Stock Analysis on Net
Stock Analysis on Net

DexCom Inc. (NASDAQ:DXCM)

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since October 26, 2023.

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.


Economic Profit

DexCom Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 352,450 233,041 294,086 150,334 (115,440)
Cost of capital2 17.91% 17.96% 18.23% 18.06% 17.89%
Invested capital3 1,649,000 1,899,300 1,367,200 836,300 1,449,197
 
Economic profit4 57,131 (108,063) 44,811 (717) (374,721)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2022 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 352,450 – 17.91% × 1,649,000 = 57,131


The financial trajectory from 2018 to 2022 reflects a transition from substantial value destruction toward intermittent value creation. While operational profitability has trended upward, the ability to consistently generate returns exceeding the cost of capital has remained volatile.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
A strong upward trajectory is observed in NOPAT, which moved from a deficit of US$ 115.4 million in 2018 to a peak of US$ 352.5 million in 2022. Despite a moderate contraction in 2021, the overall trend indicates significant growth in core operational profitability over the five-year period.
Cost of Capital
The cost of capital remained remarkably stable, fluctuating within a narrow range between 17.89% and 18.23%. This consistently high threshold indicates a demanding requirement for returns on invested capital to achieve positive economic value added.
Invested Capital
Invested capital exhibited significant volatility. A sharp decline was noted in 2019, followed by a period of expansion that peaked at US$ 1.9 billion in 2021. A subsequent reduction to US$ 1.65 billion in 2022 suggests a move toward capital optimization or a strategic reduction in asset intensity.
Economic Profit
Economic profit has been inconsistent, shifting from severe losses in 2018 to positive value creation in 2020, before returning to a negative state in 2021. The recovery to a positive economic profit of US$ 57.1 million in 2022 is attributable to the combination of the highest recorded NOPAT and a reduction in the total invested capital base.

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Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

DexCom Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Net income (loss) 341,200 154,700 493,600 101,100 (127,100)
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 (21,600) (4,900) (277,300) 200 (2,200)
Increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts2 1,900 (1,800) 1,400 (1,400) (4,300)
Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue3 10,900 (100) 500 (1,200) (300)
Increase (decrease) in accrued warranty4 (100) 1,200 4,300 600 (2,000)
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents5 (8,900) (5,600) (271,100) (1,800) (8,800)
Interest expense 18,600 100,300 84,700 60,300 22,700
Interest expense, operating lease liability6 6,906 5,955 5,915 4,300 3,198
Adjusted interest expense 25,506 106,255 90,615 64,600 25,898
Tax benefit of interest expense7 (5,356) (22,314) (19,029) (13,566) (5,439)
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes8 20,150 83,941 71,586 51,034 20,460
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 352,450 233,041 294,086 150,334 (115,440)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for doubtful accounts.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred revenue.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in accrued warranty.

5 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss).

6 2022 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 115,100 × 6.00% = 6,906

7 2022 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= 25,506 × 21.00% = 5,356

8 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss).


The financial data over the five-year period reveals several notable trends in profitability metrics.

Net Income (Loss)

The net income (loss) shows a significant transition from a negative figure in 2018 to positive values in subsequent years. In 2018, the company reported a net loss of approximately US$127.1 million. In 2019, net income turned positive, reaching US$101.1 million, indicating a substantial improvement.

The growth trend continued strongly with net income rising to US$493.6 million in 2020, representing the highest value within the observed period. However, in 2021, net income decreased to US$154.7 million, indicating a contraction compared to the previous year. In 2022, net income rebounded materially to US$341.2 million, suggesting recovery and sustained profitability despite some volatility.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)

The NOPAT data parallels the net income trend but displays some differences in magnitude and yearly variation. In 2018, NOPAT was negative at approximately US$115.4 million, consistent with the net loss reported that year.

From 2019 onward, NOPAT remained positive, increasing from US$150.3 million in 2019 to US$294.1 million in 2020. Unlike net income, NOPAT decreased less sharply in 2021, recording US$233 million, reflecting a smaller decline compared to net income's sharper fall in the same period.

In 2022, NOPAT increased further to US$352.5 million, reaching its highest value during the period and indicating enhanced operational efficiency and profitability after taxes.

Overall, the data suggests the company experienced a turnaround starting in 2019, moving from losses to profits. The peak in profitability occurred in 2020, followed by a decline in 2021, then a recovery in 2022. The NOPAT figures indicate that operational profitability after taxes has generally improved, and although fluctuations exist, the trend is positive, with 2022 reflecting stronger operational results than previous years. These patterns may indicate strategic or operational improvements that influenced earnings performance and operational efficiency over the period.

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Cash Operating Taxes

DexCom Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Provision for (benefit from) income taxes 49,600 19,200 (268,600) 3,100 600
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) (21,600) (4,900) (277,300) 200 (2,200)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense 5,356 22,314 19,029 13,566 5,439
Cash operating taxes 76,556 46,414 27,729 16,466 8,239

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).


Provision for (benefit from) income taxes
The provision for income taxes demonstrates considerable volatility over the five-year period. Initially, it was a modest positive figure of 600 thousand US dollars at the end of 2018, increasing significantly to 3,100 thousand US dollars by the end of 2019. In 2020, the provision shifted dramatically to a large tax benefit of -268,600 thousand US dollars, marking a substantial reversal. Following this, the provision reverted to positive values, reporting 19,200 thousand US dollars in 2021 and further rising to 49,600 thousand US dollars in 2022. The notable negative provision in 2020 suggests an exceptional tax event or adjustment during that year.
Cash operating taxes
Cash operating taxes have exhibited a consistent upward trajectory throughout the five years. Starting at 8,239 thousand US dollars in 2018, the cash outflow more than doubled by 2019 to 16,466 thousand US dollars. This trend of increasing cash tax payments continued steadily, reaching 27,729 thousand US dollars in 2020, 46,414 thousand US dollars in 2021, and finally 76,556 thousand US dollars in 2022. The persistent growth in cash operating taxes indicates increasing taxable income or changes in tax policy resulting in higher cash tax obligations.

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Invested Capital

DexCom Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Short-term finance lease liabilities 4,200 3,300 8,800 600
Current portion of long-term senior convertible notes 772,600
Long-term senior convertible notes 1,197,700 1,702,700 1,667,200 1,059,700 1,010,300
Long-term finance lease liabilities 59,600 57,000 54,000 14,400 7,300
Operating lease liability1 115,100 119,100 118,300 86,000 58,897
Total reported debt & leases 2,149,200 1,882,100 1,848,300 1,160,700 1,076,497
Stockholders’ equity 2,131,800 2,251,500 1,826,500 882,600 663,300
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 (336,300) (214,900) (216,400) 100 (100)
Allowance for doubtful accounts3 7,300 5,400 7,200 5,800 7,200
Deferred revenue4 29,100 2,100 2,200 1,700 2,900
Accrued warranty5 12,800 12,900 11,700 7,400 6,800
Equity equivalents6 (287,100) (194,500) (195,300) 15,000 16,800
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax7 11,600 (500) (3,200) (2,300) (1,500)
Adjusted stockholders’ equity 1,856,300 2,056,500 1,628,000 895,300 678,600
Construction in progress8 (542,600) (360,700) (219,000) (132,600) (57,300)
Available-for-sale debt securities9 (1,813,900) (1,678,600) (1,890,100) (1,087,100) (248,600)
Invested capital 1,649,000 1,899,300 1,367,200 836,300 1,449,197

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of deferred revenue.

5 Addition of accrued warranty.

6 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ equity.

7 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

8 Subtraction of construction in progress.

9 Subtraction of available-for-sale debt securities.


The financial data over the five-year period reveals several notable trends in the company’s debt, equity, and invested capital.

Total Reported Debt & Leases
This metric shows a consistent upward trend, increasing from approximately $1.08 billion in 2018 to about $2.15 billion in 2022. The most significant jump occurs between 2019 and 2020, where the debt rose by roughly 59%, then continued growing at a steadier pace through 2022. This indicates increasing leverage and possibly expanding financing commitments or capital expenditures funded by debt.
Stockholders’ Equity
Stockholders’ equity also experienced growth from 2018 through 2021, rising sharply from approximately $663 million to $2.25 billion. However, in 2022, equity declined by around 5% to approximately $2.13 billion. The substantial increase up to 2021 suggests successful retention of earnings or capital infusion, while the slight downturn in 2022 might point to losses, dividend payments, or other equity-reducing transactions during that year.
Invested Capital
Invested capital demonstrates a more volatile pattern over the period. After starting at about $1.45 billion in 2018, it dropped substantially by 2019 to $836 million, a decrease of over 40%. This was followed by a recovery and growth to approximately $1.9 billion in 2021, before declining again to $1.65 billion in 2022. These fluctuations could reflect changes in the mix of debt and equity financing, asset acquisitions or disposals, or shifts in working capital components.

Overall, the data indicates increasing reliance on debt with growing total reported debt and leases, balanced by a rise in equity up to 2021. The fluctuations in invested capital suggest dynamic capital management strategies, potentially responding to operational needs or market conditions. The slight decline in equity and invested capital in 2022 may warrant further analysis to determine underlying causes and implications for financial stability and investment capacity.

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Cost of Capital

DexCom Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 41,439,004 41,439,004 ÷ 45,069,004 = 0.92 0.92 × 19.41% = 17.84%
Debt3 3,514,900 3,514,900 ÷ 45,069,004 = 0.08 0.08 × 0.87% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.05%
Operating lease liability4 115,100 115,100 ÷ 45,069,004 = 0.00 0.00 × 6.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 45,069,004 1.00 17.91%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 39,505,713 39,505,713 ÷ 43,707,613 = 0.90 0.90 × 19.41% = 17.54%
Debt3 4,082,800 4,082,800 ÷ 43,707,613 = 0.09 0.09 × 5.53% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.41%
Operating lease liability4 119,100 119,100 ÷ 43,707,613 = 0.00 0.00 × 5.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 43,707,613 1.00 17.96%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 39,451,954 39,451,954 ÷ 42,788,654 = 0.92 0.92 × 19.41% = 17.89%
Debt3 3,218,400 3,218,400 ÷ 42,788,654 = 0.08 0.08 × 5.53% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.33%
Operating lease liability4 118,300 118,300 ÷ 42,788,654 = 0.00 0.00 × 5.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 42,788,654 1.00 18.23%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 23,100,043 23,100,043 ÷ 25,351,843 = 0.91 0.91 × 19.41% = 17.68%
Debt3 2,165,800 2,165,800 ÷ 25,351,843 = 0.09 0.09 × 5.42% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.37%
Operating lease liability4 86,000 86,000 ÷ 25,351,843 = 0.00 0.00 × 5.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 25,351,843 1.00 18.06%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 13,161,858 13,161,858 ÷ 14,627,856 = 0.90 0.90 × 19.41% = 17.46%
Debt3 1,407,100 1,407,100 ÷ 14,627,856 = 0.10 0.10 × 5.43% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.41%
Operating lease liability4 58,897 58,897 ÷ 14,627,856 = 0.00 0.00 × 5.43% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 14,627,856 1.00 17.89%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

DexCom Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1 57,131 (108,063) 44,811 (717) (374,721)
Invested capital2 1,649,000 1,899,300 1,367,200 836,300 1,449,197
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 3.46% -5.69% 3.28% -0.09% -25.86%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Abbott Laboratories -2.40% -1.92%
Elevance Health Inc. 0.18% 1.50%
Intuitive Surgical Inc. -3.27% 12.34%
Medtronic PLC -5.04% -6.68%
UnitedHealth Group Inc. 4.11% 3.96%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2022 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × 57,131 ÷ 1,649,000 = 3.46%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


An analysis of the financial performance from 2018 to 2022 reveals a period of significant volatility in value creation, characterized by a transition from substantial economic losses toward a pattern of intermittent positive economic spread. The overall trajectory indicates a recovery in the organization's ability to generate returns exceeding its cost of capital, although this progress has not been linear.

Economic Spread Ratio Trends
The economic spread ratio experienced a dramatic improvement between 2018 and 2020, moving from a deeply negative -25.86% to a positive 3.28%. This indicates a shift from significant value destruction to the creation of economic value. However, this momentum was interrupted in 2021, when the ratio fell back to -5.69%, before recovering to 3.46% by the end of 2022. This fluctuation suggests a sensitivity in the spread to shifts in operating performance or changes in the cost of capital.
Economic Profit Volatility
Economic profit mirrors the spread ratio, starting at a deficit of US$ 374.7 million in 2018. A near break-even point was achieved in 2019, followed by a positive result of US$ 44.8 million in 2020. The return to a negative economic profit of US$ 108.1 million in 2021 aligns with the contraction of the spread ratio, while the 2022 result of US$ 57.1 million confirms a return to positive value generation.
Invested Capital Dynamics
Invested capital exhibited non-linear fluctuations over the five-year period. A notable reduction occurred in 2019, dropping to US$ 836.3 million, which coincided with the narrowest negative spread. Capital deployment peaked in 2021 at US$ 1.9 billion, a period that also saw a decline in the economic spread ratio to -5.69%. This suggests that the capital expansion in 2021 did not immediately yield returns sufficient to cover the associated cost of capital. By 2022, invested capital was optimized down to US$ 1.65 billion, coinciding with an increase in both economic profit and the spread ratio.

The correlation between the expansion of invested capital in 2021 and the subsequent dip in economic spread suggests a lag between capital investment and value realization. The recovery in 2022 demonstrates a more efficient alignment between the capital base and the generated economic profit, resulting in a stabilized positive spread.

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Economic Profit Margin

DexCom Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1 57,131 (108,063) 44,811 (717) (374,721)
 
Revenue 2,909,800 2,448,500 1,926,700 1,476,000 1,031,600
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue 10,900 (100) 500 (1,200) (300)
Adjusted revenue 2,920,700 2,448,400 1,927,200 1,474,800 1,031,300
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 1.96% -4.41% 2.33% -0.05% -36.33%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Abbott Laboratories -3.38% -2.77%
Elevance Health Inc. 0.08% 0.70%
Intuitive Surgical Inc. -2.82% 9.71%
Medtronic PLC -11.06% -16.04%
UnitedHealth Group Inc. 2.10% 1.94%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2022 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted revenue
= 100 × 57,131 ÷ 2,920,700 = 1.96%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Analysis of the economic profit margin indicates a period of substantial volatility occurring alongside consistent revenue expansion from 2018 through 2022.

Adjusted Revenue Trends
Adjusted revenue exhibited a steady and uninterrupted growth trajectory, increasing from 1,031,300 thousand USD in 2018 to 2,920,700 thousand USD in 2022. This represents a consistent scaling of the operational base over the five-year period.
Economic Profit Fluctuations
Economic profit demonstrated significant instability. A substantial deficit of 374,721 thousand USD in 2018 was reduced to nearly zero in 2019, followed by a positive result of 44,811 thousand USD in 2020. This progress was interrupted by a reversal to a deficit of 108,063 thousand USD in 2021, before recovering to 57,131 thousand USD by the end of 2022.
Economic Profit Margin Performance
The economic profit margin mirrored the volatility of the absolute economic profit. The margin improved dramatically from -36.33% in 2018 to -0.05% in 2019, reaching a peak of 2.33% in 2020. A subsequent decline to -4.41% in 2021 was followed by a recovery to 1.96% in 2022, suggesting a continuing struggle to maintain a stable positive spread over the cost of capital despite increasing revenue.

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