Stock Analysis on Net

Ecolab Inc. (NYSE:ECL)

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This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since February 25, 2022.

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.


Economic Profit

Ecolab Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 1,348,902 1,206,880 1,736,725 1,771,309 1,369,555
Cost of capital2 15.09% 15.76% 15.69% 15.52% 14.80%
Invested capital3 18,430,300 15,595,900 18,090,500 17,830,002 17,388,578
 
Economic profit4 (1,431,945) (1,251,089) (1,101,887) (995,759) (1,203,918)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2021 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 1,348,90215.09% × 18,430,300 = -1,431,945


The financial performance from 2017 to 2021 is characterized by a persistent failure to generate positive economic profit, indicating that the returns on invested capital remained below the company's weighted average cost of capital throughout the period.

Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT exhibited significant volatility over the five-year period. After an initial increase to a peak of 1.77 billion USD in 2018, a downward trend emerged, culminating in a sharp decline to 1.21 billion USD in 2020. A partial recovery was observed in 2021, with NOPAT rising to 1.35 billion USD, though it remained below 2018 and 2019 levels.
Capital Structure and Cost of Capital
The cost of capital remained relatively stable, fluctuating within a narrow range between 14.80% and 15.76%. Invested capital showed a general upward trajectory, increasing from 17.39 billion USD in 2017 to 18.43 billion USD in 2021. A notable anomaly occurred in 2020, where invested capital decreased to 15.60 billion USD before rebounding strongly in the following year.
Economic Profit Analysis
Economic profit remained consistently negative, signifying continuous value destruction. Although the deficit narrowed slightly in 2018 to -995.76 million USD, the trend reversed in subsequent years. By December 31, 2021, the economic loss widened to -1.43 billion USD. This suggests that the growth in invested capital and the stability of the cost of capital have outpaced the growth in operating profits, leading to an expanding gap between the actual returns and the required return on capital.

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Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Ecolab Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Net income (loss) attributable to Ecolab 1,129,900 (1,205,100) 1,558,900 1,429,100 1,508,400
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 (900) (39,300) (37,700) 85,100 (354,500)
Increase (decrease) in allowance for expected credit losses2 (15,600) 29,600 1,400 (10,900) 3,900
Increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve3 99,300 (9,200) (5,400) 29,000 18,100
Increase (decrease) in restructuring liability4 (60,000) (800) 32,900 37,300 1,900
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents5 22,800 (19,700) (8,800) 140,500 (330,600)
Interest expense 230,600 304,800 215,300 237,200 274,600
Interest expense, operating lease liability6 12,209 15,851 23,136 18,850 18,469
Adjusted interest expense 242,809 320,651 238,436 256,050 293,069
Tax benefit of interest expense7 (50,990) (67,337) (50,072) (53,771) (102,574)
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes8 191,819 253,314 188,364 202,280 190,495
Interest income (12,300) (14,600) (24,100) (14,900) (19,600)
Investment income, before taxes (12,300) (14,600) (24,100) (14,900) (19,600)
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income9 2,583 3,066 5,061 3,129 6,860
Investment income, after taxes10 (9,717) (11,534) (19,039) (11,771) (12,740)
(Income) loss from discontinued operations, net of tax11 2,172,500
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest 14,100 17,400 17,300 11,200 14,000
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 1,348,902 1,206,880 1,736,725 1,771,309 1,369,555

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance for expected credit losses.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in LIFO reserve. See details »

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring liability.

5 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss) attributable to Ecolab.

6 2021 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 397,700 × 3.07% = 12,209

7 2021 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= 242,809 × 21.00% = 50,990

8 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss) attributable to Ecolab.

9 2021 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= 12,300 × 21.00% = 2,583

10 Elimination of after taxes investment income.

11 Elimination of discontinued operations.


Net Income (Loss) Attributable to Ecolab
The net income attributable to Ecolab exhibited positive values from 2017 through 2019, with a slight decrease in 2018 followed by a recovery in 2019. However, in 2020, there was a significant decline, reflected by a net loss of approximately 1.2 billion US dollars. This downturn was reversed in 2021, where net income returned to a positive figure, measuring around 1.13 billion US dollars, although still below the 2019 peak.
Net Operating Profit After Taxes (NOPAT)
NOPAT showed an overall increasing trend from 2017 to 2019, starting at about 1.37 billion US dollars and peaking at roughly 1.74 billion US dollars in 2019. In 2020, similar to net income, NOPAT experienced a decline but remained positive at about 1.21 billion US dollars. In 2021, there was a moderate recovery, with NOPAT increasing to approximately 1.35 billion US dollars; however, this figure did not reach the 2019 peak level.
Summary of Trends and Insights
The data indicates that the company experienced a strong performance in the initial years up to 2019, with increasing profitability as evidenced by both net income and NOPAT. The year 2020 represents a notable inflection point with a severe reduction in profitability, culminating in a net loss. This suggests that external or internal factors during 2020 heavily impacted earnings. Both metrics improved in 2021, reflecting a recovery phase, but the full return to the profitability levels of 2019 has not yet been realized by the end of that year. The persistence of positive NOPAT through the downturn indicates ongoing operational profitability despite overall net losses in 2020.

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Cash Operating Taxes

Ecolab Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Provision for income taxes 270,200 176,600 322,700 364,300 242,400
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) (900) (39,300) (37,700) 85,100 (354,500)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense 50,990 67,337 50,072 53,771 102,574
Less: Tax imposed on investment income 2,583 3,066 5,061 3,129 6,860
Cash operating taxes 319,507 280,171 405,411 329,842 692,614

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).


The financial data reveals notable fluctuations in the provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes over the five-year period.

Provision for income taxes
This item experienced an overall increase from 242,400 thousand US dollars in 2017 to a peak of 364,300 thousand US dollars in 2018. Subsequently, it decreased to 322,700 thousand US dollars in 2019 and sharply declined further to 176,600 thousand US dollars in 2020. However, it rebounded to 270,200 thousand US dollars in 2021. This pattern indicates volatility with a significant dip in 2020, possibly linked to changes in taxable income or tax regulations, followed by a partial recovery in the final year.
Cash operating taxes
Cash operating taxes presented a different trend characterized by a marked decrease from 692,614 thousand US dollars in 2017 to 329,842 thousand US dollars in 2018. After this drop, values rose to 405,411 thousand US dollars in 2019, followed by another decline to 280,171 thousand US dollars in 2020. There was a moderate increase to 319,507 thousand US dollars in 2021. Overall, the data exhibits considerable volatility with no sustained growth or decline, indicating fluctuating cash tax outflows over the years.

In summary, both provision for income taxes and cash operating taxes show significant variability throughout the period, with notable decreases in 2020 likely tied to the extraordinary circumstances of that year. The partial rebounds in 2021 suggest a normalization trend, although both metrics remain below their initial high points observed in earlier years.

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Invested Capital

Ecolab Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in thousands

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Short-term debt 411,000 17,300 380,600 743,600 564,400
Long-term debt, excluding current maturities 8,347,200 6,669,300 5,973,500 6,301,600 6,758,300
Operating lease liability1 397,700 426,100 578,400 574,702 552,978
Total reported debt & leases 9,155,900 7,112,700 6,932,500 7,619,902 7,875,678
Total Ecolab shareholders’ equity 7,224,200 6,166,500 8,685,300 8,003,200 7,618,500
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 501,400 320,700 584,800 659,500 540,500
Allowance for expected credit losses3 52,800 68,400 62,000 60,600 71,500
LIFO cost to FIFO cost difference4 114,900 15,600 (9,300) (3,900) (32,900)
Restructuring liability5 42,400 102,400 111,700 78,800 41,500
Equity equivalents6 711,500 507,100 749,200 795,000 620,600
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax7 1,634,800 1,994,400 2,089,700 1,761,700 1,642,300
Noncontrolling interest 28,900 35,000 40,500 50,400 70,200
Adjusted total Ecolab shareholders’ equity 9,599,400 8,703,000 11,564,700 10,610,300 9,951,600
Construction in progress8 (325,000) (219,800) (406,700) (400,200) (438,700)
Invested capital 18,430,300 15,595,900 18,090,500 17,830,002 17,388,578

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of LIFO reserve. See details »

5 Addition of restructuring liability.

6 Addition of equity equivalents to total Ecolab shareholders’ equity.

7 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

8 Subtraction of construction in progress.


Total Reported Debt & Leases
The total reported debt and leases exhibit a fluctuating pattern over the observed periods. Starting at approximately $7.88 billion in 2017, there is a gradual decline until 2019, reaching about $6.93 billion. This is followed by a slight increase in 2020 to approximately $7.11 billion, and a notable rise in 2021 to roughly $9.16 billion. The large increase in 2021 indicates a significant change in the company's leverage or financing activities.
Total Shareholders' Equity
Shareholders’ equity shows a general upward trend from 2017 to 2019, rising from around $7.62 billion to approximately $8.69 billion. However, in 2020, there is a sharp decrease to about $6.17 billion, followed by a partial recovery in 2021 to approximately $7.22 billion. The drop in 2020 could reflect significant losses, dividend payments, share repurchases, or other equity-reducing activities during that year.
Invested Capital
Invested capital demonstrates an increase from 2017 to 2019, moving from around $17.39 billion to $18.09 billion. In 2020, there is a decline to approximately $15.60 billion, consistent with the reduction in shareholders' equity and the minor increase in debt. By 2021, invested capital rises again to about $18.43 billion, reaching its highest level in the observed timeframe. This trend suggests active adjustments in the capital structure and investment base through the period.

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Cost of Capital

Ecolab Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 51,701,301 51,701,301 ÷ 61,592,801 = 0.84 0.84 × 17.57% = 14.75%
Debt3 9,493,800 9,493,800 ÷ 61,592,801 = 0.15 0.15 × 2.68% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.33%
Operating lease liability4 397,700 397,700 ÷ 61,592,801 = 0.01 0.01 × 3.07% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 61,592,801 1.00 15.09%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 59,845,547 59,845,547 ÷ 67,991,547 = 0.88 0.88 × 17.57% = 15.46%
Debt3 7,719,900 7,719,900 ÷ 67,991,547 = 0.11 0.11 × 3.11% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.28%
Operating lease liability4 426,100 426,100 ÷ 67,991,547 = 0.01 0.01 × 3.72% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 67,991,547 1.00 15.76%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 51,999,634 51,999,634 ÷ 59,519,734 = 0.87 0.87 × 17.57% = 15.35%
Debt3 6,941,700 6,941,700 ÷ 59,519,734 = 0.12 0.12 × 3.39% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.31%
Operating lease liability4 578,400 578,400 ÷ 59,519,734 = 0.01 0.01 × 4.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.03%
Total: 59,519,734 1.00 15.69%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 48,981,106 48,981,106 ÷ 56,742,708 = 0.86 0.86 × 17.57% = 15.16%
Debt3 7,186,900 7,186,900 ÷ 56,742,708 = 0.13 0.13 × 3.28% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.33%
Operating lease liability4 574,702 574,702 ÷ 56,742,708 = 0.01 0.01 × 3.28% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.03%
Total: 56,742,708 1.00 15.52%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 37,794,238 37,794,238 ÷ 46,077,916 = 0.82 0.82 × 17.57% = 14.41%
Debt3 7,730,700 7,730,700 ÷ 46,077,916 = 0.17 0.17 × 3.34% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.36%
Operating lease liability4 552,978 552,978 ÷ 46,077,916 = 0.01 0.01 × 3.34% × (1 – 35.00%) = 0.03%
Total: 46,077,916 1.00 14.80%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 US$ in thousands

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »



Economic Spread Ratio

Ecolab Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1 (1,431,945) (1,251,089) (1,101,887) (995,759) (1,203,918)
Invested capital2 18,430,300 15,595,900 18,090,500 17,830,002 17,388,578
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 -7.77% -8.02% -6.09% -5.58% -6.92%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Linde plc -8.83%
Sherwin-Williams Co. -2.91%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2021 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × -1,431,945 ÷ 18,430,300 = -7.77%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.


The analysis of economic value added indicates a consistent trend of negative economic profit and negative economic spread ratios from 2017 through 2021. This pattern demonstrates that the returns generated by the invested capital have been insufficient to cover the cost of capital throughout the entire observed period.

Economic Profit Trend
Economic profit remained negative for all five years, exhibiting a slight improvement in 2018 before entering a period of steady decline. The deficit narrowed to 995.8 million US dollars in 2018 but subsequently widened, reaching a peak loss of 1.43 billion US dollars by the end of 2021. This trajectory indicates a growing disparity between operational earnings and the required return on capital.
Invested Capital Fluctuations
Invested capital showed a gradual increase from 17.39 billion US dollars in 2017 to 18.09 billion US dollars in 2019. A significant contraction occurred in 2020, with capital decreasing to 15.60 billion US dollars, followed by a sharp recovery in 2021 to 18.43 billion US dollars, the highest level in the five-year sequence.
Economic Spread Ratio Analysis
The economic spread ratio remained negative throughout the period, fluctuating between -5.58% and -8.02%. The most favorable ratio was recorded in 2018 at -5.58%, while the least favorable performance occurred in 2020 at -8.02%. The deterioration in 2020 occurred despite a reduction in invested capital, suggesting a significant decline in the efficiency of capital utilization relative to the cost of financing. The ratio ended the period at -7.77% in 2021, confirming a persistent failure to create economic value.

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Economic Profit Margin

Ecolab Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019 Dec 31, 2018 Dec 31, 2017
Selected Financial Data (US$ in thousands)
Economic profit1 (1,431,945) (1,251,089) (1,101,887) (995,759) (1,203,918)
Net sales 12,733,100 11,790,200 14,906,300 14,668,200 13,838,300
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 -11.25% -10.61% -7.39% -6.79% -8.70%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Linde plc -20.81%
Sherwin-Williams Co. -2.31%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2017-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2021 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net sales
= 100 × -1,431,945 ÷ 12,733,100 = -11.25%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.


An analysis of the financial performance from 2017 to 2021 reveals a persistent negative economic profit, indicating that the returns generated were insufficient to cover the company's cost of capital throughout the period. While there was a brief improvement in 2018, the overall trajectory shows a decline in value creation efficiency.

Economic Profit Trends
The economic profit remained negative for all five years analyzed. After reaching a peak of -995,759 thousand USD in 2018, the figure deteriorated steadily, reaching its lowest point of -1,431,945 thousand USD by December 31, 2021. This downward trend suggests an increasing gap between the actual net operating profit and the required return on capital.
Net Sales Performance
Revenue exhibited growth from 2017 through 2019, peaking at 14,906,300 thousand USD. A significant contraction occurred in 2020, where net sales dropped to 11,790,200 thousand USD. Although a partial recovery was observed in 2021 with sales rising to 12,733,100 thousand USD, the volume remained below the 2017 to 2019 baseline.
Economic Profit Margin Analysis
The economic profit margin reflects a widening deficit. The margin improved from -8.70% in 2017 to -6.79% in 2018, representing the most efficient point in the period. However, the margin subsequently declined, dropping sharply to -10.61% in 2020 and further to -11.25% in 2021. The correlation between falling sales in 2020 and the expanding negative margin suggests that the cost of capital became more burdensome as revenue decreased.

In summary, the period is characterized by a failure to achieve a positive economic profit, with the economic profit margin deteriorating significantly between 2018 and 2021. The inability to reverse the negative trend in economic profit, despite a partial recovery in net sales in 2021, indicates a systemic challenge in generating returns that exceed the weighted average cost of capital.

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