Stock Analysis on Net

Hershey Co. (NYSE:HSY)

This company has been moved to the archive! The financial data has not been updated since July 27, 2023.

DuPont Analysis: Disaggregation of ROE, ROA, and Net Profit Margin 
Quarterly Data

Microsoft Excel

Two-Component Disaggregation of ROE

Hershey Co., decomposition of ROE (quarterly data)

Microsoft Excel
ROE = ROA × Financial Leverage
Jul 2, 2023 48.45% = 15.53% × 3.12
Apr 2, 2023 49.11% = 15.29% × 3.21
Dec 31, 2022 49.85% = 15.02% × 3.32
Oct 2, 2022 51.38% = 14.62% × 3.51
Jul 3, 2022 56.35% = 15.39% × 3.66
Apr 3, 2022 55.40% = 15.17% × 3.65
Dec 31, 2021 53.59% = 14.19% × 3.78
Oct 3, 2021 56.69% = 15.19% × 3.73
Jul 4, 2021 63.38% = 16.16% × 3.92
Apr 4, 2021 62.21% = 15.53% × 4.01
Dec 31, 2020 57.23% = 14.00% × 4.09
Sep 27, 2020 57.82% = 12.91% × 4.48
Jun 28, 2020 61.16% = 12.04% × 5.08
Mar 29, 2020 66.81% = 12.61% × 5.30
Dec 31, 2019 66.10% = 14.12% × 4.68
Sep 29, 2019 72.97% = 15.11% × 4.83
Jun 30, 2019 72.69% = 15.62% × 4.65
Mar 31, 2019 79.99% = 14.40% × 5.55
Dec 31, 2018 84.19% = 15.29% × 5.51
Sep 30, 2018 = × 6.35
Jul 1, 2018 = × 7.05
Apr 1, 2018 = × 7.54

Based on: 10-Q (reporting date: 2023-07-02), 10-Q (reporting date: 2023-04-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2022-10-02), 10-Q (reporting date: 2022-07-03), 10-Q (reporting date: 2022-04-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2021-10-03), 10-Q (reporting date: 2021-07-04), 10-Q (reporting date: 2021-04-04), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2020-09-27), 10-Q (reporting date: 2020-06-28), 10-Q (reporting date: 2020-03-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2019-09-29), 10-Q (reporting date: 2019-06-30), 10-Q (reporting date: 2019-03-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2018-09-30), 10-Q (reporting date: 2018-07-01), 10-Q (reporting date: 2018-04-01).


Return on Assets (ROA)
The ROA values, available from the period ending March 31, 2019, demonstrate a generally stable performance with some fluctuations. Initially, ROA was 15.29%, followed by a slight decrease in subsequent quarters, reaching a low near 12.04% around September 27, 2020. Starting from this point, the ROA showed a recovery trend, rising back to approximately 16.16% by October 3, 2021. After this peak, ROA declined moderately and then stabilized in the range of 14% to 15.5% toward the most recent periods.
Financial Leverage
Financial leverage displayed a pronounced decreasing trend throughout the entire period observed. Starting at a high ratio of 7.54 in April 1, 2018, leverage steadily declined to 3.12 by July 2, 2023. This reduction suggests a consistent effort to lower debt relative to equity or assets, indicating a possible shift toward a more conservative financing structure over time.
Return on Equity (ROE)
ROE, reported from March 31, 2019 onward, exhibits a marked downward trajectory. It began at a robust 84.19%, then gradually decreased across the periods, reaching approximately 48.45% by July 2023. Despite the decline, ROE remained substantially high throughout, which reflects continued profitability from shareholders' investments but at a progressively diminishing efficiency rate.
Interrelationships and Insights
The simultaneous decrease in financial leverage and decline in ROE suggest that the reduction in leverage may be a key factor contributing to the lower ROE, as less debt typically reduces the magnifying effect of leverage on equity returns. Meanwhile, the relatively stable ROA indicates that the company’s asset profitability has not been adversely affected to the same extent, pointing to operational stability despite financing adjustments. Overall, the data indicates a strategic move toward financial prudence with a trade-off in shareholder returns measured by ROE, while asset returns remain steady.

Three-Component Disaggregation of ROE

Hershey Co., decomposition of ROE (quarterly data)

Microsoft Excel
ROE = Net Profit Margin × Asset Turnover × Financial Leverage
Jul 2, 2023 48.45% = 16.48% × 0.94 × 3.12
Apr 2, 2023 49.11% = 15.81% × 0.97 × 3.21
Dec 31, 2022 49.85% = 15.79% × 0.95 × 3.32
Oct 2, 2022 51.38% = 15.69% × 0.93 × 3.51
Jul 3, 2022 56.35% = 16.76% × 0.92 × 3.66
Apr 3, 2022 55.40% = 17.29% × 0.88 × 3.65
Dec 31, 2021 53.59% = 16.47% × 0.86 × 3.78
Oct 3, 2021 56.69% = 16.23% × 0.94 × 3.73
Jul 4, 2021 63.38% = 16.52% × 0.98 × 3.92
Apr 4, 2021 62.21% = 16.69% × 0.93 × 4.01
Dec 31, 2020 57.23% = 15.69% × 0.89 × 4.09
Sep 27, 2020 57.82% = 14.87% × 0.87 × 4.48
Jun 28, 2020 61.16% = 13.50% × 0.89 × 5.08
Mar 29, 2020 66.81% = 13.94% × 0.90 × 5.30
Dec 31, 2019 66.10% = 14.40% × 0.98 × 4.68
Sep 29, 2019 72.97% = 16.18% × 0.93 × 4.83
Jun 30, 2019 72.69% = 15.51% × 1.01 × 4.65
Mar 31, 2019 79.99% = 14.44% × 1.00 × 5.55
Dec 31, 2018 84.19% = 15.11% × 1.01 × 5.51
Sep 30, 2018 = × × 6.35
Jul 1, 2018 = × × 7.05
Apr 1, 2018 = × × 7.54

Based on: 10-Q (reporting date: 2023-07-02), 10-Q (reporting date: 2023-04-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2022-10-02), 10-Q (reporting date: 2022-07-03), 10-Q (reporting date: 2022-04-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2021-10-03), 10-Q (reporting date: 2021-07-04), 10-Q (reporting date: 2021-04-04), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2020-09-27), 10-Q (reporting date: 2020-06-28), 10-Q (reporting date: 2020-03-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2019-09-29), 10-Q (reporting date: 2019-06-30), 10-Q (reporting date: 2019-03-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2018-09-30), 10-Q (reporting date: 2018-07-01), 10-Q (reporting date: 2018-04-01).


The financial data reveals several key trends in profitability, efficiency, leverage, and overall returns for the examined periods.

Net Profit Margin (%)
The net profit margin shows a general stability with slight fluctuations over time. Starting around 15.11% in early 2019, the margin experienced minor variations, peaking at 17.29% in April 2022 before declining slightly towards mid-2023 where it settled near 16.48%. This suggests a consistent ability to convert revenue into profit with moderate improvements observed around 2021 and early 2022.
Asset Turnover (ratio)
The asset turnover ratio reflects the efficiency with which assets generate revenue. Initially close to 1.0 in early periods, there is a visible downward trend reaching a low point of approximately 0.86 in early 2022. Toward the end of the dataset, the ratio improves slightly but remains below the initial levels, ending near 0.94. This indicates some reduction in asset utilization efficiency during the middle periods, with partial recovery thereafter.
Financial Leverage (ratio)
Financial leverage showed a marked decrease over the observed periods. Starting from a very high level of 7.54 in early 2018, it steadily declined through the years, reaching approximately 3.12 by mid-2023. This substantial reduction suggests a significant deleveraging effort or a strategic shift towards a more conservative capital structure, potentially lowering financial risk.
Return on Equity (ROE) (%)
ROE displays a clear downward trend throughout the timeline. After peaking above 80% in early 2019, it steadily declined to around 48.45% by the middle of 2023. This decline corresponds with the reduction in financial leverage, as lower leverage typically leads to lower ROE when other factors are constant. Despite the decrease, the company maintains a relatively high ROE, indicating that it continues to generate solid returns on shareholders’ equity.

In summary, the data illustrates a strategic shift toward lower financial leverage accompanied by sustained profitability, though with some decrease in asset utilization efficiency. The declines in ROE are largely influenced by the reduced leverage, while net profit margins remain relatively stable. Improvements in profit margins from 2020 to early 2022 suggest enhanced operational performance, offsetting somewhat the impact of lower asset turnover and leverage on overall returns.


Two-Component Disaggregation of ROA

Hershey Co., decomposition of ROA (quarterly data)

Microsoft Excel
ROA = Net Profit Margin × Asset Turnover
Jul 2, 2023 15.53% = 16.48% × 0.94
Apr 2, 2023 15.29% = 15.81% × 0.97
Dec 31, 2022 15.02% = 15.79% × 0.95
Oct 2, 2022 14.62% = 15.69% × 0.93
Jul 3, 2022 15.39% = 16.76% × 0.92
Apr 3, 2022 15.17% = 17.29% × 0.88
Dec 31, 2021 14.19% = 16.47% × 0.86
Oct 3, 2021 15.19% = 16.23% × 0.94
Jul 4, 2021 16.16% = 16.52% × 0.98
Apr 4, 2021 15.53% = 16.69% × 0.93
Dec 31, 2020 14.00% = 15.69% × 0.89
Sep 27, 2020 12.91% = 14.87% × 0.87
Jun 28, 2020 12.04% = 13.50% × 0.89
Mar 29, 2020 12.61% = 13.94% × 0.90
Dec 31, 2019 14.12% = 14.40% × 0.98
Sep 29, 2019 15.11% = 16.18% × 0.93
Jun 30, 2019 15.62% = 15.51% × 1.01
Mar 31, 2019 14.40% = 14.44% × 1.00
Dec 31, 2018 15.29% = 15.11% × 1.01
Sep 30, 2018 = ×
Jul 1, 2018 = ×
Apr 1, 2018 = ×

Based on: 10-Q (reporting date: 2023-07-02), 10-Q (reporting date: 2023-04-02), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2022-10-02), 10-Q (reporting date: 2022-07-03), 10-Q (reporting date: 2022-04-03), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2021-10-03), 10-Q (reporting date: 2021-07-04), 10-Q (reporting date: 2021-04-04), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2020-09-27), 10-Q (reporting date: 2020-06-28), 10-Q (reporting date: 2020-03-29), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2019-09-29), 10-Q (reporting date: 2019-06-30), 10-Q (reporting date: 2019-03-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2018-12-31), 10-Q (reporting date: 2018-09-30), 10-Q (reporting date: 2018-07-01), 10-Q (reporting date: 2018-04-01).


Net Profit Margin
The net profit margin shows a generally stable and slightly improving trend over the analyzed periods, starting from 15.11% in late 2018 and fluctuating moderately in the 13.5% to 17.29% range thereafter. There is a noticeable dip around mid-2020, coinciding with broader economic disruptions, followed by a recovery and gradual increase, reaching approximately 16.48% by mid-2023. This pattern suggests resilience in profitability with effective margin management despite external challenges.
Asset Turnover
The asset turnover ratio has experienced a mild decline from around 1.01 in late 2018 to lows near 0.86 by early 2022, indicating a decrease in sales generated per unit of asset during that timeframe. However, from 2022 onwards, the ratio shows signs of recovery, rising back to approximately 0.94 by mid-2023. The initial decline suggests a period of reduced operational efficiency or slower revenue growth relative to asset base expansion, with recent improvement pointing towards better utilization of assets.
Return on Assets (ROA)
Return on assets mirrors the combined effect of profit margin and asset turnover trends, starting at 15.29% in late 2018 and experiencing a drop to a low of around 12.04% in late 2020. Following this low point, ROA shows a rebound and fluctuates between roughly 14% and 16% through mid-2023. The recovery phase indicates improved net profitability relative to assets, suggesting operational efficiencies or cost containment measures have been effective. Overall, ROA stability around the mid-teens reflects consistent value generation from the company's asset base.