Stock Analysis on Net

Honeywell International Inc. (NASDAQ:HON)

$24.99

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.

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Economic Profit

Honeywell International Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1
Cost of capital2
Invested capital3
 
Economic profit4

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2024 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= × =


The period under review demonstrates a fluctuating relationship between net operating profit after taxes, cost of capital, and invested capital, resulting in consistently negative economic profit. While NOPAT exhibits some variability, it does not consistently offset the impact of the cost of capital applied to the invested capital base.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT increased from US$5,376 million in 2020 to US$5,961 million in 2021, representing a positive change. However, it subsequently decreased to US$5,460 million in 2022 before recovering to US$5,956 million in 2023 and slightly increasing again to US$5,978 million in 2024. This indicates a generally stable, but not consistently growing, profitability.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital experienced a slight increase from 13.54% in 2020 to 13.59% in 2021, followed by a further increase to 13.88% in 2022. It then decreased to 13.74% in 2023 and notably declined to 13.18% in 2024. This suggests a decreasing cost of funding towards the end of the period.
Invested Capital
Invested capital decreased from US$49,130 million in 2020 to US$47,332 million in 2022, indicating a reduction in the capital employed by the business. However, it increased significantly to US$60,349 million in 2024. This substantial increase in invested capital in the latest year is a key factor influencing economic profit.
Economic Profit
Economic profit remained negative throughout the entire period. It was -US$1,277 million in 2020, improved to -US$611 million in 2021, then worsened to -US$1,108 million in 2022 and -US$661 million in 2023. A significant decline is observed in 2024, with economic profit reaching -US$1,975 million. This deterioration in 2024 is primarily attributable to the substantial increase in invested capital, despite a decrease in the cost of capital.

The consistent negative economic profit suggests that the company is not generating returns on its invested capital that exceed its cost of capital. The increase in invested capital in 2024, coupled with a still substantial cost of capital, has exacerbated this situation, leading to a larger economic loss.


Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Honeywell International Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net income attributable to Honeywell
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1
Increase (decrease) in allowances2
Increase (decrease) in customer advances and deferred income3
Increase (decrease) in obligations for product warranties and product performance guarantees4
Increase (decrease) in repositioning reserves5
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents6
Interest and other financial charges
Interest expense, operating lease liability7
Adjusted interest and other financial charges
Tax benefit of interest and other financial charges8
Adjusted interest and other financial charges, after taxes9
Interest income
Investment income, before taxes
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income10
Investment income, after taxes11
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowances.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in customer advances and deferred income.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in obligations for product warranties and product performance guarantees.

5 Addition of increase (decrease) in repositioning reserves.

6 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income attributable to Honeywell.

7 2024 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= × =

8 2024 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest and other financial charges = Adjusted interest and other financial charges × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

9 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income attributable to Honeywell.

10 2024 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= × 21.00% =

11 Elimination of after taxes investment income.


The financial data reveals the following trends for the analyzed period:

Net Income Attributable
The net income attributable to the entity showed a positive growth trend overall. Starting from approximately $4,779 million at the end of 2020, it increased to $5,542 million in 2021, reflecting a strong upward movement. However, there was a decline in 2022 to about $4,966 million, indicating a possible short-term setback or increased costs impacting profitability. The amount rebounded in 2023, reaching $5,658 million, and continued a slight increase into 2024, ending at $5,705 million. This pattern suggests resilience and recovery after the dip in 2022, with sustained profitability gains in the subsequent years.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT figures display a somewhat similar pattern to net income but overall maintain higher absolute values. The measure rose from $5,376 million in 2020 to $5,961 million in 2021, showing improvement in operations after tax considerations. A decrease occurred in 2022 to $5,460 million, mirroring the net income dip but with a less pronounced decline percentage-wise. Subsequently, NOPAT increased again to $5,956 million in 2023 and remained relatively stable into 2024 at $5,978 million. This trend indicates operational efficiency and effective tax management despite fluctuations, contributing to a steady NOPAT performance post-2022.

Overall, the data points to a company experiencing growth after 2020, facing a temporary decrease in 2022 in both net income and NOPAT, and then recovering with stable or increasing profitability through 2023 and 2024. The recovery phase suggests effective management responses to prior challenges, with consistent operational profit maintenance after tax effects considered.


Cash Operating Taxes

Honeywell International Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Tax expense
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit)
Add: Tax savings from interest and other financial charges
Less: Tax imposed on investment income
Cash operating taxes

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).


The analysis of the financial data reveals a fluctuating trend in tax-related expenses over the five-year period from 2020 to 2024.

Tax Expense
This item shows variability, with an initial increase from 1147 million US dollars in 2020 to a peak of 1625 million in 2021. Afterward, there was a decline to 1412 million in 2022, followed by a modest increase to 1487 million in 2023 and a slight decrease to 1473 million in 2024. Overall, the tax expense exhibits moderate fluctuations without a clear linear trend, suggesting changes in taxable income, tax rates, or tax planning strategies may have impacted this item.
Cash Operating Taxes
Cash operating taxes display a somewhat different pattern, with an increase from 1380 million in 2020 to a higher level of 1503 million in 2021. A further rise is noted in 2022 to 1654 million, followed by a decline to 1434 million in 2023. However, 2024 shows a significant increase to 1847 million, which is the highest value in the period analyzed. This suggests increased cash tax payments in the latest year, potentially due to changes in taxable income recognition, tax prepayments, or adjustments of prior tax obligations.

Comparing the two metrics, cash operating taxes consistently remain above the reported tax expense for most years, with the gap widening notably in 2024. This divergence may indicate timing differences between tax expense recognition in financial statements and actual cash tax outflows. The variability and the recent increase in cash operating taxes could signal changes in tax policy, effective tax rates, or operational results impacting tax liabilities.


Invested Capital

Honeywell International Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Commercial paper and other short-term borrowings
Current maturities of long-term debt
Long-term debt, excluding current maturities
Operating lease liability1
Total reported debt & leases
Total Honeywell shareowners’ equity
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2
Allowances3
Customer advances and deferred income4
Obligations for product warranties and product performance guarantees5
Repositioning reserves6
Equity equivalents7
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax8
Redeemable noncontrolling interest
Noncontrolling interest
Adjusted total Honeywell shareowners’ equity
Construction in progress9
Available for sale investments10
Invested capital

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of customer advances and deferred income.

5 Addition of obligations for product warranties and product performance guarantees.

6 Addition of repositioning reserves.

7 Addition of equity equivalents to total Honeywell shareowners’ equity.

8 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

9 Subtraction of construction in progress.

10 Subtraction of available for sale investments.


The annual financial data reflects several significant trends concerning the company's debt levels, equity position, and overall invested capital.

Total reported debt & leases
There is a noticeable fluctuation in the total reported debt and leases over the five-year period. Starting from a relatively high level of 23,212 million USD at the end of 2020, the debt decreased to approximately 20,631 million USD in 2021 and remained fairly stable through 2022 at 20,537 million USD. In 2023, a slight increase to 21,536 million USD is observed. However, by the end of 2024, the debt surged markedly to 32,225 million USD, which represents a significant rise compared to previous years, indicating potential changes in financing strategy or increased borrowing.
Total Honeywell shareowners’ equity
The company's shareholders’ equity shows a more volatile but overall stable pattern. It initially increased from 17,549 million USD in 2020 to a peak of 18,569 million USD in 2021, followed by a decline to 16,697 million USD in 2022, and further down to a low of 15,856 million USD in 2023. By the end of 2024, equity recovered somewhat to 18,619 million USD, slightly surpassing the earlier peak. This fluctuation suggests periods of either retained earnings variation or equity adjustments, potentially influenced by market conditions and company performance.
Invested capital
The invested capital shows a gradual downward trend from 49,130 million USD in 2020 to a low of 47,332 million USD in 2022. It then moderately rebounds to 48,147 million USD in 2023 before exhibiting a substantial increase to 60,349 million USD in 2024. The sharp rise in invested capital in the final year correlates with the marked increase in debt, which may suggest the company has undertaken major investments financed predominantly through increased borrowing.

In summary, the data reveals that the company maintained relatively stable debt and equity figures between 2020 and 2023, with minor fluctuations. However, the year 2024 shows a pronounced increase in debt alongside a significant expansion in invested capital and a rebound in shareholder equity. These patterns may reflect strategic initiatives involving large-scale investments and changes in capital structure, indicating a more aggressive financial posture in the most recent year.


Cost of Capital

Honeywell International Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 ÷ = × =
Debt3 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Operating lease liability4 ÷ = × × (1 – 21.00%) =
Total:

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Honeywell International Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
Invested capital2
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Boeing Co.
Caterpillar Inc.
Eaton Corp. plc
GE Aerospace
Lockheed Martin Corp.
RTX Corp.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2024 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × ÷ =

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The period under review demonstrates a generally weakening economic performance, as indicated by consistently negative economic profit. While invested capital fluctuates, the economic spread ratio reveals a concerning trend of diminishing returns. A detailed examination of the economic spread ratio and its relationship to economic profit is presented below.

Economic Spread Ratio
The economic spread ratio exhibits a volatile pattern, beginning at -2.60% in 2020. It improved to -1.26% in 2021, suggesting a brief period of enhanced profitability relative to invested capital. However, this improvement was not sustained, with the ratio declining to -2.34% in 2022 and -1.37% in 2023. The most significant deterioration occurred in 2024, with the ratio reaching -3.27%, indicating a substantial decrease in the return generated per unit of invested capital.

The negative values for economic profit across all years signify that the company’s returns are not exceeding its cost of capital. The magnitude of the economic profit loss varies, with the largest losses occurring in 2020 and 2024. This aligns with the most negative economic spread ratios observed in those same years.

Invested Capital
Invested capital decreased from US$49,130 million in 2020 to US$47,332 million in 2022, indicating a period of capital reduction or redeployment. A slight increase to US$48,147 million was observed in 2023, but a substantial rise to US$60,349 million occurred in 2024. This increase in invested capital, coupled with the most negative economic spread ratio in 2024, suggests that recent capital allocation decisions have not yielded commensurate returns.

The combined trends suggest a growing challenge in generating sufficient returns on invested capital. The increasing invested capital base in 2024, alongside the worsening economic spread ratio, warrants further investigation into the efficiency of capital allocation and the underlying drivers of profitability.


Economic Profit Margin

Honeywell International Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1
 
Net sales
Add: Increase (decrease) in customer advances and deferred income
Adjusted net sales
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Boeing Co.
Caterpillar Inc.
Eaton Corp. plc
GE Aerospace
Lockheed Martin Corp.
RTX Corp.

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2024 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted net sales
= 100 × ÷ =

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The economic profit margin exhibited fluctuations over the five-year period. While remaining negative throughout, the margin demonstrated some variability, ultimately concluding with a more pronounced negative value than observed in earlier years.

Economic Profit Margin Trend
The economic profit margin began at -3.86% in 2020. A notable improvement was seen in 2021, with the margin increasing to -1.77%. However, this improvement was not sustained, as the margin deteriorated to -3.09% in 2022. A slight recovery occurred in 2023, reaching -1.81%, but this was followed by a significant decline to -5.13% in 2024. This represents the lowest margin observed during the analyzed period.

The movement in economic profit margin generally mirrored the trend in economic profit, though not perfectly proportionally. The largest negative economic profit occurred in 2020 and 2024, coinciding with the most negative margins. The smallest negative economic profit was observed in 2021 and 2023, corresponding to the least negative margins.

Relationship to Adjusted Net Sales
Adjusted net sales consistently increased throughout the period, moving from US$33,125 million in 2020 to US$38,524 million in 2024. Despite this consistent growth in sales, the economic profit margin did not improve commensurately, and ultimately worsened. This suggests that increases in costs or the capital charge exceeded the gains from increased sales revenue.

The increasing negativity of the economic profit margin in the final year indicates a widening gap between the company’s cost of capital and the returns generated from its operations. Further investigation into the drivers of this trend would be warranted.