Stock Analysis on Net

Honeywell International Inc. (NASDAQ:HON)

Price to FCFE (P/FCFE) 

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Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE)

Honeywell International Inc., FCFE calculation

US$ in millions

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12 months ended: Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
Net income attributable to Honeywell 5,705 5,658 4,966 5,542 4,779
Net income attributable to the noncontrolling interest 35 14 1 68 86
Net noncash charges 120 (693) 1,052 140 (20)
Changes in assets and liabilities, net of the effects of acquisitions and divestitures 237 361 (745) 288 1,363
Net cash provided by operating activities 6,097 5,340 5,274 6,038 6,208
Capital expenditures (1,164) (1,039) (766) (895) (906)
Proceeds from disposals of property, plant and equipment 43 29 27 57
Proceeds from issuance of commercial paper and other short-term borrowings 13,838 12,991 7,661 5,194 10,474
Payments of commercial paper and other short-term borrowings (11,578) (13,663) (8,447) (5,190) (10,400)
Proceeds from issuance of long-term debt 10,408 2,986 2,953 2,517 10,125
Payments of long-term debt (1,812) (1,731) (1,850) (4,917) (4,308)
Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) 15,789 4,927 4,854 2,774 11,250

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).


Net cash provided by operating activities
The net cash provided by operating activities showed a fluctuating trend over the five-year period. Starting at $6,208 million in 2020, it slightly decreased to $6,038 million in 2021. This was followed by a more notable decline to $5,274 million in 2022. The figure then stabilized with a marginal increase to $5,340 million in 2023, before rising again to $6,097 million in 2024. Overall, despite the fluctuations, the net cash provided by operating activities ended somewhat close to the initial value, indicating resilient operational cash generation.
Free cash flow to equity (FCFE)
The free cash flow to equity exhibited significant volatility throughout the period. It started at a high point of $11,250 million in 2020 but dropped sharply to $2,774 million in 2021. After this decline, FCFE showed a recovery trend, increasing to $4,854 million in 2022 and $4,927 million in 2023. Notably, there was a substantial increase in 2024, reaching $15,789 million, the highest value recorded in the period. This considerable surge in the last year suggests improved cash available to equity holders, potentially reflecting changes in capital expenditures, debt financing, or other financing activities.
Overall Analysis
While operating cash flows remained relatively stable with minor fluctuations, the free cash flow to equity demonstrated more pronounced variability. The considerable drop in FCFE after 2020 and the subsequent recovery culminating in a strong increase in 2024 indicate changing dynamics in cash distribution or investment strategy. These patterns could reflect shifts in capital investment, debt repayments, or other financing decisions impacting the cash available to shareholders. The divergence between operating cash flows and FCFE in certain years deserves closer examination to understand underlying causes.

Price to FCFE Ratio, Current

Honeywell International Inc., current P/FCFE calculation, comparison to benchmarks

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No. shares of common stock outstanding 642,682,909
Selected Financial Data (US$)
Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) (in millions) 15,789
FCFE per share 24.57
Current share price (P) 240.40
Valuation Ratio
P/FCFE 9.79
Benchmarks
P/FCFE, Competitors1
Boeing Co.
Caterpillar Inc. 18.12
Eaton Corp. plc 38.67
GE Aerospace 64.01
Lockheed Martin Corp. 13.40
RTX Corp. 95.92
P/FCFE, Sector
Capital Goods 38.91
P/FCFE, Industry
Industrials 34.10

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31).

1 Click competitor name to see calculations.

If the company P/FCFE is lower then the P/FCFE of benchmark then company is relatively undervalued.
Otherwise, if the company P/FCFE is higher then the P/FCFE of benchmark then company is relatively overvalued.


Price to FCFE Ratio, Historical

Honeywell International Inc., historical P/FCFE calculation, comparison to benchmarks

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Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020
No. shares of common stock outstanding1 649,918,551 652,181,812 668,140,252 685,818,771 695,501,159
Selected Financial Data (US$)
Free cash flow to equity (FCFE) (in millions)2 15,789 4,927 4,854 2,774 11,250
FCFE per share3 24.29 7.55 7.26 4.04 16.18
Share price1, 4 202.75 197.17 200.47 186.99 203.57
Valuation Ratio
P/FCFE5 8.35 26.10 27.59 46.23 12.59
Benchmarks
P/FCFE, Competitors6
Boeing Co. 120.43 6.78
Caterpillar Inc. 16.33 14.39 24.03 16.36 25.22
Eaton Corp. plc 31.06 33.65 28.68 24.43 25.59
GE Aerospace 53.26 225.15 44.45
Lockheed Martin Corp. 13.31 13.13 11.63 14.65 15.57
RTX Corp. 85.26 7.05 26.71 35.07
P/FCFE, Sector
Capital Goods 33.57 20.26 25.94 74.91
P/FCFE, Industry
Industrials 30.92 23.85 25.07 40.69

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 Data adjusted for splits and stock dividends.

2 See details »

3 2024 Calculation
FCFE per share = FCFE ÷ No. shares of common stock outstanding
= 15,789,000,000 ÷ 649,918,551 = 24.29

4 Closing price as at the filing date of Honeywell International Inc. Annual Report.

5 2024 Calculation
P/FCFE = Share price ÷ FCFE per share
= 202.75 ÷ 24.29 = 8.35

6 Click competitor name to see calculations.


Share price trend
The share price exhibited moderate fluctuations over the five-year period. Starting at $203.57 in 2020, it declined to $186.99 in 2021, followed by a partial recovery to $200.47 in 2022. Subsequently, it slightly decreased to $197.17 in 2023 and rose again to $202.75 in 2024. Overall, the share price remained relatively stable around the $200 mark with minor variations year to year.
FCFE per share trend
Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE) per share showed significant variability. It began at $16.18 in 2020 before sharply dropping to $4.04 in 2021. In 2022 and 2023, FCFE per share gradually increased to $7.26 and $7.55 respectively. A notable surge occurred in 2024, with FCFE per share reaching $24.29, representing the highest value in the period analyzed and signaling a substantial improvement in cash flow available to equity shareholders.
P/FCFE ratio trend
The Price to Free Cash Flow to Equity (P/FCFE) ratio fluctuated inversely to FCFE per share. Initially at a low 12.59 in 2020, the ratio escalated sharply to 46.23 in 2021, reflecting the decline in FCFE per share relative to share price. The ratio then progressively decreased to 27.59 in 2022, 26.10 in 2023, and significantly dropped further to 8.35 in 2024. The decline in the P/FCFE ratio in the final year underscores a more attractive valuation in terms of free cash flow, likely driven by the marked increase in FCFE per share.
Summary of insights
Throughout the examined timeframe, the company maintained a relatively stable share price despite considerable fluctuations in free cash flow to equity. The sharp reduction in FCFE per share in 2021 and subsequent gradual recovery suggest possible operational or capital allocation challenges early in this period. The sharp increase in 2024's FCFE per share, coupled with a lowered valuation ratio, implies enhanced efficiency or profitability translating into greater cash flow for shareholders. This improvement may indicate positive developments in the company’s financial health and its capacity to generate equity cash flow without a parallel rise in share price valuation.