Stock Analysis on Net

Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA)

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.


Economic Profit

Tesla Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 11,309 14,874 7,214 2,291 901
Cost of capital2 25.45% 25.56% 25.55% 24.91% 23.62%
Invested capital3 65,244 49,621 40,247 39,217 25,479
 
Economic profit4 (5,296) 2,192 (3,067) (7,480) (5,117)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2023 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 11,30925.45% × 65,244 = -5,296

Item Description The company
Economic profit Economic profit is a measure of corporate performance computed by taking the spread between the return on invested capital and the cost of capital, and multiplying by the invested capital. Tesla Inc. economic profit increased from 2021 to 2022 but then decreased significantly from 2022 to 2023.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

Tesla Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders 14,997 12,556 5,519 721 (862)
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 (6,349) (196) (149) 40 19
Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue2 1,564 1,052 757 372 749
Increase (decrease) in accrued warranty reserve3 1,647 1,404 633 379 341
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4 (3,138) 2,260 1,241 791 1,109
Interest expense 156 191 371 748 685
Interest expense, operating lease liability5 243 140 102 89 77
Adjusted interest expense 399 331 473 837 762
Tax benefit of interest expense6 (84) (70) (99) (176) (160)
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes7 315 262 374 661 602
Interest income (1,066) (297) (56) (30) (44)
Investment income, before taxes (1,066) (297) (56) (30) (44)
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income8 224 62 12 6 9
Investment income, after taxes9 (842) (235) (44) (24) (35)
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest (23) 31 125 141 87
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 11,309 14,874 7,214 2,291 901

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in deferred revenue.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in accrued warranty reserve.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders.

5 2023 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 4,343 × 5.60% = 243

6 2023 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= 399 × 21.00% = 84

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders.

8 2023 Calculation
Tax expense (benefit) of investment income = Investment income, before tax × Statutory income tax rate
= 1,066 × 21.00% = 224

9 Elimination of after taxes investment income.

Item Description The company
NOPAT Net operating profit after taxes is income from operations, but after removement of taxes calculated on cash basis that are relevant to operating income. Tesla Inc. NOPAT increased from 2021 to 2022 but then slightly decreased from 2022 to 2023.

Cash Operating Taxes

Tesla Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Provision for (benefit from) income taxes (5,001) 1,132 699 292 110
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) (6,349) (196) (149) 40 19
Add: Tax savings from interest expense 84 70 99 176 160
Less: Tax imposed on investment income 224 62 12 6 9
Cash operating taxes 1,208 1,335 936 422 242

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

Item Description The company
Cash operating taxes Cash operating taxes are estimated by adjusting income tax expense for changes in deferred taxes and tax benefit from the interest deduction. Tesla Inc. cash operating taxes increased from 2021 to 2022 but then slightly decreased from 2022 to 2023.

Invested Capital

Tesla Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Current portion of debt and finance leases 2,373 1,502 1,589 2,132 1,785
Debt and finance leases, net of current portion 2,857 1,597 5,245 9,556 11,634
Operating lease liability1 4,343 2,649 2,039 1,540 1,184
Total reported debt & leases 9,573 5,748 8,873 13,228 14,603
Stockholders’ equity 62,634 44,704 30,189 22,225 6,618
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 (6,652) (247) (65) 84 35
Deferred revenue3 6,115 4,551 3,499 2,742 2,370
Accrued warranty reserve4 5,152 3,505 2,101 1,468 1,089
Equity equivalents5 4,615 7,809 5,535 4,294 3,494
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6 143 361 (54) (363) 36
Redeemable noncontrolling interests in subsidiaries 242 409 568 604 643
Noncontrolling interests in subsidiaries 733 785 826 850 849
Adjusted stockholders’ equity 68,367 54,068 37,064 27,610 11,640
Construction in progress7 (4,263) (5,559) (1,621) (764)
Short-term investments8 (12,696) (5,932) (131)
Invested capital 65,244 49,621 40,247 39,217 25,479

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of deferred revenue.

4 Addition of accrued warranty reserve.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to stockholders’ equity.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of construction in progress.

8 Subtraction of short-term investments.

Item Description The company
Invested capital Capital is an approximation of the economic book value of all cash invested in going-concern business activities. Tesla Inc. invested capital increased from 2021 to 2022 and from 2022 to 2023.

Cost of Capital

Tesla Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 608,072 608,072 ÷ 618,051 = 0.98 0.98 × 25.79% = 25.37%
Debt and finance leases3 5,636 5,636 ÷ 618,051 = 0.01 0.01 × 6.41% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.05%
Operating lease liability4 4,343 4,343 ÷ 618,051 = 0.01 0.01 × 5.60% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.03%
Total: 618,051 1.00 25.45%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt and finance leases. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 548,086 548,086 ÷ 554,020 = 0.99 0.99 × 25.79% = 25.51%
Debt and finance leases3 3,285 3,285 ÷ 554,020 = 0.01 0.01 × 5.20% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Operating lease liability4 2,649 2,649 ÷ 554,020 = 0.00 0.00 × 5.30% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 554,020 1.00 25.56%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt and finance leases. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 937,753 937,753 ÷ 948,530 = 0.99 0.99 × 25.79% = 25.50%
Debt and finance leases3 8,738 8,738 ÷ 948,530 = 0.01 0.01 × 5.50% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.04%
Operating lease liability4 2,039 2,039 ÷ 948,530 = 0.00 0.00 × 5.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 948,530 1.00 25.55%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt and finance leases. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 828,766 828,766 ÷ 864,739 = 0.96 0.96 × 25.79% = 24.72%
Debt and finance leases3 34,433 34,433 ÷ 864,739 = 0.04 0.04 × 6.02% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.19%
Operating lease liability4 1,540 1,540 ÷ 864,739 = 0.00 0.00 × 5.80% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.01%
Total: 864,739 1.00 24.91%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt and finance leases. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 145,799 145,799 ÷ 162,819 = 0.90 0.90 × 25.79% = 23.09%
Debt and finance leases3 15,836 15,836 ÷ 162,819 = 0.10 0.10 × 6.36% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.49%
Operating lease liability4 1,184 1,184 ÷ 162,819 = 0.01 0.01 × 6.50% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.04%
Total: 162,819 1.00 23.62%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt and finance leases. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

Tesla Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 (5,296) 2,192 (3,067) (7,480) (5,117)
Invested capital2 65,244 49,621 40,247 39,217 25,479
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 -8.12% 4.42% -7.62% -19.07% -20.08%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Ford Motor Co. -5.82% -5.65% -0.50% -6.20% -5.91%
General Motors Co. -1.05% -1.81% 0.03% -3.20% -3.21%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2023 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × -5,296 ÷ 65,244 = -8.12%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.

Performance ratio Description The company
Economic spread ratio The ratio of economic profit to invested capital, also equal to the difference between return on invested capital (ROIC) and cost of capital. Tesla Inc. economic spread ratio improved from 2021 to 2022 but then deteriorated significantly from 2022 to 2023.

Economic Profit Margin

Tesla Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Dec 31, 2020 Dec 31, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 (5,296) 2,192 (3,067) (7,480) (5,117)
 
Revenues 96,773 81,462 53,823 31,536 24,578
Add: Increase (decrease) in deferred revenue 1,564 1,052 757 372 749
Adjusted revenues 98,337 82,514 54,580 31,908 25,327
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 -5.39% 2.66% -5.62% -23.44% -20.20%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Ford Motor Co. -6.10% -6.22% -0.63% -9.08% -7.13%
General Motors Co. -1.20% -2.15% 0.04% -4.51% -3.81%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2023 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Adjusted revenues
= 100 × -5,296 ÷ 98,337 = -5.39%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.

Performance ratio Description The company
Economic profit margin The ratio of economic profit to sales. It is the company profit margin covering income efficiency and asset management. Economic profit margin is not biased in favor of capital-intensive business models, because any added capital is a cost to the economic profit margin. Tesla Inc. economic profit margin improved from 2021 to 2022 but then slightly deteriorated from 2022 to 2023 not reaching 2021 level.