Stock Analysis on Net

Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA)

Price to FCFE (P/FCFE) 

Microsoft Excel

Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)

Tesla Inc., FCFE calculation

US$ in millions

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12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net income attributable to common stockholders 7,091 14,997 12,556 5,519 721
Net (income) loss attributable to noncontrolling interests and redeemable noncontrolling interests in subsidiaries 62 (23) 31 125 141
Net noncash charges 7,689 530 5,849 5,186 4,897
Changes in operating assets and liabilities 81 (2,248) (3,712) 667 184
Net cash provided by operating activities 14,923 13,256 14,724 11,497 5,943
Purchases of property and equipment excluding finance leases, net of sales (11,339) (8,898) (7,158) (6,482) (3,157)
Purchase of intangible assets (9) (10)
Proceeds from issuances of debt 5,744 3,931 8,883 9,713
Repayments of debt (2,500) (1,351) (3,364) (14,167) (11,623)
Collateralized lease repayments (9) (240)
Principal payments on finance leases (381) (464) (502) (439) (338)
Debt issuance costs (14) (29) (9) (6)
Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) 6,433 6,445 3,691 (726) 282

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

The analysis of the financial data reveals notable trends in the company's cash flow activities over the five-year period ending December 31, 2024.

Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities
There is a consistent and substantial increase in net cash provided by operating activities from 2020 through 2022, rising from 5,943 million USD in 2020 to a peak of 14,724 million USD in 2022. However, a slight decline occurs in 2023, with cash flow decreasing to 13,256 million USD. This is followed by a recovery in 2024, reaching 14,923 million USD, the highest level observed in the five-year span. The overall trend indicates strong operational cash generation with minor fluctuations in the latter years.
Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)
The FCFE figures display more volatility compared to operating cash flow. The year 2020 starts with a positive FCFE of 282 million USD, but a negative value is observed in 2021, with a deficit of 726 million USD. From 2022 onwards, the FCFE demonstrates significant improvement, rising sharply to 3,691 million USD in 2022 and peaking at 6,445 million USD in 2023. In 2024, FCFE remains robust, slightly decreasing to 6,433 million USD but still indicative of strong free cash generation available to equity holders. This rebound after 2021 suggests effective management of capital expenditures, financing activities, or working capital.

Overall, the data points to a solid improvement in free cash flow to equity following a temporary setback in 2021, alongside continuous growth in operating cash flows. This pattern suggests enhanced capacity for returning value to shareholders or reinvesting in the business, with sustained operational efficiency and cash generation.


Price to FCFE Ratio, Current

Tesla Inc., current P/FCFE calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
No. shares of common stock outstanding 3,220,956,211
Selected Financial Data (US$)
Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) (in millions) 6,433
FCFE per share 2.00
Current share price (P) 322.16
Valuation Ratio
P/FCFE 161.30
Benchmarks
P/FCFE, Competitors1
Ford Motor Co. 2.33
General Motors Co. 3.07
P/FCFE, Sector
Automobiles & Components 28.43
P/FCFE, Industry
Consumer Discretionary 35.42

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 Click competitor name to see calculations.

If the company P/FCFE is lower then the P/FCFE of benchmark then company is relatively undervalued.
Otherwise, if the company P/FCFE is higher then the P/FCFE of benchmark then company is relatively overvalued.


Price to FCFE Ratio, Historical

Tesla Inc., historical P/FCFE calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
No. shares of common stock outstanding1 3,216,517,037 3,184,790,415 3,164,102,701 3,100,522,833 2,879,560,512
Selected Financial Data (US$)
Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) (in millions)2 6,433 6,445 3,691 (726) 282
FCFE per share3 2.00 2.02 1.17 -0.23 0.10
Share price1, 4 400.28 190.93 173.22 302.45 287.81
Valuation Ratio
P/FCFE5 200.14 94.35 148.49 2,938.89
Benchmarks
P/FCFE, Competitors6
Ford Motor Co. 2.03 3.43 10.02 2.12
General Motors Co. 3.30 2.84 3.50 9.87 5.04
P/FCFE, Sector
Automobiles & Components 34.69 19.12 26.63 25.38
P/FCFE, Industry
Consumer Discretionary 39.60 30.84 36.19 82.92 32.04

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Data adjusted for splits and stock dividends.

2 See details »

3 2024 Calculation
FCFE per share = FCFE ÷ No. shares of common stock outstanding
= 6,433,000,000 ÷ 3,216,517,037 = 2.00

4 Closing price as at the filing date of Tesla Inc. Annual Report.

5 2024 Calculation
P/FCFE = Share price ÷ FCFE per share
= 400.28 ÷ 2.00 = 200.14

6 Click competitor name to see calculations.

The analysis of the financial data reveals several notable trends and fluctuations over the five-year period under review.

Share Price
The share price experienced an initial increase from $287.81 in 2020 to $302.45 in 2021, followed by a significant decline to $173.22 in 2022. This downward trend reversed moderately in 2023 with a rise to $190.93 and then a pronounced surge to $400.28 by the end of 2024. Overall, the share price demonstrated volatility but ended with a substantial increase compared to the starting point.
Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE) per Share
FCFE per share showed notable variability as well. In 2020, it was positive but low at $0.10 per share, turning negative in 2021 at -$0.23, suggesting cash outflows to equity holders or investments exceeding inflows. A strong recovery occurred thereafter, with FCFE per share climbing to $1.17 in 2022 and further to $2.02 in 2023, before slightly declining to $2.00 in 2024. This pattern indicates an overall improvement in the company’s capacity to generate cash available to equity holders after 2021.
Price to FCFE (P/FCFE) Ratio
The P/FCFE ratio displayed extreme volatility and partial data. The ratio was extraordinarily high at 2938.89 in 2020, reflecting a relatively low FCFE per share combined with a high share price, possibly indicating market expectations for future growth or overvaluation at that time. Data for 2021 was missing, which complicates trend interpretation for that year. In 2022 and 2023, the ratio sharply decreased to 148.49 and 94.35, respectively, suggesting a market reassessment of valuation relative to FCFE or improved cash flow performance. However, in 2024, the ratio increased again to 200.14, possibly reflecting the sharp rise in share price outpacing the slight decrease in FCFE per share.

In summary, the share price and FCFE per share exhibited significant fluctuations, with a particularly sharp decline in 2022 followed by recovery and growth. The P/FCFE ratio's large swings indicate considerable changes in market valuation relative to cash flow metrics over the period, suggesting evolving investor sentiment and company performance dynamics.