Stock Analysis on Net
Stock Analysis on Net

RTX Corp. (NYSE:RTX)

Present Value of Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF)

Microsoft Excel

In discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation techniques the value of the stock is estimated based upon present value of some measure of cash flow. Free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) is generally described as cash flows after direct costs and before any payments to capital suppliers.


Intrinsic Stock Value (Valuation Summary)

RTX Corp., free cash flow to the firm (FCFF) forecast

US$ in millions, except per share data

Microsoft Excel
Year Value FCFFt or Terminal value (TVt) Calculation Present value at 9.32%
01 FCFF0 9,443
1 FCFF1 9,572 = 9,443 × (1 + 1.37%) 8,756
2 FCFF2 9,820 = 9,572 × (1 + 2.59%) 8,217
3 FCFF3 10,193 = 9,820 × (1 + 3.81%) 7,802
4 FCFF4 10,706 = 10,193 × (1 + 5.02%) 7,496
5 FCFF5 11,374 = 10,706 × (1 + 6.24%) 7,285
5 Terminal value (TV5) 392,749 = 11,374 × (1 + 6.24%) ÷ (9.32%6.24%) 251,539
Intrinsic value of RTX Corp. capital 291,094
Less: Debt (fair value) 36,010
Intrinsic value of RTX Corp. common stock 255,084
 
Intrinsic value of RTX Corp. common stock (per share) $189.27
Current share price $215.22

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31).

Disclaimer!
Valuation is based on standard assumptions. There may exist specific factors relevant to stock value and omitted here. In such a case, the real stock value may differ significantly form the estimated. If you want to use the estimated intrinsic stock value in investment decision making process, do so at your own risk.



Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

RTX Corp., cost of capital

Microsoft Excel
Value1 Weight Required rate of return2 Calculation
Equity (fair value) 290,065 0.89 10.01%
Debt (fair value) 36,010 0.11 3.80% = 4.50% × (1 – 15.52%)

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

   Equity (fair value) = No. shares of common stock outstanding × Current share price
= 1,347,758,144 × $215.22
= $290,064,507,751.68

   Debt (fair value). See details »

2 Required rate of return on equity is estimated by using CAPM. See details »

   Required rate of return on debt. See details »

   Required rate of return on debt is after tax.

   Estimated (average) effective income tax rate
= (19.10% + 19.10% + 11.90% + 11.60% + 15.90%) ÷ 5
= 15.52%

WACC = 9.32%



FCFF Growth Rate (g)

FCFF growth rate (g) implied by PRAT model

RTX Corp., PRAT model

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Average Dec 31, 2025 Dec 31, 2024 Dec 31, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 31, 2021
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Interest expense 1,835 1,970 1,653 1,300 1,330
Loss from discontinued operations (19) (33)
Net income attributable to common shareowners 6,732 4,774 3,195 5,197 3,864
 
Effective income tax rate (EITR)1 19.10% 19.10% 11.90% 11.60% 15.90%
 
Interest expense, after tax2 1,485 1,594 1,456 1,149 1,119
Add: Dividends on common stock 3,419 3,217 3,239 3,128 2,957
Interest expense (after tax) and dividends 4,904 4,811 4,695 4,277 4,076
 
EBIT(1 – EITR)3 8,217 6,368 4,651 6,365 5,016
 
Short-term borrowings 204 183 189 625 134
Long-term debt currently due 3,412 2,352 1,283 595 24
Long-term debt, excluding currently due 34,288 38,726 42,355 30,694 31,327
Shareowners’ equity 65,245 60,156 59,798 72,632 73,068
Total capital 103,149 101,417 103,625 104,546 104,553
Financial Ratios
Retention rate (RR)4 0.40 0.24 -0.01 0.33 0.19
Return on invested capital (ROIC)5 7.97% 6.28% 4.49% 6.09% 4.80%
Averages
RR 0.23
ROIC 5.92%
 
FCFF growth rate (g)6 1.37%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2025-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2024-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31).

1 See details »

2025 Calculations

2 Interest expense, after tax = Interest expense × (1 – EITR)
= 1,835 × (1 – 19.10%)
= 1,485

3 EBIT(1 – EITR) = Net income attributable to common shareowners – Loss from discontinued operations + Interest expense, after tax
= 6,7320 + 1,485
= 8,217

4 RR = [EBIT(1 – EITR) – Interest expense (after tax) and dividends] ÷ EBIT(1 – EITR)
= [8,2174,904] ÷ 8,217
= 0.40

5 ROIC = 100 × EBIT(1 – EITR) ÷ Total capital
= 100 × 8,217 ÷ 103,149
= 7.97%

6 g = RR × ROIC
= 0.23 × 5.92%
= 1.37%


FCFF growth rate (g) implied by single-stage model

g = 100 × (Total capital, fair value0 × WACC – FCFF0) ÷ (Total capital, fair value0 + FCFF0)
= 100 × (326,075 × 9.32%9,443) ÷ (326,075 + 9,443)
= 6.24%

where:

Total capital, fair value0 = current fair value of RTX Corp. debt and equity (US$ in millions)
FCFF0 = the last year RTX Corp. free cash flow to the firm (US$ in millions)
WACC = weighted average cost of RTX Corp. capital


FCFF growth rate (g) forecast

RTX Corp., H-model

Microsoft Excel
Year Value gt
1 g1 1.37%
2 g2 2.59%
3 g3 3.81%
4 g4 5.02%
5 and thereafter g5 6.24%

where:
g1 is implied by PRAT model
g5 is implied by single-stage model
g2, g3 and g4 are calculated using linear interpolation between g1 and g5

Calculations

g2 = g1 + (g5g1) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 1.37% + (6.24%1.37%) × (2 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 2.59%

g3 = g1 + (g5g1) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 1.37% + (6.24%1.37%) × (3 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 3.81%

g4 = g1 + (g5g1) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 1.37% + (6.24%1.37%) × (4 – 1) ÷ (5 – 1)
= 5.02%