Stock Analysis on Net

Ford Motor Co. (NYSE:F)

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.


Economic Profit

Ford Motor Co., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 3,005 2,786 11,380 (428) (1,062)
Cost of capital2 7.57% 7.37% 7.62% 5.96% 5.30%
Invested capital3 173,985 164,218 160,105 170,559 173,780
 
Economic profit4 (10,161) (9,315) (827) (10,591) (10,281)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2023 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 3,0057.57% × 173,985 = -10,161

Item Description The company
Economic profit Economic profit is a measure of corporate performance computed by taking the spread between the return on invested capital and the cost of capital, and multiplying by the invested capital. Ford Motor Co. economic profit decreased from 2021 to 2022 and from 2022 to 2023.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Ford Motor Co., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Net income (loss) attributable to Ford Motor Company 4,347 (1,981) 17,937 (1,279) 47
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 (1,601) (1,836) (856) (326) (1,394)
Increase (decrease) in allowances for doubtful receivables2 (24) 46 (10) 8 (45)
Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue3 279 255 312 438 202
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4 (1,346) (1,535) (554) 120 (1,237)
Interest expense on Company debt excluding Ford Credit 1,302 1,259 1,803 1,649 1,020
Interest expense, operating lease liability5 88 56 46 50 48
Adjusted interest expense on Company debt excluding Ford Credit 1,390 1,315 1,849 1,699 1,068
Tax benefit of interest expense on Company debt excluding Ford Credit6 (292) (276) (388) (357) (224)
Adjusted interest expense on Company debt excluding Ford Credit, after taxes7 1,098 1,039 1,461 1,342 844
(Gain) loss on marketable securities 205 7,518 (9,159) (325) (144)
Investment-related interest income (1,567) (639) (254) (452) (809)
Investment income, before taxes (1,362) 6,879 (9,413) (777) (953)
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income8 286 (1,445) 1,977 163 200
Investment income, after taxes9 (1,076) 5,434 (7,436) (614) (753)
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest (18) (171) (27) 3 37
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 3,005 2,786 11,380 (428) (1,062)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowances for doubtful receivables.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred revenue.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss) attributable to Ford Motor Company.

5 2023 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 1,876 × 4.70% = 88

6 2023 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense on Company debt excluding Ford Credit = Adjusted interest expense on Company debt excluding Ford Credit × Statutory income tax rate
= 1,390 × 21.00% = 292

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss) attributable to Ford Motor Company.

8 2023 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= 1,362 × 21.00% = 286

9 Elimination of after taxes investment income.

Item Description The company
NOPAT Net operating profit after taxes is income from operations, but after removement of taxes calculated on cash basis that are relevant to operating income. Ford Motor Co. NOPAT decreased from 2021 to 2022 but then slightly increased from 2022 to 2023.

Cash Operating Taxes

Ford Motor Co., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Provision for (benefit from) income taxes (362) (864) (130) 160 (724)
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) (1,601) (1,836) (856) (326) (1,394)
Add: Tax savings from interest expense on Company debt excluding Ford Credit 292 276 388 357 224
Less: Tax imposed on investment income 286 (1,445) 1,977 163 200
Cash operating taxes 1,245 2,693 (862) 680 694

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

Item Description The company
Cash operating taxes Cash operating taxes are estimated by adjusting income tax expense for changes in deferred taxes and tax benefit from the interest deduction. Ford Motor Co. cash operating taxes increased from 2021 to 2022 but then slightly decreased from 2022 to 2023.

Invested Capital

Ford Motor Co., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Debt payable within one year 49,669 50,164 49,692 51,343 53,946
Long-term debt payable after one year 99,562 88,805 88,400 110,341 101,361
Operating lease liability1 1,876 1,505 1,393 1,314 1,414
Total reported debt & leases 151,107 140,474 139,485 162,998 156,721
Equity attributable to Ford Motor Company 42,773 43,242 48,519 30,690 33,185
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 (15,980) (14,003) (12,215) (11,885) (11,373)
Allowances for doubtful receivables3 69 93 47 57 49
Deferred revenue4 7,566 7,287 7,032 6,720 6,282
Equity equivalents5 (8,345) (6,623) (5,136) (5,108) (5,042)
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6 9,042 9,339 8,339 8,294 7,728
Equity attributable to noncontrolling interests 25 (75) 103 121 45
Adjusted equity attributable to Ford Motor Company 43,495 45,883 51,825 33,997 35,916
Construction in progress7 (5,308) (3,203) (2,152) (1,718) (1,710)
Marketable securities8 (15,309) (18,936) (29,053) (24,718) (17,147)
Invested capital 173,985 164,218 160,105 170,559 173,780

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of deferred revenue.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to equity attributable to Ford Motor Company.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of construction in progress.

8 Subtraction of marketable securities.

Item Description The company
Invested capital Capital is an approximation of the economic book value of all cash invested in going-concern business activities. Ford Motor Co. invested capital increased from 2021 to 2022 and from 2022 to 2023.

Cost of Capital

Ford Motor Co., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 50,863 50,863 ÷ 203,047 = 0.25 0.25 × 18.66% = 4.67%
Debt3 150,308 150,308 ÷ 203,047 = 0.74 0.74 × 4.89% × (1 – 21.00%) = 2.86%
Operating lease liability4 1,876 1,876 ÷ 203,047 = 0.01 0.01 × 4.70% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.03%
Total: 203,047 1.00 7.57%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 52,737 52,737 ÷ 190,013 = 0.28 0.28 × 18.66% = 5.18%
Debt3 135,771 135,771 ÷ 190,013 = 0.71 0.71 × 3.84% × (1 – 21.00%) = 2.17%
Operating lease liability4 1,505 1,505 ÷ 190,013 = 0.01 0.01 × 3.70% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 190,013 1.00 7.37%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 71,916 71,916 ÷ 217,557 = 0.33 0.33 × 18.66% = 6.17%
Debt3 144,248 144,248 ÷ 217,557 = 0.66 0.66 × 2.75% × (1 – 21.00%) = 1.44%
Operating lease liability4 1,393 1,393 ÷ 217,557 = 0.01 0.01 × 3.30% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 217,557 1.00 7.62%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 45,795 45,795 ÷ 214,699 = 0.21 0.21 × 18.66% = 3.98%
Debt3 167,590 167,590 ÷ 214,699 = 0.78 0.78 × 3.18% × (1 – 21.00%) = 1.96%
Operating lease liability4 1,314 1,314 ÷ 214,699 = 0.01 0.01 × 3.80% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 214,699 1.00 5.96%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 32,949 32,949 ÷ 192,367 = 0.17 0.17 × 18.66% = 3.20%
Debt3 158,004 158,004 ÷ 192,367 = 0.82 0.82 × 3.22% × (1 – 21.00%) = 2.09%
Operating lease liability4 1,414 1,414 ÷ 192,367 = 0.01 0.01 × 3.40% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 192,367 1.00 5.30%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Ford Motor Co., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 (10,161) (9,315) (827) (10,591) (10,281)
Invested capital2 173,985 164,218 160,105 170,559 173,780
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 -5.84% -5.67% -0.52% -6.21% -5.92%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
General Motors Co. -1.07% -1.83% 0.00% -3.23% -3.23%
Tesla Inc. -8.13% 4.40% -7.63% -19.09% -20.09%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2023 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × -10,161 ÷ 173,985 = -5.84%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.

Performance ratio Description The company
Economic spread ratio The ratio of economic profit to invested capital, also equal to the difference between return on invested capital (ROIC) and cost of capital. Ford Motor Co. economic spread ratio deteriorated from 2021 to 2022 and from 2022 to 2023.

Economic Profit Margin

Ford Motor Co., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 (10,161) (9,315) (827) (10,591) (10,281)
 
Company revenues excluding Ford Credit 165,901 149,079 126,268 115,941 143,640
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue 279 255 312 438 202
Adjusted company revenues excluding Ford Credit 166,180 149,334 126,580 116,379 143,842
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 -6.11% -6.24% -0.65% -9.10% -7.15%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
General Motors Co. -1.22% -2.18% 0.00% -4.55% -3.84%
Tesla Inc. -5.39% 2.65% -5.63% -23.46% -20.22%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2023 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted company revenues excluding Ford Credit
= 100 × -10,161 ÷ 166,180 = -6.11%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.

Performance ratio Description The company
Economic profit margin The ratio of economic profit to sales. It is the company profit margin covering income efficiency and asset management. Economic profit margin is not biased in favor of capital-intensive business models, because any added capital is a cost to the economic profit margin. Ford Motor Co. economic profit margin deteriorated from 2021 to 2022 but then slightly improved from 2022 to 2023.