Stock Analysis on Net

PepsiCo Inc. (NASDAQ:PEP)

Economic Value Added (EVA)

Microsoft Excel

EVA is registered trademark of Stern Stewart.

Economic value added or economic profit is the difference between revenues and costs,where costs include not only expenses, but also cost of capital.


Economic Profit

PepsiCo Inc., economic profit calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021 Dec 26, 2020 Dec 28, 2019
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT)1 10,029 9,364 9,629 8,429 8,536
Cost of capital2 8.40% 8.53% 8.30% 7.91% 8.48%
Invested capital3 75,038 69,452 69,829 70,066 59,384
 
Economic profit4 3,724 3,442 3,833 2,886 3,501

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-28).

1 NOPAT. See details »

2 Cost of capital. See details »

3 Invested capital. See details »

4 2023 Calculation
Economic profit = NOPAT – Cost of capital × Invested capital
= 10,0298.40% × 75,038 = 3,724

Item Description The company
Economic profit Economic profit is a measure of corporate performance computed by taking the spread between the return on invested capital and the cost of capital, and multiplying by the invested capital. PepsiCo Inc. economic profit decreased from 2021 to 2022 but then increased from 2022 to 2023 not reaching 2021 level.

Net Operating Profit after Taxes (NOPAT)

PepsiCo Inc., NOPAT calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021 Dec 26, 2020 Dec 28, 2019
Net income attributable to PepsiCo 9,074 8,910 7,618 7,120 7,314
Deferred income tax expense (benefit)1 (381) (683) 441 137 304
Increase (decrease) in allowance2 25 3 (54) 96 4
Increase (decrease) in restructuring liability3 1 125 (56) (22) (71)
Increase (decrease) in equity equivalents4 (355) (555) 331 211 237
Interest expense 1,437 1,119 1,988 1,252 1,135
Interest expense, operating lease liability5 118 72 61 68 62
Adjusted interest expense 1,555 1,191 2,049 1,320 1,197
Tax benefit of interest expense6 (327) (250) (430) (277) (251)
Adjusted interest expense, after taxes7 1,229 941 1,619 1,043 946
Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest 81 68 61 55 39
Net operating profit after taxes (NOPAT) 10,029 9,364 9,629 8,429 8,536

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-28).

1 Elimination of deferred tax expense. See details »

2 Addition of increase (decrease) in allowance.

3 Addition of increase (decrease) in restructuring liability.

4 Addition of increase (decrease) in equity equivalents to net income attributable to PepsiCo.

5 2023 Calculation
Interest expense on capitalized operating leases = Operating lease liability × Discount rate
= 2,956 × 4.00% = 118

6 2023 Calculation
Tax benefit of interest expense = Adjusted interest expense × Statutory income tax rate
= 1,555 × 21.00% = 327

7 Addition of after taxes interest expense to net income attributable to PepsiCo.

Item Description The company
NOPAT Net operating profit after taxes is income from operations, but after removement of taxes calculated on cash basis that are relevant to operating income. PepsiCo Inc. NOPAT decreased from 2021 to 2022 but then increased from 2022 to 2023 exceeding 2021 level.

Cash Operating Taxes

PepsiCo Inc., cash operating taxes calculation

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
12 months ended: Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021 Dec 26, 2020 Dec 28, 2019
Provision for income taxes 2,262 1,727 2,142 1,894 1,959
Less: Deferred income tax expense (benefit) (381) (683) 441 137 304
Add: Tax savings from interest expense 327 250 430 277 251
Cash operating taxes 2,970 2,660 2,131 2,034 1,906

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-28).

Item Description The company
Cash operating taxes Cash operating taxes are estimated by adjusting income tax expense for changes in deferred taxes and tax benefit from the interest deduction. PepsiCo Inc. cash operating taxes increased from 2021 to 2022 and from 2022 to 2023.

Invested Capital

PepsiCo Inc., invested capital calculation (financing approach)

US$ in millions

Microsoft Excel
Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021 Dec 26, 2020 Dec 28, 2019
Short-term debt obligations 6,510 3,414 4,308 3,780 2,920
Long-term debt obligations, excluding current maturities 37,595 35,657 36,026 40,370 29,148
Operating lease liability1 2,956 2,416 2,044 1,693 1,560
Total reported debt & leases 47,061 41,487 42,378 45,843 33,628
Total PepsiCo common shareholders’ equity 18,503 17,149 16,043 13,454 14,786
Net deferred tax (assets) liabilities2 (579) (71) 516 (88) (268)
Allowance3 175 150 147 201 105
Restructuring liability4 197 196 71 127 149
Equity equivalents5 (207) 275 734 240 (14)
Accumulated other comprehensive (income) loss, net of tax6 15,534 15,302 14,898 15,476 14,300
Noncontrolling interests 134 124 108 98 82
Adjusted total PepsiCo common shareholders’ equity 33,964 32,850 31,783 29,268 29,154
Construction in progress7 (5,695) (4,491) (3,940) (3,679) (3,169)
Short-term investments8 (292) (394) (392) (1,366) (229)
Invested capital 75,038 69,452 69,829 70,066 59,384

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-28).

1 Addition of capitalized operating leases.

2 Elimination of deferred taxes from assets and liabilities. See details »

3 Addition of allowance for doubtful accounts receivable.

4 Addition of restructuring liability.

5 Addition of equity equivalents to total PepsiCo common shareholders’ equity.

6 Removal of accumulated other comprehensive income.

7 Subtraction of construction in progress.

8 Subtraction of short-term investments.

Item Description The company
Invested capital Capital is an approximation of the economic book value of all cash invested in going-concern business activities. PepsiCo Inc. invested capital decreased from 2021 to 2022 but then increased from 2022 to 2023 exceeding 2021 level.

Cost of Capital

PepsiCo Inc., cost of capital calculations

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 230,451 230,451 ÷ 274,407 = 0.84 0.84 × 9.52% = 8.00%
Debt obligations3 41,000 41,000 ÷ 274,407 = 0.15 0.15 × 3.14% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.37%
Operating lease liability4 2,956 2,956 ÷ 274,407 = 0.01 0.01 × 4.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.03%
Total: 274,407 1.00 8.40%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt obligations. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 237,961 237,961 ÷ 275,377 = 0.86 0.86 × 9.52% = 8.23%
Debt obligations3 35,000 35,000 ÷ 275,377 = 0.13 0.13 × 2.76% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.28%
Operating lease liability4 2,416 2,416 ÷ 275,377 = 0.01 0.01 × 3.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 275,377 1.00 8.53%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt obligations. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 232,932 232,932 ÷ 277,976 = 0.84 0.84 × 9.52% = 7.98%
Debt obligations3 43,000 43,000 ÷ 277,976 = 0.15 0.15 × 2.48% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.30%
Operating lease liability4 2,044 2,044 ÷ 277,976 = 0.01 0.01 × 3.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 277,976 1.00 8.30%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt obligations. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 186,206 186,206 ÷ 237,899 = 0.78 0.78 × 9.52% = 7.45%
Debt obligations3 50,000 50,000 ÷ 237,899 = 0.21 0.21 × 2.62% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.44%
Operating lease liability4 1,693 1,693 ÷ 237,899 = 0.01 0.01 × 4.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 237,899 1.00 7.91%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt obligations. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »

Capital (fair value)1 Weights Cost of capital
Equity2 203,527 203,527 ÷ 239,087 = 0.85 0.85 × 9.52% = 8.11%
Debt obligations3 34,000 34,000 ÷ 239,087 = 0.14 0.14 × 3.13% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.35%
Operating lease liability4 1,560 1,560 ÷ 239,087 = 0.01 0.01 × 4.00% × (1 – 21.00%) = 0.02%
Total: 239,087 1.00 8.48%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-28).

1 US$ in millions

2 Equity. See details »

3 Debt obligations. See details »

4 Operating lease liability. See details »


Economic Spread Ratio

PepsiCo Inc., economic spread ratio calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021 Dec 26, 2020 Dec 28, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 3,724 3,442 3,833 2,886 3,501
Invested capital2 75,038 69,452 69,829 70,066 59,384
Performance Ratio
Economic spread ratio3 4.96% 4.96% 5.49% 4.12% 5.90%
Benchmarks
Economic Spread Ratio, Competitors4
Altria Group Inc. 21.60% 11.05% -2.04% 4.30% -9.62%
Coca-Cola Co. 4.02% 3.72% 5.25% 3.04% 3.33%
Mondelēz International Inc. 0.13% -3.69% -0.68% -1.84% -2.29%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-28).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 Invested capital. See details »

3 2023 Calculation
Economic spread ratio = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Invested capital
= 100 × 3,724 ÷ 75,038 = 4.96%

4 Click competitor name to see calculations.

Performance ratio Description The company
Economic spread ratio The ratio of economic profit to invested capital, also equal to the difference between return on invested capital (ROIC) and cost of capital. PepsiCo Inc. economic spread ratio deteriorated from 2021 to 2022 but then slightly improved from 2022 to 2023.

Economic Profit Margin

PepsiCo Inc., economic profit margin calculation, comparison to benchmarks

Microsoft Excel
Dec 30, 2023 Dec 31, 2022 Dec 25, 2021 Dec 26, 2020 Dec 28, 2019
Selected Financial Data (US$ in millions)
Economic profit1 3,724 3,442 3,833 2,886 3,501
Net revenue 91,471 86,392 79,474 70,372 67,161
Performance Ratio
Economic profit margin2 4.07% 3.98% 4.82% 4.10% 5.21%
Benchmarks
Economic Profit Margin, Competitors3
Altria Group Inc. 25.28% 12.69% -2.63% 6.82% -16.33%
Coca-Cola Co. 7.35% 6.91% 10.91% 6.97% 6.60%
Mondelēz International Inc. 0.22% -7.47% -1.45% -4.24% -5.21%

Based on: 10-K (reporting date: 2023-12-30), 10-K (reporting date: 2022-12-31), 10-K (reporting date: 2021-12-25), 10-K (reporting date: 2020-12-26), 10-K (reporting date: 2019-12-28).

1 Economic profit. See details »

2 2023 Calculation
Economic profit margin = 100 × Economic profit ÷ Net revenue
= 100 × 3,724 ÷ 91,471 = 4.07%

3 Click competitor name to see calculations.

Performance ratio Description The company
Economic profit margin The ratio of economic profit to sales. It is the company profit margin covering income efficiency and asset management. Economic profit margin is not biased in favor of capital-intensive business models, because any added capital is a cost to the economic profit margin. PepsiCo Inc. economic profit margin deteriorated from 2021 to 2022 but then slightly improved from 2022 to 2023.