Calculation
| P/S | = | Share price1, 2, 3 | ÷ | Sales per share1 | Sales per share1 | = | Revenue1 (in thousands) |
÷ | No. shares of common stock outstanding2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2022 | 8.12 | = | 148.94 | ÷ | 18.33 | 18.33 | = | 2,329,114 | ÷ | 127,032,946 | |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 16.09 | = | 220.27 | ÷ | 13.69 | 13.69 | = | 1,725,625 | ÷ | 126,049,276 | |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 8.35 | = | 57.92 | ÷ | 6.94 | 6.94 | = | 818,379 | ÷ | 117,949,068 | |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 14.12 | = | 71.27 | ÷ | 5.05 | 5.05 | = | 603,693 | ÷ | 119,566,393 | |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 6.97 | = | 25.32 | ÷ | 3.63 | 3.63 | = | 441,231 | ÷ | 121,502,754 | |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3.86 | = | 12.12 | ÷ | 3.14 | 3.14 | = | 364,967 | ÷ | 116,129,719 | |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3.44 | = | 8.36 | ÷ | 2.43 | 2.43 | = | 273,499 | ÷ | 112,699,756 |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31).
1 US$
2 Data adjusted for splits and stock dividends.
3 Closing price as at the filing date of Etsy Inc. Annual Report.
The Price to Sales (P/S) ratio exhibits significant volatility between 2016 and 2022, characterized by a period of aggressive valuation expansion followed by a sharp correction. While sales per share demonstrated consistent year-over-year growth throughout the entire period, the share price fluctuated more aggressively, leading to substantial shifts in the P/S multiple.
- Initial Valuation Expansion (2016–2019)
- A steady upward trend in the P/S ratio is observed, rising from 3.44 in 2016 to 14.12 in 2019. This increase indicates that the share price grew at a significantly faster pace than the sales per share, suggesting an increase in market optimism and higher growth expectations during this timeframe.
- Volatility and Peak Valuation (2020–2021)
- Following a contraction to 8.35 in 2020, the P/S ratio surged to a peak of 16.09 in 2021. This peak corresponds with the highest recorded share price of 220.27, reflecting a period of extreme valuation expansion where the market attributed a premium to the company's revenue stream.
- Multiple Compression (2022)
- A notable divergence is evident in 2022, where sales per share reached a period high of 18.33, yet the P/S ratio declined to 8.12. This represents a significant compression of the valuation multiple, returning it to levels observed in 2020 despite the continued fundamental growth in revenue per share.
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Comparison to Competitors
| Etsy Inc. | Amazon.com Inc. | Home Depot Inc. | Lowe’s Cos. Inc. | TJX Cos. Inc. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2022 | 8.12 | 3.41 | 2.39 | 1.46 | 2.48 |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 16.09 | 4.32 | 1.77 | 0.71 | 1.34 |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 8.35 | 3.56 | 1.94 | 1.23 | 1.66 |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 14.12 | 3.43 | 2.01 | 1.02 | 1.47 |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 6.97 | 3.89 | 1.88 | 1.08 | 1.53 |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3.86 | 2.90 | 1.85 | 1.15 | 1.68 |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3.44 | 2.58 | 1.77 | 1.26 | 1.65 |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31).
Comparison to Sector (Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail)
Etsy Inc., P/S, long-term trends, comparison to sector (consumer discretionary distribution & retail)
| Etsy Inc. | Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail | |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2022 | 8.12 | 2.94 |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 16.09 | 3.23 |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 8.35 | 2.73 |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 14.12 | 2.56 |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 6.97 | 2.67 |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3.86 | 2.16 |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3.44 | 1.97 |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31).
Comparison to Industry (Consumer Discretionary)
| Etsy Inc. | Consumer Discretionary | |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2022 | 8.12 | 3.58 |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 16.09 | 3.81 |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 8.35 | 2.33 |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 14.12 | 2.05 |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 6.97 | 2.06 |
| Feb 28, 2017 | 3.86 | 1.68 |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3.44 | 1.57 |
Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2016-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2015-12-31).