 14,548,617 thousand US$.
Invested Capital Evolution
Invested capital remained relatively stable in the early period, with a slight decrease observed in 2019 to 500,291 thousand US$. However, starting in 2020, a consistent upward trend in capital allocation is evident, with invested capital rising to 722,746 thousand US$ in 2020, 1,262,920 thousand US$ in 2021, and 1,607,800 thousand US$ by the end of 2022. This suggests an increase in the company's asset base or funding requirements to support growth.
MVA Dynamics and Interpretation
The expansion of MVA from 2018 to 2022 demonstrates that the market value grew at a rate far exceeding the increase in invested capital. The most significant jump occurred in 2020, where MVA more than doubled to 9,360,020 thousand US$. Although 2021 saw a decline in MVA to 8,160,939 thousand US$, this was driven by the simultaneous decrease in market value and a sharp increase in invested capital. The recovery in 2022 to 12,940,817 thousand US$ confirms a strong market confidence in the company's ability to generate returns well above its cost of capital.

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MVA Spread Ratio

Axon Enterprise Inc., MVA spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Market value added (MVA)1 12,940,817 8,160,939 9,360,020 3,891,982 2,645,560
Invested capital2 1,607,800 1,262,920 722,746 500,291 631,660
Performance Ratio
MVA spread ratio3 804.88% 646.20% 1,295.06% 777.94% 418.83%
Benchmarks
MVA Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Boeing Co. 250.73% 256.11% — — —
Caterpillar Inc. 194.33% 165.08% — — —
Eaton Corp. plc 149.39% 132.30% — — —
GE Aerospace 84.87% 110.77% — — —
Honeywell International Inc. 224.23% 209.78% — — —
Lockheed Martin Corp. 399.68% 319.28% — — —
RTX Corp. 59.03% 61.85% — — —

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 MVA. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2022 Calculation
MVA spread ratio = 100 × MVA ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × 12,940,817 ÷ 1,607,800 = 804.88%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


An analysis of the financial metrics from 2018 to 2022 reveals a substantial increase in shareholder value creation, characterized by a significant expansion in market value relative to the capital invested in the business.

Market Value Added (MVA)
A strong upward trajectory is observed in the MVA, which grew from 2,645,560 thousand US dollars in 2018 to 12,940,817 thousand US dollars by 2022. A period of accelerated growth occurred between 2019 and 2020, where the value more than doubled. Despite a moderate contraction in 2021 to 8,160,939 thousand US dollars, the metric reached its five-year peak in 2022, indicating robust market confidence and long-term value appreciation.
Invested Capital
Invested capital exhibited a non-linear growth pattern. Following a slight decrease from 631,660 thousand US dollars in 2018 to 500,291 thousand US dollars in 2019, a consistent and aggressive expansion was recorded. By the end of 2022, invested capital reached 1,607,800 thousand US dollars, representing a significant increase in the resources deployed to generate returns.
MVA Spread Ratio
The MVA spread ratio demonstrates high volatility but remains consistently elevated throughout the period. The ratio peaked in 2020 at 1,295.06%, suggesting a period of exceptional value creation efficiency relative to the capital base. A sharp correction occurred in 2021, with the ratio falling to 646.20%, which coincides with the increase in invested capital and a dip in MVA. However, a recovery was noted in 2022, with the ratio rising to 804.88%, signaling a sustained ability to generate market value far exceeding the cost of invested capital.

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MVA Margin

Axon Enterprise Inc., MVA margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Market value added (MVA)1 12,940,817 8,160,939 9,360,020 3,891,982 2,645,560
 
Net sales 1,189,935 863,381 681,003 530,860 420,068
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue 156,728 176,131 69,381 24,367 56,151
Adjusted net sales 1,346,663 1,039,512 750,384 555,227 476,219
Performance Ratio
MVA margin2 960.95% 785.07% 1,247.36% 700.97% 555.53%
Benchmarks
MVA Margin, Competitors3
Boeing Co. 191.47% 203.39% — — —
Caterpillar Inc. 188.24% 190.31% — — —
Eaton Corp. plc 221.57% 198.58% — — —
GE Aerospace 76.94% 111.81% — — —
Honeywell International Inc. 295.90% 293.22% — — —
Lockheed Martin Corp. 161.14% 136.30% — — —
RTX Corp. 96.78% 107.41% — — —

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 MVA. See details »

2 2022 Calculation
MVA margin = 100 × MVA ÷ Adjusted net sales
= 100 × 12,940,817 ÷ 1,346,663 = 960.95%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


An analysis of the financial metrics from 2018 to 2022 reveals a strong upward trajectory in shareholder value creation and revenue growth. The Market Value Added (MVA) and adjusted net sales demonstrate a general positive correlation, although the rate of market valuation growth has exhibited significant volatility relative to revenue gains.

Market Value Added (MVA) Trends
The MVA experienced substantial growth over the five-year period, increasing from $2,645,560 thousand in 2018 to $12,940,817 thousand by the end of 2022. A notable surge occurred between 2019 and 2020, where the value more than doubled. Despite a moderate contraction in 2021 to $8,160,939 thousand, the figure reached its peak in 2022, indicating a strong overall expansion in the market's valuation of the company beyond its invested capital.
Adjusted Net Sales Performance
Adjusted net sales displayed consistent and uninterrupted annual growth. Revenue rose steadily from $476,219 thousand in 2018 to $1,346,663 thousand in 2022. This linear progression suggests a stable and scalable expansion of the core business operations, providing a reliable foundation for the company's valuation.
MVA Margin Analysis
The MVA margin, representing the ratio of market value added to adjusted net sales, showed significant fluctuations. The margin increased from 555.53% in 2018 to a peak of 1,247.36% in 2020, suggesting that market expectations grew at a pace far exceeding actual revenue growth during that window. A sharp correction occurred in 2021, with the margin falling to 785.07%, before recovering to 960.95% in 2022. This volatility indicates that while the company maintains a high premium in the market, the valuation multiple is sensitive to external market conditions or shifts in investor sentiment.

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